2023 Derrek (through 12 weeks)

4-8 (0.333), 1,106.82 points (92.24 average)

12th place

4.70 expected wins (0.392)

66-90 all-play record (0.423)

+13.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 63.20 83.70 Dave -20.50
2 L 88.68 99.99 Pat -11.31
3 L 97.50 102.60 Ed -5.10
4 L 82.01 123.59 Mike R. -41.58
5 W 113.48 102.03 Richie 11.45
6 W 92.96 66.01 Schertz 26.95
7 L 108.07 110.92 Matt -2.85
8 L 61.10 123.92 Kevin -62.82 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 92.49 123.32 Pulley -30.83
10 W 90.10 70.05 Dave 20.05
11 L 90.50 151.68 Rob -61.18
12 W 126.73 112.58 Babel 14.15
13 Scott
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.23076923076923324.5%188.7100591715976376.0365821727648840.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.1%30.130177514792905141.066940113437500.9%69.77514792899409138.7896275450853515.1%109.42011834319527127.7018189683152214.6%149.06508875739644102.5456696703991930.0%188.7100591715976310.842395114760535426.1%228.3550295857988372.0518.0%268.093.4747738244513668.1%307.64497041420117119.7693606448167972.3%347.28994082840245135.1062275460311680.4%386.93491124260356140.1923232820065890.0%426.5798816568048141.14039973993465100.0%466.2248520710059141.2279305541709110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307412518780712Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th65.13776223776223275.6686390532544211th118.52937062937062230.698224852071312th171.92097902097902253.18343195266272411th225.3125874125874230.698224852071512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272610th332.09580419580413208.2130177514793712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272912th492.27062937062936253.183431952662721012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721111th599.053846153846230.6982248520711212th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th65.13776223776223275.6686390532544212th118.52937062937062253.18343195266272312th171.92097902097902253.18343195266272411th225.3125874125874230.698224852071511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071611th332.09580419580413230.698224852071713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544912th492.27062937062936253.183431952662721012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721112th599.053846153846253.183431952662721212th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th65.13776223776223275.6686390532544211th118.52937062937062230.698224852071312th171.92097902097902253.18343195266272412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272611th332.09580419580413230.698224852071712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441111th599.053846153846230.69822485207112Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
7
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Jonathan Taylor RB
2.04 18 Josh Jacobs RB
3.11 39 Hollywood Brown WR
4.04 46 Patrick Mahomes II K QB
5.11 67 Skyy Moore WR
6.04 74 Dallas Goedert TE
7.11 95 D.J. Chark, Jr. WR
8.04 102 Allen Lazard WR
9.11 123 Alexander Mattison K RB
10.04 130 Elijah Moore WR
11.11 151 Michael Gallup WR
12.04 158 Ty Chandler RB
13.11 179 Kyler Murray QB
14.04 186 Kenyan Drake RB
15.11 207 Cincinnati DEF
16.04 214 Brett Maher K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.720166.507692307692391.394124963086950.395201.63589743589745113.8579158566371660.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.336342.14871794871794117.96966781136192100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.870412.405128205128280.98245317868958120.02725.994871794871795139.3367538144257210.30961.12307692307692119.8500050807009220.46196.25128205128203109.349290380616830.199131.37948717948717127.4827544326646840.000166.507692307692341.55748069540456450.000201.6358974358974586.485062482505160.631236.7641025641025697.5451607642965370.019271.89230769230767139.8823419902530280.388307.0205128205128114.3375654581644890.000342.1487179487179494.7085663919546100.343377.2769230769231117.48630501211171110.000412.405128205128220.73413712660993712Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692348173.344230769230798.6272189349112458209.9147435897435898.6272189349112460246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692393356.19679487179485125.25443786982248100392.7673076923077141.230769230769231110429.337820512820587.9763313609467412227.062179487179485130.579881656804731263.6326923076923130.5798816568047324100.20320512820511119.9289940828402333136.77371794871794125.2544378698224840173.344230769230756.0236686390532450209.9147435897435856.0236686390532469246.485256410256493.3017751479289970283.0557692307692141.2307692307692389319.6262820512820393.3017751479289990356.19679487179485109.27810650887574108392.767307692307798.62721893491124110429.337820512820534.7218934911242512All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Derrek 4-8 12th 92.24 0.392 17.93 5-9 12th
1 984 2021 Pulley 3-9 11th 92.03 0.397 15.84 5-9 10th
2 983 2016 Mike R. 4-8 13th 91.24 0.387 16.09 5-8 11th
3 981 2023 Scott 6-6 9th 91.99 0.384 19.90 8-6 7th
4 974 2010 Kevin 4-8 11th 89.93 0.398 15.76 5-8 10th
5 962 2014 Richie 5-7 10th 91.70 0.407 20.35 6-7 9th
6 961 2014 Schertz 5-7 11th 90.16 0.380 14.21 5-8 13th
7 958 2012 Pulley 4-8 11th 89.74 0.403 13.70 4-9 12th
8 958 2013 Pat 5-7 10th 88.75 0.404 16.56 5-8 12th
9 955 2015 Ed 3-9 13th 88.69 0.403 21.40 4-9 12th
10 952 2015 Pat 5-7 11th 85.47 0.386 23.03 6-7 9th