2014 Schertz (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,081.88 points (90.16 average)

11th place

4.56 expected wins (0.380)

57-99 all-play record (0.365)

-10.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 83.62 157.21 Dave -73.59
2 W 74.81 72.63 Ed 2.18
3 W 96.28 75.96 Mike R. 20.32
4 W 100.39 87.58 Babel 12.81
5 W 107.18 89.05 Allen 18.13
6 W 120.48 60.70 Kevin 59.78 Team Blangums
7 L 78.03 84.05 Matt -6.02
8 L 99.95 153.86 Rabbit -53.91
9 L 74.25 82.06 Rob -7.81
10 L 82.61 110.01 Pat -27.40
11 L 74.61 104.02 Derrek -29.41
12 L 89.67 101.83 Pulley -12.16
13 Richie

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%41.37278106508876141.2307692307692300.0%95.81065088757397141.2307692307692310.0%150.24852071005915141.2307692307692320.0%204.68639053254438141.2307692307692330.0%259.1242603550296141.23076923076923424.5%313.5621301775148673.0287965805011850.0%368.0141.2307692307692360.0%422.4378698224852141.2307692307692370.0%476.87573964497045141.2307692307692380.0%531.3136094674556141.2307692307692390.0%585.7514792899409141.23076923076923100.0%640.189349112426141.23076923076923110.0%694.6272189349113141.23076923076923120.1%41.37278106508876140.9142185046025301.4%95.81065088757397137.359604935594716.5%150.24852071005915123.03039917267539216.4%204.6863905325443895.67252652140021324.9%259.124260355029672.040.0%313.562130177514864.826823930233132516.2%368.096.164215452007867.3%422.4378698224852120.9649621470331972.2%476.87573964497045135.0386166056783880.5%531.3136094674556139.970180874724690.1%585.7514792899409141.06762546367787100.0%640.189349112426141.2186577597763110.0%694.6272189349113141.2303773328730512Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th65.13776223776223275.6686390532544211th118.52937062937062230.698224852071311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071410th225.3125874125874208.213017751479357th278.7041958041958140.7573964497041568th332.09580419580413163.2426035502958578th385.4874125874125163.2426035502958588th438.87902097902094163.24260355029585911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721112th599.053846153846253.183431952662721211th11.746153846153845230.698224852071111th65.13776223776223230.69822485207128th118.52937062937062163.2426035502958534th171.9209790209790273.3017751479289943rd225.312587412587450.81656804733728453rd278.704195804195850.81656804733728464th332.0958041958041373.3017751479289975th385.487412587412595.786982248520786th438.87902097902094118.2721893491124198th492.27062937062936163.24260355029585109th545.6622377622377185.72781065088761111th599.053846153846230.6982248520711211th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th65.13776223776223275.6686390532544211th118.52937062937062230.698224852071310th171.92097902097902208.2130177514793410th225.3125874125874208.213017751479357th278.7041958041958140.7573964497041568th332.09580419580413163.2426035502958578th385.4874125874125163.2426035502958588th438.87902097902094163.24260355029585910th492.27062937062936208.21301775147931011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711112th599.053846153846253.1834319526627212Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Matt Forte RB
2.13 27 Vincent Jackson WR
3.02 30 Pierre Garcon WR
4.13 55 Vernon Davis TE
5.02 58 Tom Brady QB
6.13 83 Ben Tate K RB
7.02 86 Terrance West RB
8.13 111 Justin Hunter WR
9.02 114 Jay Cutler QB
10.13 139 St. Louis DEF
11.02 142 Matt Prater K
12.13 167 Jonathan Grimes RB
13.02 170 Michael Crabtree K WR
14.13 195 Brandon Bostick TE
15.02 198 C.J. Anderson RB
16.13 223 Harry Douglas WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00037.853846153846156141.2307692307692310.16189.00769230769231130.054795336380620.454140.16153846153844109.772646765898230.518191.3153846153846105.3813677064568440.662242.4692307692307395.375786324637650.839293.6230769230769583.1688385881039860.000344.7769230769231141.2307692307692370.000395.9307692307692141.2307692307692380.000447.0846153846154141.2307692307692390.000498.23846153846154141.23076923076923100.000549.3923076923077141.23076923076923110.000600.5461538461539141.23076923076923120.27937.853846153846156121.9246547417781310.00089.00769230769231118.8788214419919620.000140.1615384615384478.3145243010271830.000191.315384615384669.5319661821444440.000242.4692307692307349.5208034185059650.000293.6230769230769525.10690794543873560.205344.7769230769231127.0331085004283370.510395.9307692307692105.9156615987245580.153447.0846153846154130.6682578642752690.269498.23846153846154122.60570639102681100.157549.3923076923077130.3473039360579110.354600.5461538461539116.6890465886253512Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112038.92115384615384141.230769230769231291.5173076923077130.5798816568047325144.1134615384615114.6035502958579935196.7096153846154114.60355029585799410249.3057692307692487.97633136094674513301.90192307692372.060354.4980769230769141.2307692307692370407.09423076923076141.2307692307692380459.6903846153845141.2307692307692390512.2865384615385141.23076923076923100564.8826923076923141.23076923076923110617.4788461538461141.2307692307692312338.92115384615384125.254437869822481091.5173076923077119.9289940828402320144.113461538461587.9763313609467430196.709615384615487.9763313609467440249.3057692307692434.7218934911242550301.9019230769232.769230769230773665354.4980769230769114.6035502958579975407.09423076923076114.6035502958579983459.6903846153845125.2544378698224892512.2865384615385130.57988165680473101564.8826923076923135.90532544378698113617.4788461538461125.2544378698224812All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Schertz 5-7 11th 90.16 0.380 14.21 5-8 13th
1 979 2016 Mike R. 4-8 13th 91.24 0.387 16.09 5-8 11th
2 973 2023 Scott 6-6 9th 91.99 0.384 19.90 8-6 7th
3 972 2016 Pat 7-5 5th 89.61 0.370 16.58 7-6 7th
4 966 2013 Richie 5-7 11th 86.56 0.377 21.33 6-7 10th
5 962 2011 Pat 5-7 10th 88.34 0.376 25.14 5-8 11th
6 961 2023 Derrek 4-8 12th 92.24 0.392 17.93 5-9 12th
7 961 2010 Kevin 4-8 11th 89.93 0.398 15.76 5-8 10th
8 957 2017 Allen 4-8 12th 85.88 0.369 12.97 5-8 12th
9 956 2019 Richie 4-8 13th 90.95 0.365 19.87 5-8 12th
10 956 2021 Pulley 3-9 11th 92.03 0.397 15.84 5-9 10th