2025 Dave (through 8 weeks)

5-3 (0.625), 798.28 points (99.78 average)

4th place

4.04 expected wins (0.505)

48-56 all-play record (0.462)

+6.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.32 118.21 Rob -32.89
2 L 78.93 112.40 Schertz -33.47
3 W 106.31 87.69 Ed 18.62
4 L 96.29 121.85 Pulley -25.56
5 W 118.22 102.91 Scott 15.31
6 W 117.55 114.40 Derrek 3.15
7 W 108.99 69.40 Matt 39.59
8 W 86.67 84.15 Pat 2.52
9 Mike R.
10 Rob
11 Babel
12 Richie
13 Rabbit
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692310.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692320.0%289.36752136752136141.2307692307692330.0%368.0141.23076923076923423.8%446.632478632478788.1768713528741250.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692380.1%53.470085470085465140.9179132999298601.8%132.1025641025641137.2660780817336418.9%210.73504273504273121.44313920148055222.4%289.3675213675213691.19678793645318331.0%368.072.040.0%446.632478632478735.1229734749789959.8%525.2649572649573119.325602731193362.0%603.897435897436136.7219877635639370.2%682.5299145299145140.871576308438028Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793113th95.64725274725272275.6686390532544212th179.54835164835166253.18343195266272313th263.44945054945055275.6686390532544411th347.3505494505494230.69822485207158th431.2516483516483163.2426035502958566th515.1527472527472118.2721893491124177th599.053846153846140.75739644970415810th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th95.64725274725272253.18343195266272211th179.54835164835166230.698224852071314th263.44945054945055298.15384615384613411th347.3505494505494230.69822485207157th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041565th515.152747252747295.786982248520774th599.05384615384673.30177514792899810th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th95.64725274725272253.18343195266272212th179.54835164835166253.18343195266272313th263.44945054945055275.6686390532544411th347.3505494505494230.69822485207157th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041566th515.1527472527472118.2721893491124177th599.053846153846140.757396449704158Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
6
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Ashton Jeanty T RB
2.01 15 Justin Jefferson Kx2 WR
3.14 42 DeVonta Smith WR
4.01 43 Sam LaPorta TE
5.14 70 Quinshon Judkins RB
7.14 98 Tank Bigsby RB
8.01 99 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.14 112 Jayden Daniels K T QB
9.14 126 Tyler Allgeier RB
10.01 127 Luther Burden III WR
11.14 154 Cameron Dicker K
12.01 155 Buffalo DEF
13.14 182 Dylan Sampson RB
14.01 183 Isaiah Likely TE
15.14 210 Tua Tagovailoa QB
16.01 211 Tahj Brooks RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00050.642307692307696141.2307692307692310.000127.37307692307691141.2307692307692320.609204.1038461538461599.1032081389172230.000280.8346153846154141.2307692307692340.793357.5653846153846386.348798294048150.778434.2961538461538687.399148572861760.658511.026923076923195.7014206065078570.280587.7576923076922121.857956616619580.26550.642307692307696122.8700081342092610.186127.37307692307691128.3738480246684320.000204.1038461538461556.9756470470652230.473280.8346153846154108.4540613619128440.000357.5653846153846331.46682735732697750.000434.2961538461538633.56752791495418460.000511.026923076923150.1720719822464870.000587.7576923076922102.485144002469778Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678052.07019230769231141.2307692307692310130.96442307692305141.2307692307692327209.85865384615386103.9526627218934930288.75288461538463141.2307692307692348367.647115384615498.62721893491124510446.541346153846287.9763313609467469525.43557692307793.3017751479289975604.3298076923076114.603550295857998452.07019230769231119.9289940828402311130.96442307692305135.9053254437869820209.8586538461538666.6745562130177534288.75288461538463119.9289940828402340367.647115384615456.0236686390532450446.541346153846234.7218934911242560525.43557692307745.37278106508874570604.329807692307687.976331360946748All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Dave 5-3 4th 99.79 0.505 14.19 7-7 7th
1 987 2023 Pat 3-5 10th 99.89 0.505 20.45 5-9 11th
2 983 2011 Ed 5-3 4th 101.16 0.502 17.06 9-4 1st 3rd place
3 980 2020 Richie 4-4 8th 99.78 0.500 18.97 7-6 7th
4 979 2011 Matt 4-4 7th 99.50 0.498 16.72 7-6 6th 2nd place
5 978 2019 Pat 4-4 8th 103.21 0.508 15.66 6-7 9th
6 977 2022 Kevin 4-4 8th 99.30 0.501 20.03 6-8 12th
7 975 2009 Allen 3-5 9th 96.99 0.512 14.79 6-7 7th
8 974 2009 Babel 3-5 11th 96.48 0.500 13.38 5-8 9th
9 968 2023 Dave 4-4 7th 102.73 0.504 22.91 6-8 10th
10 966 2008 Ed 4-4 7th 92.62 0.507 14.62 6-7 6th 3rd place