2010 Derrek (through 10 weeks)

6-4 (0.600), 943.52 points (94.35 average)

5th place

4.85 expected wins (0.485)

56-54 all-play record (0.509)

-11.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 88.82 82.53 Matt 6.29
2 W 101.51 85.30 Rob 16.21
3 W 85.65 84.48 Kevin 1.17
4 W 128.72 90.03 Ed 38.69
5 L 83.68 104.34 Rabbit -20.66
6 W 104.37 69.62 Mike R. 34.75
7 L 104.37 107.09 Babel -2.72
8 L 63.45 87.14 Pulley -23.69
9 W 109.77 100.78 Dave 8.99
10 L 73.18 106.97 Allen -33.79 Slapped Heartbeat
11 Pat
12 Rob
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.23076923076923520.6%314.853146853146892.2921999997414660.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.203369436887600.4%80.5874125874126140.3209954612467513.1%127.44055944055944133.76271150600382211.8%174.29370629370626113.08994097999829324.3%221.1468531468531583.34712485150416429.1%268.072.050.0%314.853146853146843.35363076871368568.5%361.7062937062937121.0115491598060172.0%408.5594405594406136.5790686144080780.2%455.41258741258747140.7010662925417590.0%502.2657342657343141.2086328911038310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th77.0025641025641191.860139860139927th142.2589743589743165.286713286713334th207.515384615384685.5664335664335745th272.77179487179484112.1398601398601654th338.028205128205185.5664335664335764th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335775th468.5410256410256112.1398601398601684th533.797435897435985.5664335664335796th599.053846153846138.71328671328675106th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867514th77.002564102564185.5664335664335722nd142.258974358974332.4195804195804331st207.51538461538465.84615384615386843rd272.7717948717948458.99300699300701552nd338.028205128205132.4195804195804363rd403.2846153846153458.99300699300701574th468.541025641025685.5664335664335784th533.797435897435985.5664335664335795th599.053846153846112.13986013986016107th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th77.0025641025641191.860139860139927th142.2589743589743165.286713286713336th207.5153846153846138.7132867132867547th272.77179487179484165.286713286713355th338.0282051282051112.1398601398601665th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601676th468.5410256410256138.7132867132867586th533.7974358974359138.7132867132867597th599.053846153846165.286713286713310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees QB
2.03 15 Ryan Grant RB
3.10 34 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.03 39 Donald Driver WR
5.10 58 Kellen Winslow II TE
6.03 63 Brandon Jacobs RB
7.10 82 Braylon Edwards WR
8.03 87 Bernard Berrian WR
9.10 106 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
10.03 111 Darren McFadden RB
11.10 130 Sidney Rice K WR
12.03 135 Willis McGahee RB
13.10 154 Chad Henne QB
14.03 159 Kevin Smith RB
15.10 178 Matt Prater K
16.03 183 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.37129.507692307692306115.5377099968783610.59671.6615384615384799.9977083729628220.332113.8153846153846118.2663182770545230.959155.9692307692307374.8602417143236840.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.653240.2769230769230596.0531901564503760.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.749366.7384615384615489.3947286111906490.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.00029.50769230769230689.844650762987510.00071.6615384615384758.76464751515642620.000113.815384615384695.3018673233398230.000155.969230769230738.4897141978781340.291198.12307692307692121.0756315898009850.000240.2769230769230550.875611082131560.653282.430769230769296.0531901564503770.086324.58461538461535135.2780252123932380.000366.7384615384615437.5586879916120690.166408.89230769230767129.754328813555510Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910530.719230769230762109.762237762237761774.6038461538461597.1748251748251725118.48846153846154109.76223776223776310162.373076923076978.293706293706340206.2576923076923141.2307692307692358250.1423076923076790.8811188811188860294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.23076923076923810381.7961538461538678.293706293706390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.71923076923076278.293706293706311074.6038461538461553.1188811188811220118.4884615384615478.2937062937063130162.373076923076915.3566433566433643206.2576923076923122.3496503496503550250.1423076923076740.5314685314685366294.026923076923103.4685314685314772337.9115384615384128.6433566433566480381.7961538461538615.3566433566433690425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Derrek 6-4 5th 94.35 0.485 18.15 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 976 2024 Kevin 3-7 12th 99.76 0.486 17.32 5-9 11th
2 975 2010 Mike R. 4-6 7th 93.46 0.475 18.57 4-9 11th
3 972 2012 Allen 4-6 7th 98.85 0.487 21.97 6-7 8th
4 971 2024 Ed 5-5 8th 99.72 0.484 16.05 6-8 9th
5 969 2014 Mike R. 5-5 7th 98.26 0.490 21.47 6-7 7th
6 968 2020 Babel 6-4 6th 98.82 0.488 13.87 8-5 3rd 3rd place
7 965 2022 Rabbit 5-5 9th 97.08 0.481 26.36 8-6 5th 5th place
8 965 2011 Babel 5-5 8th 99.44 0.492 17.14 7-6 7th
9 964 2021 Mike R. 2-8 10th 97.81 0.477 21.05 4-10 11th
10 964 2011 Derrek 6-4 5th 99.34 0.483 23.75 8-5 3rd 6th place