2025 Dave (through 8 weeks)

5-3 (0.625), 798.28 points (99.78 average)

4th place

4.02 expected wins (0.503)

48-56 all-play record (0.462)

+6.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.32 118.21 Rob -32.89
2 L 78.93 112.40 Schertz -33.47
3 W 106.31 87.69 Ed 18.62
4 L 96.29 121.85 Pulley -25.56
5 W 118.22 102.91 Scott 15.31
6 W 117.55 114.40 Derrek 3.15
7 W 108.99 69.40 Matt 39.59
8 W 86.67 84.15 Pat 2.52
9 Mike R.
10 Rob
11 Babel
12 Richie
13 Rabbit
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692310.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692320.0%289.36752136752136141.2307692307692330.0%368.0141.23076923076923423.6%446.632478632478788.8031179078253850.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692380.1%53.470085470085465140.9157062862152501.8%132.1025641025641137.2229421571924219.0%210.73504273504273121.22054970852275222.7%289.3675213675213690.81657410693194331.1%368.072.040.0%446.632478632478736.37546658488153659.6%525.2649572649573119.9521930621549861.9%603.897435897436136.9528675264122670.1%682.5299145299145140.900770350127528Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793113th95.64725274725272275.6686390532544212th179.54835164835166253.18343195266272313th263.44945054945055275.6686390532544411th347.3505494505494230.69822485207158th431.2516483516483163.2426035502958566th515.1527472527472118.2721893491124177th599.053846153846140.75739644970415810th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th95.64725274725272253.18343195266272211th179.54835164835166230.698224852071314th263.44945054945055298.15384615384613411th347.3505494505494230.69822485207157th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041565th515.152747252747295.786982248520774th599.05384615384673.30177514792899810th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th95.64725274725272253.18343195266272212th179.54835164835166253.18343195266272313th263.44945054945055275.6686390532544411th347.3505494505494230.69822485207157th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041566th515.1527472527472118.2721893491124177th599.053846153846140.757396449704158Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
6
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Ashton Jeanty T RB
2.01 15 Justin Jefferson K WR
3.14 42 DeVonta Smith WR
4.01 43 Sam LaPorta TE
5.14 70 Quinshon Judkins RB
7.14 98 Tank Bigsby RB
8.01 99 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.14 112 Jayden Daniels K T QB
9.14 126 Tyler Allgeier RB
10.01 127 Luther Burden III WR
11.14 154 Cameron Dicker K
12.01 155 Buffalo DEF
13.14 182 Dylan Sampson RB
14.01 183 Isaiah Likely TE
15.14 210 Tua Tagovailoa QB
16.01 211 Tahj Brooks RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00050.642307692307696141.2307692307692310.000127.37307692307691141.2307692307692320.605204.1038461538461599.3270528722524730.000280.8346153846154141.2307692307692340.795357.5653846153846386.1638551361935550.780434.2961538461538687.2275765590726560.656511.026923076923195.8304946643837870.280587.7576923076922121.8678441625311680.26250.642307692307696123.100509363242510.174127.37307692307691129.1573392043300720.000204.1038461538461557.42333651373570530.472280.8346153846154108.5603553605154440.000357.5653846153846331.09694104161785350.000434.2961538461538633.22438388737606460.000511.026923076923150.4302200979983370.000587.7576923076922102.504919094293098Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678052.07019230769231141.2307692307692310130.96442307692305141.2307692307692327209.85865384615386103.9526627218934930288.75288461538463141.2307692307692348367.647115384615498.62721893491124510446.541346153846287.9763313609467469525.43557692307793.3017751479289975604.3298076923076114.603550295857998452.07019230769231119.9289940828402311130.96442307692305135.9053254437869820209.8586538461538666.6745562130177534288.75288461538463119.9289940828402340367.647115384615456.0236686390532450446.541346153846234.7218934911242560525.43557692307745.37278106508874570604.329807692307687.976331360946748All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Dave 5-3 4th 99.79 0.503 14.19
1 987 2011 Ed 5-3 4th 101.16 0.502 17.06 9-4 1st 3rd place
2 984 2020 Richie 4-4 8th 99.78 0.500 18.97 7-6 7th
3 983 2011 Matt 4-4 7th 99.50 0.498 16.72 7-6 6th 2nd place
4 983 2023 Pat 3-5 10th 99.89 0.505 20.45 5-9 11th
5 982 2022 Kevin 4-4 8th 99.30 0.501 20.03 6-8 12th
6 978 2009 Babel 3-5 11th 96.48 0.500 13.38 5-8 9th
7 974 2019 Pat 4-4 8th 103.21 0.508 15.66 6-7 9th
8 971 2009 Allen 3-5 9th 96.99 0.512 14.79 6-7 7th
9 969 2023 Dave 4-4 7th 102.73 0.504 22.91 6-8 10th
10 967 2017 Ed 3-5 8th 95.19 0.502 20.17 4-9 13th