2011 Pat (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,060.12 points (88.34 average)

10th place

4.51 expected wins (0.376)

43-89 all-play record (0.326)

+2.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 L 102.28 107.15 Pulley -4.87
10 L 52.13 112.20 Mike R. -60.07 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 109.79 83.90 Kevin 25.89
12 W 116.01 80.64 Mike R. 35.37
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%41.37278106508876141.2307692307692300.0%95.81065088757397141.2307692307692310.0%150.24852071005915141.2307692307692320.0%204.68639053254438141.2307692307692330.0%259.1242603550296141.23076923076923427.9%313.5621301775148672.050.0%368.0141.2307692307692360.0%422.4378698224852141.2307692307692370.0%476.87573964497045141.2307692307692380.0%531.3136094674556141.2307692307692390.0%585.7514792899409141.23076923076923100.0%640.189349112426141.23076923076923110.0%694.6272189349113141.23076923076923120.1%41.37278106508876141.072458262987600.9%95.81065088757397139.0222715113586715.0%150.24852071005915128.73100162730844215.1%204.68639053254438103.69813336841672326.5%259.124260355029675.5059158642333640.0%313.562130177514862.7692307692307736517.4%368.097.9095443023597366.1%422.4378698224852126.1074054215570871.0%476.87573964497045138.7184432284796980.0%531.3136094674556141.10989394882690.0%585.7514792899409141.23076923076923100.0%640.189349112426141.23076923076923110.0%694.6272189349113141.2307692307692312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th65.1377622377622385.5664335664335725th118.52937062937062112.1398601398601637th171.92097902097902165.2867132867133411th225.3125874125874271.5804195804196511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196611th332.09580419580413271.5804195804196711th385.4874125874125271.5804195804196812th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613912th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131011th545.6622377622377271.58041958041961111th599.053846153846271.5804195804196123rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th65.1377622377622385.5664335664335723rd118.5293706293706258.99300699300701536th171.92097902097902138.71328671328675410th225.3125874125874245.006993006993511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196612th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613712th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613812th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613912th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131011th545.6622377622377271.58041958041961110th599.053846153846245.006993006993123rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th65.1377622377622385.5664335664335725th118.52937062937062112.1398601398601637th171.92097902097902165.2867132867133411th225.3125874125874271.5804195804196511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196612th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613712th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613812th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613912th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131012th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131111th599.053846153846271.580419580419612Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1
1.02 2
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
1.04 4
1.05 5
1.06 6
1.07 7
1.08 8
1.09 9
1.10 10
1.11 11
1.12 12
2.01 13
2.02 14
2.03 15
2.04 16
2.05 17
2.06 18
2.07 19
2.08 20
2.09 21
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
2.11 23
2.12 24
3.01 25
3.02 26
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
3.04 28
3.05 29
3.06 30
3.07 31
3.08 32
3.09 33
3.10 34
3.11 35
3.12 36
4.01 37
4.02 38
4.03 39
4.04 40
4.05 41
4.06 42
4.07 43
4.08 44
4.09 45
4.10 46 Ray Rice Kx2 RB
4.11 47
4.12 48
5.01 49
5.02 50
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
5.04 52
5.05 53
5.06 54
5.07 55
5.08 56
5.09 57
5.10 58
5.11 59
5.12 60
6.01 61
6.02 62
6.03 63
6.04 64
6.05 65
6.06 66
6.07 67
6.08 68
6.09 69
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
6.11 71
6.12 72
7.01 73
7.02 74
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
7.04 76
7.05 77
7.06 78
7.07 79
7.08 80
7.09 81
7.10 82
7.11 83
7.12 84
8.01 85
8.02 86
8.03 87
8.04 88
8.05 89
8.06 90
8.07 91
8.08 92
8.09 93
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
8.11 95
8.12 96
9.01 97
9.02 98
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
9.04 100
9.05 101
9.06 102
9.07 103
9.08 104
9.09 105
9.10 106
9.11 107
9.12 108
10.01 109
10.02 110
10.03 111
10.04 112
10.05 113
10.06 114
10.07 115
10.08 116
10.09 117
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
10.11 119
10.12 120
11.01 121
11.02 122
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
11.04 124
11.05 125
11.06 126
11.07 127
11.08 128
11.09 129
11.10 130
11.11 131
11.12 132
12.01 133
12.02 134
12.03 135
12.04 136
12.05 137
12.06 138
12.07 139
12.08 140
12.09 141
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
12.11 143
12.12 144
13.01 145
13.02 146
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
13.04 148
13.05 149
13.06 150
13.07 151
13.08 152
13.09 153
13.10 154
13.11 155
13.12 156
14.01 157
14.02 158
14.03 159
14.04 160
14.05 161
14.06 162
14.07 163
14.08 164
14.09 165
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
14.11 167
14.12 168
15.01 169
15.02 170
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
15.04 172
15.05 173
15.06 174
15.07 175
15.08 176
15.09 177
15.10 178
15.11 179
15.12 180
16.01 181
16.02 182
16.03 183
16.04 184
16.05 185
16.06 186
16.07 187
16.08 188
16.09 189
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR
16.11 191
16.12 192

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.80837.85384615384615683.11769674878910.00089.00769230769231137.565328628767720.354140.16153846153844113.7160742526731530.000191.3153846153846137.565328628767740.000242.46923076923073137.565328628767750.000293.62307692307695137.565328628767760.000344.7769230769231137.565328628767770.314395.9307692307692116.4321832192173180.000447.0846153846154137.565328628767790.000498.23846153846154137.5653286287677100.662549.392307692307792.92219759023106110.766600.546153846153985.9493396299828120.00037.85384615384615628.670064868810310.56589.0076923076923199.5155456696646820.000140.1615384615384489.866819876578630.518191.3153846153846102.632828751488094-0.024242.46923076923073139.1844407916303250.071293.62307692307695132.77581520438216-0.027344.7769230769231139.3980489297684670.000395.930769230769295.2990378096669380.515447.0846153846154102.881685700083619-0.014498.23846153846154138.48922605827602100.000549.392307692307748.27906655169444110.000600.546153846153934.33335063119791612Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112938.9211538461538484.587412587412591091.5173076923077141.2307692307692323144.1134615384615122.3496503496503530196.7096153846154141.2307692307692340249.30576923076924141.2307692307692350301.901923076923141.2307692307692360354.4980769230769141.2307692307692374407.09423076923076116.0559440559440580459.6903846153845141.2307692307692390512.2865384615385141.23076923076923108564.882692307692390.88111888111888117617.478846153846197.1748251748251712038.9211538461538427.9440559440559471391.5173076923077122.3496503496503520144.1134615384615103.4685314685314734196.7096153846154116.0559440559440540249.30576923076924141.2307692307692351301.901923076923134.9370629370629360354.4980769230769141.2307692307692370407.0942307692307690.881118881118984459.6903846153845116.0559440559440590512.2865384615385141.23076923076923100564.882692307692340.53146853146853110617.478846153846153.1188811188811212All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 5-7 10th 88.34 0.376 25.14 5-8 11th
1 986 2014 Derrek 5-7 12th 87.76 0.370 24.99 5-8 12th
2 982 2013 Richie 5-7 11th 86.56 0.377 21.33 6-7 10th
3 975 2025 Richie 7-5 6th 86.55 0.368 26.65 8-6 6th 4th place
4 966 2016 Pat 7-5 5th 89.61 0.370 16.58 7-6 7th
5 963 2015 Pat 5-7 11th 85.47 0.386 23.03 6-7 9th
6 962 2014 Schertz 5-7 11th 90.16 0.380 14.21 5-8 13th
7 961 2009 Pulley 4-8 12th 88.76 0.362 19.83 4-9 12th
8 959 2019 Richie 4-8 13th 90.95 0.365 19.87 5-8 12th
9 958 2010 Pat 3-9 12th 84.74 0.365 21.61 3-10 12th
10 957 2023 Scott 6-6 9th 91.99 0.385 19.90 8-6 7th