2024 Kevin (through 10 weeks)

3-7 (0.300), 997.57 points (99.76 average)

12th place

4.86 expected wins (0.486)

56-74 all-play record (0.431)

-1.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.49 87.90 Richie -2.41
2 L 72.58 82.85 Pat -10.27 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 102.58 115.58 Scott -13.00
4 W 136.75 112.42 Rob 24.33
5 L 108.57 148.27 Rabbit -39.70
6 L 83.91 92.29 Ed -8.38
7 W 103.65 59.68 Pulley 43.97
8 L 86.99 106.30 Matt -19.31 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 111.70 129.65 Richie -17.95
10 W 105.35 63.29 Derrek 42.06
11 Schertz
12 Babel
13 Mike R.
14 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.23076923076923212.0%174.29370629370626112.1317126415835330.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.1888569456991100.5%80.5874125874126140.123400933418413.4%127.44055944055944133.0239481658648220.0%174.2937062937062683.03265605239784323.9%221.1468531468531583.17659248756482428.5%268.072.00000000000001520.6%314.853146853146891.244799504025768.8%361.7062937062937119.765766705706672.2%408.5594405594406135.9889535177869480.3%455.41258741258747140.5759435360203690.0%502.2657342657343141.1996483419944210Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th77.0025641025641298.15384615384613211th142.2589743589743230.69822485207139th207.5153846153846185.727810650887647th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041559th338.0282051282051185.727810650887669th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272810th533.7974358974359208.213017751479398th599.053846153846163.242603550295851012th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th77.0025641025641298.15384615384613213th142.2589743589743275.6686390532544312th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272412th272.77179487179484253.18343195266272513th338.0282051282051275.6686390532544612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544814th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613912th599.053846153846253.183431952662721012th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th77.0025641025641298.15384615384613211th142.2589743589743230.69822485207138th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958547th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041559th338.0282051282051185.727810650887669th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876710th468.5410256410256208.2130177514793810th533.7974358974359208.213017751479398th599.053846153846163.2426035502958510Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ja'Marr Chase WR
2.13 27 Jahmyr Gibbs K RB
3.02 30 Patrick Mahomes II QB
4.13 55 DeVonta Smith K WR
5.02 58 Zamir White RB
6.13 83 Zack Moss RB
7.02 86 Hollywood Brown WR
8.13 111 Pat Freiermuth TE
9.02 114 Jordan Addison WR
10.13 139 Dalton Schultz TE
11.02 142 San Francisco DEF
12.13 167 Deshaun Watson QB
13.02 170 Michael Wilson WR
14.13 195 Roschon Johnson RB
15.02 198 Jason Sanders K
16.13 223 Tim Patrick WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.945155.9692307692307375.8301235760387240.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.559282.4307692307692102.4991206770250270.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.591408.89230769230767100.28462737471624100.25329.507692307692306123.7091500268903410.10371.66153846153847134.1227171693918220.541113.8153846153846103.7943350299610830.000155.9692307692307310.42947792130820540.660198.1230769230769295.5279492730584850.226240.27692307692305125.5889461520959960.000282.430769230769263.76747212328082570.278324.58461538461535122.0170130070493780.704366.7384615384615492.4889215353658290.000408.8923076923076759.3384855186632510Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.48846153846154141.23076923076923312162.373076923076977.3254437869822540206.2576923076923141.2307692307692350250.14230769230767141.2307692307692366294.026923076923109.2781065088757470337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692399425.680769230769293.3017751479289910230.719230769230762130.579881656804731074.60384615384615141.2307692307692329118.4884615384615493.3017751479289930162.373076923076913.4201183431952747206.2576923076923103.9526627218934952250.14230769230767130.5798816568047360294.02692307692377.3254437869822570337.9115384615384141.2307692307692389381.7961538461538693.3017751479289990425.680769230769245.37278106508874510All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Kevin 3-7 12th 99.76 0.486 17.32 5-9 11th
1 993 2024 Ed 5-5 8th 99.72 0.484 16.05 6-8 9th
2 987 2011 Babel 5-5 8th 99.44 0.492 17.14 7-6 7th
3 986 2012 Allen 4-6 7th 98.85 0.487 21.97 6-7 8th
4 985 2020 Babel 6-4 6th 98.82 0.488 13.87 8-5 3rd 3rd place
5 980 2011 Derrek 6-4 5th 99.34 0.483 23.75 8-5 3rd 6th place
6 978 2014 Mike R. 5-5 7th 98.26 0.490 21.47 6-7 7th
7 977 2024 Pat 5-5 7th 100.82 0.481 21.29 6-8 10th
8 976 2010 Derrek 6-4 5th 94.35 0.485 18.15 7-6 5th 3rd place
9 973 2020 Mike R. 4-6 10th 98.47 0.493 13.98 6-7 11th
10 968 2021 Mike R. 2-8 10th 97.81 0.477 21.05 4-10 11th