2021 Pat (through 9 weeks)

1-8 (0.111), 851.99 points (94.67 average)

13th place

3.65 expected wins (0.406)

45-72 all-play record (0.385)

+27.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 111.39 108.98 Mike R. 2.41
2 L 70.04 103.20 Dave -33.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 90.18 107.27 Rabbit -17.09
4 L 122.50 133.41 Mike R. -10.91
5 L 107.40 108.34 Pulley -0.94
6 L 91.28 125.74 Ed -34.46
7 L 84.72 106.59 Babel -21.87
8 L 82.78 97.21 Rob -14.43
9 L 91.70 101.27 Matt -9.57
10 Derrek
11 Kevin
12 Scott
13 Richie
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692303.7%87.61538461538464132.3347440961652210.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.2307692307692330.0%242.23076923076925141.2307692307692340.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.4%36.07692307692308140.3896089057202200.0%87.61538461538464123.43871896156122114.4%139.15384615384616106.59594237881296227.6%190.692307692307775.02998338784826328.9%242.2307692307692572.0417.5%293.769230769230899.3173080489939156.2%345.3076923076923126.3668512752513861.2%396.8461538461538138.2598658297504270.1%448.3846153846154140.9347276815453580.0%499.9230769230769141.22052279748929Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th85.15961538461536208.2130177514793211th158.5730769230769230.69822485207138th231.98653846153846163.2426035502958549th305.4185.7278106508876511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272711th525.6403846153845230.698224852071811th599.053846153846230.69822485207194th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th85.15961538461536163.24260355029585210th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793310th231.98653846153846208.2130177514793410th305.4208.2130177514793512th378.8134615384615253.18343195266272612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272713th525.6403846153845275.6686390532544813th599.053846153846275.668639053254494th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th85.15961538461536208.2130177514793211th158.5730769230769230.69822485207138th231.98653846153846163.2426035502958549th305.4185.7278106508876511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272711th525.6403846153845230.698224852071811th599.053846153846230.6982248520719Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tyreek Hill WR
2.09 23 Chris Carson RB
3.06 34 Miles Sanders RB
4.09 51 Kenny Golladay WR
5.06 62 Myles Gaskin RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas WR
7.06 90 Dallas Goedert TE
8.09 107 Darrell Henderson, Jr. K RB
9.06 118 Justin Herbert K QB
10.09 135 Mike Gesicki TE
11.06 146 Washington DEF
12.09 163 Gabe Davis WR
13.06 174 Ryan Succop K
14.09 191 Jameis Winston QB
15.06 202 Dyami Brown WR
16.09 219 Mac Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.68231.8495726495726594.020306443882510.00078.68717948717948141.2307692307692320.000125.5247863247863141.2307692307692330.000172.36239316239318141.2307692307692340.000219.2141.2307692307692350.000266.03760683760686141.2307692307692360.000312.8752136752136141.2307692307692370.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692380.000406.5504273504273141.2307692307692390.00031.8495726495726546.8098436569957710.06378.68717948717948136.8444986163207820.322125.5247863247863118.9233795099804630.822172.3623931623931884.3449872330715240.622219.298.1411452800647350.340266.03760683760686117.7106768280265260.241312.8752136752136124.5520368294320470.211359.7128205128205126.6474720722798780.348406.5504273504273117.137595519533089Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891033.1572649572649687.976331360946741081.9179487179487141.2307692307692320130.67863247863247141.2307692307692330179.4393162393162141.2307692307692340228.2141.2307692307692350276.96068376068376141.2307692307692360325.7213675213675141.2307692307692370374.4820512820512141.2307692307692380423.242735042735141.230769230769239033.1572649572649634.721893491124251081.9179487179487141.2307692307692324130.67863247863247119.92899408284023310179.439316239316287.9763313609467444228.2119.9289940828402354276.96068376068376119.9289940828402362325.7213675213675130.5798816568047374374.4820512820512119.9289940828402387423.242735042735103.952662721893499All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Pat 1-8 13th 94.67 0.406 15.29 3-11 12th
1 974 2014 Schertz 5-4 6th 92.78 0.415 15.14 5-8 13th
2 973 2013 Pat 4-5 10th 90.57 0.401 16.23 5-8 12th
3 973 2019 Babel 5-4 7th 97.22 0.411 18.77 8-5 5th 5th place
4 972 2014 Ed 4-5 9th 92.20 0.414 16.12 6-7 8th
5 971 2014 Kevin 2-7 14th 91.39 0.400 17.41 4-9 14th
6 968 2010 Kevin 2-7 11th 87.50 0.405 16.19 5-8 10th
7 963 2023 Ed 6-3 4th 94.66 0.424 15.82 11-3 1st 2nd place
8 961 2018 Rabbit 4-5 9th 99.95 0.401 19.11 7-6 7th
9 961 2024 Matt 5-4 7th 94.44 0.418 21.58 8-6 6th 6th place
10 960 2020 Derrek 4-5 11th 93.15 0.415 22.64 8-5 5th 5th place