2025 Derrek (through 6 weeks)

2-4 (0.333), 570.22 points (95.04 average)

11th place

2.58 expected wins (0.429)

35-43 all-play record (0.449)

+13.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.80 89.67 Pulley 14.13
2 L 88.30 112.82 Matt -24.52
3 W 119.37 95.32 Kevin 24.05
4 L 71.12 146.34 Babel -75.22 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 73.23 83.03 Schertz -9.80
6 L 114.40 117.55 Dave -3.15
7 Mike R.
8 Richie
9 Pat
10 Scott
11 Ed
12 Pulley
13 Rob
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%64.7032967032967141.2307692307692300.0%165.80219780219778141.23076923076923133.5%266.9010989010988677.3459063127163120.0%368.0141.2307692307692330.0%469.09890109890114141.2307692307692340.0%570.1978021978022141.2307692307692350.0%671.2967032967032141.2307692307692361.4%64.7032967032967138.5444452172174011.9%165.80219780219778118.4605810280333310.0%266.9010989010988613.461043394663392236.3%368.072.0314.6%469.09890109890114113.3313659423729442.1%570.1978021978022137.224390948435150.1%671.2967032967032141.04714329123396Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th129.2076923076923208.213017751479326th246.66923076923075118.27218934911241310th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793412th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272510th599.053846153846208.213017751479364th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th129.2076923076923208.213017751479325th246.6692307692307595.786982248520739th364.1307692307692185.7278106508876413th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544511th599.053846153846230.69822485207164th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th129.2076923076923208.213017751479326th246.66923076923075118.27218934911241311th364.1307692307692230.698224852071413th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544510th599.053846153846208.21301775147936Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Christian McCaffrey RB
2.13 27 TreVeyon Henderson RB
3.02 30 DK Metcalf WR
4.13 55 Jakobi Meyers WR
5.02 58 Jerry Jeudy WR
6.13 83 Cooper Kupp WR
7.02 86 Ladd McConkey K WR
8.13 111 Colston Loveland TE
9.02 114 Justin Herbert QB
10.13 139 Austin Ekeler RB
11.02 142 Minnesota DEF
12.13 167 Ricky Pearsall K WR
13.02 170 MarShawn Lloyd RB
14.13 195 Will Shipley RB
15.02 198 Cam Ward QB
16.13 223 Wil Lutz K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.55063.430769230769236103.1197464842910310.000165.73846153846154141.2307692307692320.797268.0461538461538686.0621242591493930.000370.3538461538461141.2307692307692340.000472.66153846153844141.2307692307692350.000574.9692307692308141.2307692307692360.00063.43076923076923665.0087237378128310.295165.73846153846154120.7907027847183820.000268.0461538461538630.89347928752954430.088370.3538461538461135.1455930064621540.116472.66153846153844133.189885215027550.728574.969230769230890.80370692026696Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234561065.2192307692307687.9763313609467410170.41153846153844141.23076923076923211275.603846153846182.650887573964530380.79615384615386141.2307692307692340485.9884615384615141.2307692307692350591.1807692307692141.230769230769236065.2192307692307634.7218934911242513170.41153846153844125.2544378698224820275.603846153846124.07100591715975230380.79615384615386141.2307692307692342485.9884615384615130.5798816568047359591.180769230769293.301775147928996All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Derrek 2-4 11th 95.04 0.429 18.87
1 986 2014 Kevin 2-4 11th 93.32 0.431 20.46 4-9 14th
2 985 2014 Ed 3-3 7th 93.80 0.432 16.49 6-7 8th
3 982 2015 Schertz 4-2 4th 92.82 0.430 15.49 9-4 2nd 2nd place
4 982 2019 Ed 3-3 8th 97.11 0.428 22.90 5-8 11th
5 981 2021 Pat 1-5 12th 98.80 0.429 17.09 3-11 12th
6 979 2012 Pat 3-3 8th 91.81 0.433 19.17 5-8 11th
7 979 2012 Pulley 1-5 12th 93.67 0.431 12.50 4-9 12th
8 978 2009 Allen 2-4 11th 92.45 0.428 14.45 6-7 7th
9 977 2023 Richie 1-5 12th 95.36 0.432 10.33 4-10 13th
10 977 2016 Allen 3-3 9th 95.62 0.423 23.17 4-9 13th