2025 Dave

6-3 (0.667), 931.76 points (103.53 average)

3rd place

4.96 expected wins (0.551)

61-56 all-play record (0.521)

+15.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.32 118.21 Rob -32.89
2 L 78.93 112.40 Schertz -33.47
3 W 106.31 87.69 Ed 18.62
4 L 96.29 121.85 Pulley -25.56
5 W 118.22 102.91 Scott 15.31
6 W 117.55 114.40 Derrek 3.15
7 W 108.99 69.40 Matt 39.59
8 W 86.67 84.15 Pat 2.52
9 W 133.48 133.47 Mike R. 0.01 Team Blangums
10 Rob
11 Babel
12 Richie
13 Rabbit
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%49.53846153846153141.2307692307692300.0%120.30769230769232141.2307692307692310.0%191.07692307692307141.2307692307692320.0%261.8461538461538141.2307692307692330.0%332.6153846153846141.2307692307692340.0%403.38461538461536141.23076923076923522.6%474.1538461538461390.0281754615504260.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692370.0%615.6923076923078141.2307692307692380.0%686.4615384615386141.2307692307692390.0%49.53846153846153141.2071397329172600.3%120.30769230769232140.6365206385714512.3%191.07692307692307135.98342503729978210.0%261.8461538461538118.68880166484011323.2%332.615384615384688.63157967303022430.6%403.3846153846153671.9999999999999950.0%474.1538461538461338.8255816923316169.1%544.9230769230769120.7084126208841671.8%615.6923076923078137.1300812589095480.1%686.4615384615386140.915142956976189Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793113th85.15961538461536275.6686390532544212th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272313th231.98653846153846275.6686390532544411th305.4230.69822485207158th378.8134615384615163.2426035502958566th452.226923076923118.2721893491124177th525.6403846153845140.7573964497041586th599.053846153846118.27218934911241910th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th85.15961538461536253.18343195266272211th158.5730769230769230.698224852071314th231.98653846153846298.15384615384613411th305.4230.69822485207157th378.8134615384615140.7573964497041565th452.22692307692395.786982248520774th525.640384615384573.3017751479289983rd599.05384615384650.816568047337284910th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th85.15961538461536253.18343195266272212th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272313th231.98653846153846275.6686390532544411th305.4230.69822485207157th378.8134615384615140.7573964497041566th452.226923076923118.2721893491124177th525.6403846153845140.7573964497041585th599.05384615384695.78698224852079Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
6
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Ashton Jeanty T RB
2.01 15 Justin Jefferson K WR
3.14 42 DeVonta Smith WR
4.01 43 Sam LaPorta TE
5.14 70 Quinshon Judkins RB
7.14 98 Tank Bigsby RB
8.01 99 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.14 112 Jayden Daniels K T QB
9.14 126 Tyler Allgeier RB
10.01 127 Luther Burden III WR
11.14 154 Cameron Dicker K
12.01 155 Buffalo DEF
13.14 182 Dylan Sampson RB
14.01 183 Isaiah Likely TE
15.14 210 Tua Tagovailoa QB
16.01 211 Tahj Brooks RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00046.379487179487185141.2307692307692310.000114.58461538461539141.2307692307692320.606182.7897435897435899.2776567030026630.000250.99487179487176141.2307692307692340.796319.2000000000000586.1144589669437350.781387.405128205128287.1781803898228460.656455.6102564102564595.7810984951339770.280523.8153846153846121.8184479932813580.925592.020512820512777.1745645417820990.26346.379487179487185123.0511131939926810.175114.58461538461539129.1079430350802720.000182.7897435897435857.32454417523608530.473250.99487179487176108.5109591912656440.000319.2000000000000530.99814870311823350.000387.405128205128233.1255915488764760.000455.6102564102564550.3314277594987270.000523.8153846153846102.4061267557934880.000592.020512820512713.1183598527949539Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789047.687179487179485141.2307692307692310117.8153846153846141.2307692307692327187.9435897435897103.9526627218934930258.07179487179485141.2307692307692348328.298.62721893491124510398.3282051282050787.9763313609467469468.4564102564101593.3017751479289975538.5846153846154114.60355029585799813608.712820512820672.09447.687179487179485119.9289940828402311117.8153846153846135.9053254437869820187.943589743589766.6745562130177534258.07179487179485119.9289940828402340328.256.0236686390532450398.3282051282050734.7218934911242560468.4564102564101545.37278106508874570538.584615384615487.9763313609467480608.71282051282062.76923076923077369All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Dave 6-3 3rd 103.53 0.551 17.06
1 987 2016 Ed 5-4 6th 102.68 0.555 16.81 6-7 9th
2 985 2022 Kevin 5-4 5th 102.53 0.552 20.98 6-8 12th
3 981 2022 Derrek 5-4 4th 103.36 0.558 19.18 8-6 4th 4th place
4 979 2014 Rob 6-3 4th 101.41 0.547 14.29 8-5 3rd 5th place
5 979 2025 Pulley 5-4 6th 103.40 0.558 13.62
6 977 2011 Ed 6-3 2nd 104.74 0.543 19.01 9-4 1st 3rd place
7 975 2021 Kevin 5-4 8th 106.32 0.549 22.08 5-9 9th
8 974 2024 Babel 7-2 2nd 103.81 0.540 19.04 9-5 4th 4th place
9 970 2016 Rob 5-4 5th 103.35 0.563 19.02 8-5 4th 5th place
10 967 2023 Babel 6-3 2nd 106.92 0.552 24.77 9-5 3rd 5th place