2011 Matt (through 7 weeks)

4-3 (0.571), 723.45 points (103.35 average)

5th place

3.79 expected wins (0.541)

39-38 all-play record (0.506)

-2.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 112.66 94.22 Ed 18.44
2 L 70.57 114.87 Allen -44.30 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 107.03 114.03 Pulley -7.00
4 W 112.60 82.65 Mike R. 29.95
5 L 98.46 154.68 Kevin -56.22
6 W 111.24 102.68 Rabbit 8.56
7 W 110.89 59.96 Derrek 50.93
8 Pat
9 Rob
10 Babel
11 Dave
12 Kevin
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.23076923076923332.3%300.211538461538572.040.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.2%42.519230769230774140.7163920756614202.5%106.9423076923077135.7705721084986111.1%171.3653846153846117.41314010293414225.5%235.7884615384615286.6648102768466830.0%300.21153846153852.7692307692307736421.7%364.634615384615594.8197450603182456.3%429.0576923076924127.7378134524611560.3%493.4807692307693140.546338089392727Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek5th11.746153846153845112.13986013986016111th109.6307692307692271.5804195804196210th207.5153846153846245.00699300699338th305.4191.860139860139949th403.28461538461534218.4335664335664558th501.16923076923075191.860139860139966th599.053846153846138.7132867132867575th11.746153846153845112.13986013986016110th109.6307692307692245.006993006993211th207.5153846153846271.580419580419638th305.4191.860139860139949th403.28461538461534218.4335664335664559th501.16923076923075218.4335664335664565th599.053846153846112.1398601398601675th11.746153846153845112.13986013986016111th109.6307692307692271.5804195804196211th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196310th305.4245.00699300699349th403.28461538461534218.43356643356645510th501.16923076923075245.00699300699367th599.053846153846165.28671328671337Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
  • Pick 1.05 - from Rob
  • Pick 2.08 - from Rob
  • Pick 1.02 - to Rob
  • Pick 2.11 - to Rob

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Maurice Jones-Drew RB
2.08 20 Reggie Wayne WR
3.02 26 Felix Jones RB
4.11 47 Jahvid Best K RB
5.02 50 Ben Roethlisberger QB
6.11 71 Dez Bryant K WR
7.02 74 Mike Thomas WR
8.11 95 Johnny Knox WR
9.02 98 Ronnie Brown RB
10.11 119 Chicago DEF
11.02 122 Jimmy Graham TE
12.11 143 Danny Amendola WR
13.02 146 Matthew Stafford QB
14.11 167 DeMarco Murray RB
15.02 170 Todd Heap TE
16.11 191 Jay Feeley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.68638.5406593406593493.7101544599909710.00098.76043956043955141.2307692307692320.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.684219.1999999999999693.8560915990119640.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.668339.639560439560494.9751982783363160.661399.859340659340695.456537931641370.00038.5406593406593446.1895396892127110.05998.76043956043955137.1123832260046520.593158.98021978021976100.1976961151832230.000219.1999999999999646.4814139672546840.437279.4197802197802110.9911848324728350.000339.639560439560448.71962732590337560.000399.859340659340649.682306632513367Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567740.1230769230769297.1748251748251710102.8153846153846141.2307692307692320165.50769230769228141.2307692307692335228.19999999999996109.7622377622377640290.8923076923077141.2307692307692359353.584615384615484.5874125874125968416.276923076923190.881118881118887040.1230769230769253.1188811188811210102.8153846153846141.2307692307692325165.50769230769228109.7622377622377630228.1999999999999678.2937062937063145290.8923076923077109.7622377622377650353.584615384615427.94405594405594760416.276923076923140.531468531468537All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Matt 4-3 5th 103.35 0.541 14.16 7-6 6th 2nd place
1 974 2015 Mike R. 5-2 3rd 100.05 0.547 14.24 8-5 4th 6th place
2 974 2016 Pulley 4-3 5th 103.00 0.549 18.74 8-5 3rd 3rd place
3 974 2016 Ed 4-3 6th 102.48 0.550 16.78 6-7 9th
4 972 2020 Scott 4-3 4th 105.01 0.551 12.78 7-6 8th
5 970 2024 Babel 5-2 3rd 102.84 0.535 21.47 9-5 4th 4th place
6 967 2012 Derrek 5-2 5th 98.50 0.538 18.24 8-5 5th 5th place
7 964 2021 Mike R. 1-6 11th 106.12 0.530 15.99 4-10 11th
8 962 2008 Rob 4-3 5th 94.70 0.540 14.95 9-4 2nd 2nd place
9 959 2020 Rabbit 3-4 8th 107.94 0.539 22.61 6-7 10th
10 957 2018 Scott 4-3 7th 110.35 0.544 18.85 6-7 8th