2025 Derrek (through 3 weeks)

2-1 (0.667), 311.47 points (103.82 average)

5th place

1.72 expected wins (0.574)

24-15 all-play record (0.615)

+3.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.80 89.67 Pulley 14.13
2 L 88.30 112.82 Matt -24.52
3 W 119.37 95.32 Kevin 24.05
4 Babel
5 Schertz
6 Dave
7 Mike R.
8 Richie
9 Pat
10 Scott
11 Ed
12 Pulley
13 Rob
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%01230.0%102.61538461538461141.2307692307692300.0%279.53846153846155141.23076923076923146.7%456.4615384615384571.9999999999999920.0%633.3846153846154141.2307692307692335.1%102.61538461538461133.74819453875648032.9%279.5384615384615592.4890140889295710.0%456.461538461538452.769230769230745215.3%633.3846153846154118.538165042432783Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th305.4208.213017751479326th599.053846153846118.2721893491124134th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th305.4208.213017751479325th599.05384615384695.786982248520734th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th305.4208.213017751479326th599.053846153846118.272189349112413Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Christian McCaffrey RB
2.13 27 TreVeyon Henderson RB
3.02 30 DK Metcalf WR
4.13 55 Jakobi Meyers WR
5.02 58 Jerry Jeudy WR
6.13 83 Cooper Kupp WR
7.02 86 Ladd McConkey K WR
8.13 111 Colston Loveland TE
9.02 114 Justin Herbert QB
10.13 139 Austin Ekeler RB
11.02 142 Minnesota DEF
12.13 167 Ricky Pearsall K WR
13.02 170 MarShawn Lloyd RB
14.13 195 Will Shipley RB
15.02 198 Cam Ward QB
16.13 223 Wil Lutz K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001230.577114.58461538461539101.2612635850699110.000319.2141.2307692307692320.824523.815384615384684.2036413599282730.000114.5846153846153961.2917579393706110.322319.2118.9322198854972520.000523.815384615384627.17651348908733Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312310117.815384615384687.9763313609467410328.2141.23076923076923211538.584615384615382.650887573964530117.815384615384634.7218934911242513328.2125.2544378698224820538.584615384615324.0710059171597523All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Derrek 2-1 5th 103.82 0.574 12.68
1 979 2022 Kevin 2-1 6th 101.30 0.574 7.48 6-8 12th
2 965 2015 Schertz 3-0 3rd 103.59 0.558 13.16 9-4 2nd 2nd place
3 963 2022 Scott 1-2 8th 101.43 0.576 0.90 6-8 10th
4 962 2020 Derrek 2-1 5th 111.87 0.577 12.03 8-5 5th 5th place
5 960 2025 Pulley 0-3 14th 104.32 0.591 10.48
6 959 2019 Scott 1-2 8th 105.82 0.562 16.78 4-9 14th
7 958 2021 Mike R. 0-3 11th 103.84 0.559 7.10 4-10 11th
8 956 2009 Allen 2-1 2nd 101.86 0.584 4.31 6-7 7th
9 955 2009 Kevin 1-2 7th 100.51 0.558 12.71 6-7 6th 5th place
10 949 2024 Mike R. 1-2 10th 105.50 0.583 25.90 9-5 2nd 3rd place