2025 Derrek

2-7 (0.222), 840.33 points (93.37 average)

13th place

3.77 expected wins (0.419)

51-66 all-play record (0.436)

+19.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.80 89.67 Pulley 14.13
2 L 88.30 112.82 Matt -24.52
3 W 119.37 95.32 Kevin 24.05
4 L 71.12 146.34 Babel -75.22 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 73.23 83.03 Schertz -9.80
6 L 114.40 117.55 Dave -3.15
7 L 94.90 166.57 Mike R. -71.67
8 L 81.84 92.82 Richie -10.98
9 L 93.37 93.89 Pat -0.52
10 Scott
11 Ed
12 Pulley
13 Rob
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%49.53846153846153141.2307692307692300.0%120.30769230769232141.23076923076923112.7%191.07692307692307111.7804562700427220.0%261.8461538461538141.2307692307692330.0%332.6153846153846141.2307692307692340.0%403.38461538461536141.2307692307692350.0%474.15384615384613141.2307692307692360.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692370.0%615.6923076923078141.2307692307692380.0%686.4615384615386141.2307692307692390.3%49.53846153846153140.608717480130403.0%120.30769230769232134.2503069326508610.0%191.0769230769230782.33014330931621226.2%261.846153846153880.2127758735123329.7%332.615384615384672.0419.3%403.3846153846153696.2879725006422757.2%474.15384615384613124.5147191061615261.5%544.9230769230769137.795845713866370.2%615.6923076923078140.8751400865838380.0%686.4615384615386141.216452668004769Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th85.15961538461536208.213017751479326th158.5730769230769118.27218934911241310th231.98653846153846208.2130177514793412th305.4253.18343195266272510th378.8134615384615208.213017751479369th452.226923076923185.7278106508876710th525.6403846153845208.2130177514793810th599.053846153846208.213017751479394th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th85.15961538461536208.213017751479325th158.573076923076995.786982248520739th231.98653846153846185.7278106508876413th305.4275.6686390532544511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272713th525.6403846153845275.6686390532544813th599.053846153846275.668639053254494th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th85.15961538461536208.213017751479326th158.5730769230769118.27218934911241311th231.98653846153846230.698224852071413th305.4275.6686390532544510th378.8134615384615208.213017751479369th452.226923076923185.7278106508876710th525.6403846153845208.2130177514793810th599.053846153846208.21301775147939Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Christian McCaffrey RB
2.13 27 TreVeyon Henderson RB
3.02 30 DK Metcalf WR
4.13 55 Jakobi Meyers WR
5.02 58 Jerry Jeudy WR
6.13 83 Cooper Kupp WR
7.02 86 Ladd McConkey K WR
8.13 111 Colston Loveland TE
9.02 114 Justin Herbert QB
10.13 139 Austin Ekeler RB
11.02 142 Minnesota DEF
12.13 167 Ricky Pearsall K WR
13.02 170 MarShawn Lloyd RB
14.13 195 Will Shipley RB
15.02 198 Cam Ward QB
16.13 223 Wil Lutz K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.56846.379487179487185101.8950450575902710.000114.58461538461539141.2307692307692320.815182.7897435897435884.837422832448630.000250.99487179487176141.2307692307692340.000319.20000000000005141.2307692307692350.000387.4051282051282141.2307692307692360.000455.61025641025645141.2307692307692370.000523.8153846153846141.2307692307692380.000592.0205128205127141.2307692307692390.00046.37948717948718562.5593208844112910.313114.58461538461539119.5660013580175920.000182.7897435897435828.4440764341279830.106250.99487179487176133.9208915797613640.134319.20000000000005131.9651837883267350.746387.405128205128289.5790054935661160.457455.61025641025645109.592277005367370.206523.8153846153846126.9373974194597680.427592.0205128205127111.676156528866339Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891047.68717948717948587.9763313609467410117.8153846153846141.23076923076923211187.943589743589782.650887573964530258.07179487179485141.2307692307692340328.2141.2307692307692350398.32820512820507141.2307692307692360468.45641025641015141.2307692307692370538.5846153846154141.2307692307692380608.7128205128206141.230769230769239047.68717948717948534.7218934911242513117.8153846153846125.2544378698224820187.943589743589724.07100591715975230258.07179487179485141.2307692307692342328.2130.5798816568047359398.3282051282050793.3017751479289967468.45641025641015103.9526627218934973538.5846153846154125.2544378698224886608.7128205128206109.278106508875749All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Derrek 2-7 13th 93.37 0.419 15.95
1 987 2014 Schertz 5-4 6th 92.78 0.415 15.14 5-8 13th
2 984 2014 Ed 4-5 9th 92.20 0.414 16.12 6-7 8th
3 984 2023 Ed 6-3 4th 94.66 0.424 15.82 11-3 1st 2nd place
4 984 2015 Ed 3-6 11th 92.52 0.420 21.31 4-9 12th
5 984 2024 Matt 5-4 7th 94.44 0.419 21.58 8-6 6th 6th place
6 981 2012 Babel 4-5 8th 91.98 0.425 17.04 6-7 6th 2nd place
7 980 2016 Allen 4-5 11th 94.13 0.422 20.91 4-9 13th
8 978 2020 Derrek 4-5 11th 93.15 0.415 22.64 8-5 5th 5th place
9 969 2019 Scott 2-7 14th 94.20 0.425 23.47 4-9 14th
10 967 2021 Pat 1-8 13th 94.67 0.406 15.29 3-11 12th