2023 Derrek (through 8 weeks)

2-6 (0.250), 707.00 points (88.38 average)

13th place

2.71 expected wins (0.339)

36-68 all-play record (0.346)

+3.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 63.20 83.70 Dave -20.50
2 L 88.68 99.99 Pat -11.31
3 L 97.50 102.60 Ed -5.10
4 L 82.01 123.59 Mike R. -41.58
5 W 113.48 102.03 Richie 11.45
6 W 92.96 66.01 Schertz 26.95
7 L 108.07 110.92 Matt -2.85
8 L 61.10 123.92 Kevin -62.82 Slapped Heartbeat
9 Pulley
10 Dave
11 Rob
12 Babel
13 Scott
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.23076923076923129.0%210.7350427350427379.3760477662839320.0%289.36752136752136141.2307692307692330.0%368.0141.2307692307692340.0%446.6324786324787141.2307692307692350.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692381.9%53.470085470085465137.0696883071198012.3%132.1025641025641114.9189944895132110.0%210.7350427350427317.521326301798638232.4%289.3675213675213672.0318.5%368.0101.7974578756270345.2%446.6324786324787130.1538226070587750.6%525.2649572649573139.928055906351460.0%603.897435897436141.1950363518725570.0%682.5299145299145141.230500262136228Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th95.64725274725272275.6686390532544211th179.54835164835166230.698224852071312th263.44945054945055253.18343195266272411th347.3505494505494230.698224852071512th431.2516483516483253.18343195266272610th515.1527472527472208.2130177514793712th599.053846153846253.18343195266272812th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th95.64725274725272275.6686390532544212th179.54835164835166253.18343195266272312th263.44945054945055253.18343195266272411th347.3505494505494230.698224852071511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071611th515.1527472527472230.698224852071713th599.053846153846275.6686390532544812th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th95.64725274725272275.6686390532544211th179.54835164835166230.698224852071312th263.44945054945055253.18343195266272412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272512th431.2516483516483253.18343195266272611th515.1527472527472230.698224852071712th599.053846153846253.183431952662728Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Jonathan Taylor RB
2.04 18 Josh Jacobs RB
3.11 39 Hollywood Brown WR
4.04 46 Patrick Mahomes II K QB
5.11 67 Skyy Moore WR
6.04 74 Dallas Goedert TE
7.11 95 D.J. Chark, Jr. WR
8.04 102 Allen Lazard WR
9.11 123 Alexander Mattison K RB
10.04 130 Elijah Moore WR
11.11 151 Michael Gallup WR
12.04 158 Ty Chandler RB
13.11 179 Kyler Murray QB
14.04 186 Kenyan Drake RB
15.11 207 Cincinnati DEF
16.04 214 Brett Maher K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00050.642307692307696141.2307692307692310.000127.37307692307691141.2307692307692320.000204.10384615384615141.2307692307692330.000280.8346153846154141.2307692307692340.713357.5653846153846391.8826035024673950.390434.29615384615386114.2166124206441460.000511.0269230769231141.2307692307692370.000587.7576923076922141.2307692307692380.02150.642307692307696139.7832786806377510.304127.37307692307691120.2118558143719320.456204.10384615384615109.6480327609446430.193280.8346153846154127.8816407387748840.000357.5653846153846342.5344377741655450.000434.2961538461538687.2024556105190560.623511.026923076923198.0939547962106570.013587.7576923076922140.329101738452048Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678052.07019230769231141.2307692307692310130.96442307692305141.2307692307692320209.85865384615386141.2307692307692330288.75288461538463141.2307692307692348367.647115384615498.6272189349112458446.541346153846298.6272189349112460525.435576923077141.2307692307692370604.3298076923076141.230769230769238252.07019230769231130.5798816568047312130.96442307692305130.5798816568047324209.85865384615386119.9289940828402333288.75288461538463125.2544378698224840367.647115384615456.0236686390532450446.541346153846256.0236686390532469525.43557692307793.3017751479289970604.3298076923076141.230769230769238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Derrek 2-6 13th 88.38 0.339 17.82 5-9 12th
1 993 2024 Derrek 3-5 12th 88.17 0.339 20.43 4-10 14th
2 988 2025 Matt 2-6 14th 87.07 0.337 18.69
3 977 2022 Pat 3-5 12th 88.28 0.348 15.77 8-6 6th 6th place
4 965 2015 Kevin 2-6 12th 83.45 0.332 17.22 3-10 14th
5 965 2017 Mike R. 3-5 12th 82.70 0.339 12.09 3-10 14th
6 964 2013 Richie 4-4 10th 85.06 0.333 23.03 6-7 10th
7 964 2016 Pat 4-4 10th 86.41 0.326 19.13 7-6 7th
8 963 2015 Pat 2-6 13th 81.95 0.336 20.57 6-7 9th
9 961 2025 Babel 3-5 11th 90.84 0.348 23.30
10 960 2022 Pulley 3-5 13th 87.26 0.325 13.88 7-7 8th