2025 Dave

2-3 (0.400), 485.07 points (97.01 average)

11th place

2.18 expected wins (0.435)

24-41 all-play record (0.369)

+22.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.32 118.21 Rob -32.89
2 L 78.93 112.40 Schertz -33.47
3 W 106.31 87.69 Ed 18.62
4 L 96.29 121.85 Pulley -25.56
5 W 118.22 102.91 Scott 15.31
6 Derrek
7 Matt
8 Pat
9 Mike R.
10 Rob
11 Babel
12 Richie
13 Rabbit
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923139.1%225.0512820512820472.020.0%310.94871794871796141.2307692307692330.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692353.4%53.25641025641026135.13001233300642021.1%139.15384615384616103.894350616484510.0%225.051282051282042.7692307692307736228.0%310.9487179487179691.6018391980098637.7%396.84615384615387127.5269805571528140.7%482.7435897435898140.015502245387155Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793113th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544212th305.4253.18343195266272313th452.226923076923275.6686390532544411th599.053846153846230.698224852071510th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272211th305.4230.698224852071314th452.226923076923298.15384615384613411th599.053846153846230.698224852071510th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272212th305.4253.18343195266272313th452.226923076923275.6686390532544411th599.053846153846230.6982248520715Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Ashton Jeanty T RB
2.01 15 Justin Jefferson K WR
3.14 42 DeVonta Smith WR
4.01 43 Sam LaPorta TE
5.14 70 Quinshon Judkins RB
7.14 98 Tank Bigsby RB
8.01 99 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.14 112 Jayden Daniels K T QB
9.14 126 Tyler Allgeier RB
10.01 127 Luther Burden III WR
11.14 154 Cameron Dicker K
12.01 155 Buffalo DEF
13.14 182 Dylan Sampson RB
14.01 183 Isaiah Likely TE
15.14 210 Tua Tagovailoa QB
16.01 211 Tahj Brooks RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00050.58461538461538141.2307692307692310.000134.8923076923077141.2307692307692320.584219.2100.7953196712472830.000303.50769230769225141.2307692307692340.777387.815384615384687.4630238914060750.23650.58461538461538124.8899873611497510.149134.8923076923077130.9205220968902420.000219.260.3598701117253630.430303.50769230769225111.4566641505558740.000387.815384615384633.695278552042895Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345052.661538461538456141.2307692307692310140.43076923076922141.2307692307692327228.20000000000002103.9526627218934930315.9692307692307141.2307692307692348403.738461538461598.627218934911245452.661538461538456119.9289940828402311140.43076923076922135.9053254437869820228.2000000000000266.6745562130177534315.9692307692307119.9289940828402340403.738461538461556.023668639053245All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Dave 2-3 11th 97.01 0.435 14.15
1 986 2019 Rob 3-2 8th 97.80 0.439 13.14 5-8 13th
2 981 2014 Pat 3-2 6th 94.12 0.436 10.97 5-8 11th
3 978 2013 Pat 3-2 8th 95.52 0.428 13.49 5-8 12th
4 977 2020 Babel 3-2 7th 100.42 0.436 10.15 8-5 3rd 3rd place
5 972 2012 Pulley 1-4 11th 93.55 0.442 13.69 4-9 12th
6 970 2023 Ed 3-2 7th 97.13 0.448 15.74 11-3 1st 2nd place
7 962 2009 Pat 2-3 11th 93.31 0.446 14.72 6-7 8th
8 960 2011 Dave 1-4 11th 99.53 0.421 12.90 3-10 12th
9 959 2014 Mike R. 2-3 11th 94.84 0.434 29.03 6-7 7th
10 958 2024 Schertz 2-3 9th 92.43 0.441 20.14 7-7 7th