2021 Mike R. (through 7 weeks)

1-6 (0.143), 742.82 points (106.12 average)

11th place

3.71 expected wins (0.530)

49-42 all-play record (0.538)

+65.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 108.98 111.39 Pat -2.41
2 L 93.79 120.93 Derrek -27.14
3 L 108.74 139.14 Kevin -30.40
4 W 133.41 122.50 Pat 10.91
5 L 121.31 135.53 Richie -14.22
6 L 90.81 137.45 Schertz -46.64
7 L 85.78 153.82 Dave -68.04
8 Rabbit
9 Scott
10 Pulley
11 Ed
12 Babel
13 Rob
14 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%58.38461538461538141.2307692307692302.4%146.84615384615384136.0177777501126610.0%235.30769230769232141.2307692307692320.0%323.7692307692308141.2307692307692330.0%412.2307692307692141.2307692307692340.0%500.6923076923077141.2307692307692350.0%589.1538461538461141.2307692307692360.0%677.6153846153845141.2307692307692370.2%58.38461538461538140.8539361170387300.0%146.84615384615384130.80478626945612112.1%235.30769230769232115.36241737906349227.9%323.769230769230881.64854811392819332.4%412.230769230769272.0419.0%500.6923076923077100.6240506135431655.3%589.1538461538461129.8667463223216660.6%677.6153846153845140.035603588956777Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041516th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124125th207.515384615384695.786982248520734th305.473.3017751479289944th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289957th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041568th599.053846153846163.2426035502958579th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876111th109.6307692307692230.698224852071211th207.5153846153846230.69822485207139th305.4185.727810650887649th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876511th501.16923076923075230.698224852071611th599.053846153846230.69822485207177th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041516th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124127th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041535th305.495.786982248520746th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124157th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041568th599.053846153846163.242603550295857Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Travis Kelce TE
2.10 24 David Montgomery RB
3.05 33 Chris Godwin, Jr. WR
4.10 52 Robbie Chosen WR
5.05 61 Javonte Williams RB
6.10 80 Laviska Shenault, Jr. WR
7.05 89 Joe Burrow QB
8.10 108 James Robinson K RB
9.05 117 Brandon Aiyuk K WR
10.10 136 Terrace Marshall, Jr. WR
11.05 145 Jakobi Meyers WR
12.10 164 Carlos Hyde RB
13.05 173 Tyler Bass K
14.10 192 Damien Williams RB
15.05 201 Buffalo DEF
16.10 220 Kenneth Gainwell RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00056.12307692307693141.2307692307692310.000143.81538461538463141.2307692307692320.000231.5076923076923141.2307692307692330.859319.281.7911265757065340.000406.89230769230767141.2307692307692350.000494.5846153846154141.2307692307692360.000582.276923076923141.2307692307692370.60556.1230769230769399.3423042421537710.353143.81538461538463116.8101752284837320.602231.507692307692399.5532720122802230.000319.222.3514839206438340.776406.8923076923076787.491506251849550.296494.5846153846154120.7079312305452160.221582.276923076923125.958810986198917Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567057.7054945054945141.2307692307692310147.87032967032965141.2307692307692320238.0351648351648141.23076923076923312328.1999999999999377.3254437869822540418.36483516483514141.2307692307692350508.52967032967035141.2307692307692360598.6945054945054141.230769230769237757.7054945054945103.9526627218934916147.87032967032965109.2781065088757429238.035164835164893.3017751479289930328.1999999999999313.4201183431952749418.3648351648351493.3017751479289953508.52967032967035125.2544378698224863598.6945054945054125.254437869822487All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Mike R. 1-6 11th 106.12 0.530 15.99 4-10 11th
1 981 2026 Schertz 5-2 5th 103.63 0.530 20.19
2 976 2018 Ed 2-5 11th 108.86 0.528 20.17 6-7 9th
3 972 2025 Dave 4-3 5th 101.66 0.533 14.22 7-7 7th
4 967 2026 Scott 4-3 6th 101.96 0.530 7.75
5 967 2024 Babel 5-2 3rd 102.84 0.535 21.47 9-5 4th 4th place
6 967 2020 Mike R. 3-4 10th 103.88 0.525 8.75 6-7 11th
7 963 2011 Matt 4-3 5th 103.35 0.541 14.16 7-6 6th 2nd place
8 963 2026 Rabbit 2-5 11th 102.61 0.536 10.72
9 963 2020 Rabbit 3-4 8th 107.94 0.539 22.61 6-7 10th
10 955 2015 Babel 3-4 8th 102.03 0.526 25.91 5-8 10th