2016 Derrek (through 8 weeks)

2-6 (0.250), 719.83 points (89.98 average)

13th place

2.86 expected wins (0.358)

39-65 all-play record (0.375)

+2.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 123.45 112.14 Dave 11.31
2 L 70.45 91.15 Schertz -20.70 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 67.22 84.08 Richie -16.86 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 89.35 68.08 Ed 21.27
5 L 103.42 109.35 Rob -5.93
6 L 93.53 128.65 Kevin -35.12
7 L 81.78 83.86 Mike R. -2.08
8 L 90.63 134.91 Pulley -44.28
9 Rabbit
10 Pat
11 Babel
12 Matt
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.23076923076923127.2%210.7350427350427383.2957301451373620.0%289.36752136752136141.2307692307692330.0%368.0141.2307692307692340.0%446.6324786324787141.2307692307692350.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692381.2%53.470085470085465138.63836112044294010.4%132.1025641025641119.0188126405483910.0%210.7350427350427325.36069105950547232.5%289.3675213675213672.0320.4%368.097.8772231855583546.9%446.6324786324787126.5883266268512851.2%525.2649572649573138.6835045178365260.1%603.897435897436141.030904442846470.0%682.5299145299145141.22532881075558Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th95.64725274725272230.698224852071213th179.54835164835166275.6686390532544314th263.44945054945055298.15384615384613411th347.3505494505494230.698224852071511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272713th599.053846153846275.668639053254482nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557618th95.64725274725272163.24260355029585212th179.54835164835166253.18343195266272311th263.44945054945055230.698224852071410th347.3505494505494208.2130177514793511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071613th515.1527472527472275.6686390532544713th599.053846153846275.668639053254482nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th95.64725274725272230.698224852071213th179.54835164835166275.6686390532544314th263.44945054945055298.15384615384613411th347.3505494505494230.698224852071511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272712th599.053846153846253.183431952662728Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Le'Veon Bell RB
2.11 25 Brandin Cooks WR
3.04 32 Andrew Luck QB
4.11 53 Allen Robinson II K WR
5.04 60 T.J. Yeldon RB
6.11 81 Zach Ertz TE
7.04 88 Chris Ivory RB
8.11 109 Devin Funchess WR
9.04 116 James Starks RB
10.11 137 Denver DEF
11.04 144 Josh Gordon K WR
12.11 165 Josh Doctson WR
13.04 172 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE
14.11 193 Teddy Bridgewater QB
15.04 200 Blair Walsh K
16.11 221 Kenny Britt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.83650.64230769230769683.3695182895104810.000127.37307692307691141.2307692307692320.000204.10384615384615141.2307692307692330.336280.8346153846154117.9883819628987340.000357.56538461538463141.2307692307692350.000434.29615384615386141.2307692307692360.000511.0269230769231141.2307692307692370.000587.7576923076922141.2307692307692380.00050.64230769230769625.50826734825173510.092127.37307692307691134.859825247350420.055204.10384615384615137.4137023261565730.000280.834615384615494.7459946950282240.567357.56538461538463101.9474395247417450.400434.29615384615386113.5508434792710160.224511.0269230769231125.7374866576942270.354587.7576923076922116.734430056733888Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456781252.0701923076923177.3254437869822510130.96442307692305141.2307692307692320209.85865384615386141.2307692307692335288.75288461538463114.6035502958579940367.6471153846154141.2307692307692350446.5413461538462141.2307692307692360525.435576923077141.2307692307692370604.3298076923076141.230769230769238052.0701923076923113.4201183431952710130.96442307692305141.2307692307692320209.85865384615386141.2307692307692330288.7528846153846387.9763313609467446367.6471153846154109.2781065088757457446.5413461538462103.9526627218934963525.435576923077125.2544378698224876604.3298076923076109.278106508875748All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Derrek 2-6 13th 89.98 0.358 16.89 3-10 14th
1 975 2016 Mike R. 2-6 14th 89.94 0.369 18.28 5-8 11th
2 971 2022 Pat 3-5 12th 88.28 0.348 15.77 8-6 6th 6th place
3 966 2020 Pat 3-5 12th 92.04 0.368 19.75 5-8 12th
4 964 2025 Babel 3-5 11th 90.84 0.348 23.30
5 959 2008 Katie 2-6 11th 83.07 0.365 16.89 5-8 10th
6 959 2018 Schertz 2-6 13th 96.20 0.356 10.35 6-7 10th
7 958 2013 Allen 4-4 9th 88.36 0.372 13.13 4-9 14th
8 957 2021 Rob 2-6 11th 92.26 0.346 11.88 2-12 14th
9 954 2023 Derrek 2-6 13th 88.38 0.339 17.82 5-9 12th
10 952 2015 Derrek 4-4 9th 87.09 0.374 19.30 7-6 7th