2024 Pat (through 10 weeks)

5-5 (0.500), 1,008.17 points (100.82 average)

7th place

4.81 expected wins (0.481)

61-69 all-play record (0.469)

-8.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 90.24 75.23 Derrek 15.01
2 W 82.85 72.58 Kevin 10.27
3 L 128.26 134.07 Ed -5.81
4 W 108.54 87.50 Pulley 21.04
5 L 81.26 126.18 Mike R. -44.92
6 W 145.60 81.08 Babel 64.52 Team Blangums
7 W 113.45 102.58 Rabbit 10.87
8 L 89.72 93.48 Derrek -3.76
9 L 78.82 79.14 Matt -0.32 Slapped Heartbeat
10 L 89.43 144.70 Dave -55.27
11 Rob
12 Richie
13 Scott
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.23076923076923429.9%268.071.9999999999999950.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.22321344174900.2%80.5874125874126140.7285803282483712.7%127.44055944055944135.05510382697824212.2%174.29370629370626113.05030811281414326.3%221.1468531468531580.4076355493075740.0%268.02.769230769230745519.4%314.853146853146896.2879116904072167.4%361.7062937062937124.0424698185124471.7%408.5594405594406137.4131625041649480.2%455.41258741258747140.7768346258062690.0%502.2657342657343141.2084875452851510Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th77.0025641025641230.69822485207128th142.2589743589743163.2426035502958536th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124149th272.77179487179484185.727810650887655th338.028205128205195.786982248520764th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289975th468.541025641025695.786982248520789th533.7974358974359185.7278106508876910th599.053846153846208.2130177514793105th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th77.002564102564173.3017751479289925th142.258974358974395.786982248520733rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728447th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041554th338.028205128205173.3017751479289962nd403.2846153846153428.33136094674557673rd468.541025641025650.81656804733728486th533.7974358974359118.2721893491124197th599.053846153846140.75739644970415107th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th77.0025641025641230.69822485207127th142.2589743589743140.7573964497041534th207.515384615384673.3017751479289948th272.77179487179484163.2426035502958554th338.028205128205173.3017751479289964th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289975th468.541025641025695.786982248520787th533.7974358974359140.7573964497041597th599.053846153846140.7573964497041510Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Derrick Henry RB
2.12 26 Kenneth Walker III RB
3.03 31 Malik Nabers WR
4.12 54 Aaron Jones RB
5.03 59 Chris Olave K WR
6.12 82 Courtland Sutton WR
7.03 87 Caleb Williams QB
8.12 110 Dalton Kincaid K TE
9.03 115 Jakobi Meyers WR
10.12 138 Tua Tagovailoa QB
11.03 143 Cole Kmet TE
12.12 166 Ray Davis RB
13.03 171 Braelon Allen RB
14.12 194 Jermaine Burton WR
15.03 199 Jake Elliott K
16.12 222 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.34629.507692307692306117.2578823759723410.21071.66153846153847126.6598921194620720.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.658155.9692307692307395.7053570220095440.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.981240.2769230769230573.3039614274983160.731282.430769230769290.6503284458008870.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.00029.50769230769230693.2849955211754610.00071.66153846153847112.0890150081549220.883113.815384615384680.084198272902330.000155.9692307692307350.1799448132498640.189198.12307692307692128.1794750164543250.000240.276923076923055.3771536242273960.000282.430769230769240.0698876608325270.325324.58461538461535118.706467794660580.161366.73846153846154130.0563665455596590.321408.89230769230767119.0337383553599910Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910730.719230769230762103.952662721893491274.60384615384615130.5798816568047320118.48846153846154141.2307692307692339162.373076923076993.3017751479289940206.2576923076923141.23076923076923513250.1423076923076772.0610294.02692307692387.9763313609467470337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.71923076923076266.674556213017751074.60384615384615119.92899408284023212118.4884615384615477.3254437869822530162.373076923076945.37278106508874541206.2576923076923135.9053254437869850250.142307692307672.769230769230773660294.02692307692334.7218934911242571337.9115384615384135.9053254437869880381.79615384615386141.2307692307692396425.6807692307692109.2781065088757410All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Pat 5-5 7th 100.82 0.481 21.29 6-8 10th
1 984 2011 Derrek 6-4 5th 99.34 0.483 23.75 8-5 3rd 6th place
2 983 2020 Rabbit 5-5 8th 100.10 0.475 22.61 6-7 10th
3 982 2019 Ed 4-6 10th 100.79 0.474 23.23 5-8 11th
4 981 2021 Mike R. 2-8 10th 97.81 0.477 21.05 4-10 11th
5 978 2012 Allen 4-6 7th 98.85 0.487 21.97 6-7 8th
6 978 2024 Ed 5-5 8th 99.72 0.484 16.05 6-8 9th
7 978 2011 Kevin 4-6 9th 102.45 0.478 26.40 6-7 8th
8 977 2011 Dave 3-7 11th 98.02 0.478 24.62 3-10 12th
9 977 2024 Kevin 3-7 12th 99.76 0.486 17.32 5-9 11th
10 973 2022 Rabbit 5-5 9th 97.08 0.481 26.36 8-6 5th 5th place