2026 Dave

3-5 (0.375), 707.51 points (88.44 average)

9th place

2.80 expected wins (0.350)

38-66 all-play record (0.365)

+27.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 145.51 133.88 Pulley 11.63 Team Blangums
2 L 59.58 100.47 Pat -40.89 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 66.60 134.30 Mike R. -67.70 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 128.97 115.95 Ed 13.02
5 L 55.76 90.94 Schertz -35.18 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 57.32 127.25 Babel -69.93 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 75.40 98.08 Scott -22.68
8 W 118.37 94.52 Derrek 23.85
9 Rabbit
10 Rob
11 Matt
12 Pulley
13 Richie
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%50.0%50.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692310.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923258.3%289.3675213675213672.030.0%368.0141.2307692307692340.0%446.6324786324787141.2307692307692350.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692380.1%53.470085470085465141.1114578419254703.3%132.1025641025641137.36452880880495125.9%210.73504273504273110.5351477228173620.0%289.367521367521362.7692307692307736311.9%368.0127.1376804706665740.6%446.6324786324787140.5343964865150.0%525.2649572649573141.2224698879131860.0%603.897435897436141.230745226245270.0%682.5299145299145141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381119th95.64725274725272185.7278106508876210th179.54835164835166208.2130177514793310th263.44945054945055208.2130177514793411th347.3505494505494230.698224852071512th431.2516483516483253.18343195266272612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272712th599.053846153846253.1834319526627281st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381117th95.64725274725272140.75739644970415210th179.54835164835166208.213017751479339th263.44945054945055185.7278106508876410th347.3505494505494208.2130177514793511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071613th515.1527472527472275.668639053254479th599.053846153846185.727810650887681st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381118th95.64725274725272163.24260355029585210th179.54835164835166208.2130177514793310th263.44945054945055208.2130177514793412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272512th431.2516483516483253.18343195266272612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272713th599.053846153846275.66863905325448Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
1
1
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Ashton Jeanty RB
2.07 21 Nico Collins WR
3.08 36 Tetairoa McMillan WR
4.07 49 D.J. Moore K WR
5.08 64 David Montgomery K RB
5.10 66 Caleb Williams QB
7.08 92 Kyle Monangai RB
9.08 120 Brandon Aubrey K
10.05 131 Houston DEF
10.07 133 T.J. Hockenson TE
11.08 148 Tank Bigsby RB
12.07 161 Malik Willis QB
13.08 176 Adonai Mitchell WR
14.07 189 Terrance Ferguson TE
15.08 204 Jalen Nailor WR
16.07 217 Jaydon Blue RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.95650.64230769230769674.977390197465510.000127.37307692307691141.1233137973221420.000204.10384615384615141.1233137973221430.873280.834615384615480.7562822126075640.000357.56538461538463141.1233137973221450.000434.29615384615386141.1233137973221460.000511.0269230769231141.1233137973221470.778587.757692307692287.283192338925780.00050.6423076923076968.83146659760885210.011127.37307692307691140.3484126145149820.049204.10384615384615137.7644306234640530.000280.834615384615420.3892506278929774-0.001357.56538461538463141.177041514045750.004434.29615384615386140.8249610193391360.133511.0269230769231131.9408243357297370.000587.757692307692233.443070880529268Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456781352.0701923076923172.010130.96442307692305141.2307692307692320209.85865384615386141.23076923076923312288.7528846153846377.3254437869822540367.6471153846154141.2307692307692350446.5413461538462141.2307692307692360525.435576923077141.23076923076923711604.329807692307682.65088757396458052.070192307692312.769230769230773610130.96442307692305141.2307692307692320209.85865384615386141.2307692307692330288.7528846153846313.4201183431952740367.6471153846154141.2307692307692350446.5413461538462141.2307692307692362525.435576923077130.5798816568047370604.329807692307624.0710059171597528All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Dave 3-5 9th 88.44 0.350 34.12
1 965 2025 Babel 3-5 11th 90.84 0.349 23.30 4-10 12th
2 959 2022 Pat 3-5 12th 88.28 0.348 15.77 8-6 6th 6th place
3 950 2012 Pat 3-5 11th 82.43 0.353 24.10 5-8 11th
4 950 2024 Derrek 3-5 12th 88.17 0.339 20.43 4-10 14th
5 944 2016 Derrek 2-6 13th 89.98 0.358 16.89 3-10 14th
6 944 2023 Derrek 2-6 13th 88.38 0.339 17.82 5-9 12th
7 939 2025 Matt 2-6 14th 87.07 0.338 18.69 4-10 11th
8 931 2021 Rob 2-6 11th 92.26 0.346 11.88 2-12 14th
9 929 2013 Richie 4-4 10th 85.06 0.333 23.03 6-7 10th
10 925 2016 Mike R. 2-6 14th 89.94 0.369 18.28 5-8 11th