2025 Dave (through 11 weeks)

7-4 (0.636), 1,128.97 points (102.63 average)

4th place

6.01 expected wins (0.547)

74-69 all-play record (0.517)

+9.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.32 118.21 Rob -32.89
2 L 78.93 112.40 Schertz -33.47
3 W 106.31 87.69 Ed 18.62
4 L 96.29 121.85 Pulley -25.56
5 W 118.22 102.91 Scott 15.31
6 W 117.55 114.40 Derrek 3.15
7 W 108.99 69.40 Matt 39.59
8 W 86.67 84.15 Pat 2.52
9 W 133.48 133.47 Mike R. 0.01 Team Blangums
10 L 103.30 106.55 Rob -3.25
11 W 93.91 77.15 Babel 16.76
12 Richie
13 Rabbit
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%43.64102564102564141.2307692307692300.0%102.61538461538461141.2307692307692310.0%161.5897435897436141.2307692307692320.0%220.5641025641026141.2307692307692330.0%279.53846153846155141.2307692307692340.0%338.51282051282055141.2307692307692350.0%397.4871794871795141.23076923076923621.8%456.461538461538584.8528318609422570.0%515.4358974358973141.2307692307692380.0%574.4102564102564141.2307692307692390.0%633.3846153846154141.23076923076923100.0%692.3589743589743141.23076923076923110.0%43.64102564102564141.2251476753194800.1%102.61538461538461141.0719019582425610.6%161.5897435897436139.580410963634423.4%220.5641025641026132.386143621014310.8%279.53846153846155113.38348192375142421.2%338.5128205128205586.44039330229703526.8%397.487179487179571.9999999999999960.0%456.461538461538528.474894491115265711.2%515.4358974358973112.1897143545576483.5%574.4102564102564132.210990738059290.6%633.3846153846154139.70757708684272100.0%692.3589743589743141.1245603090238211Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793113th70.47692307692309275.6686390532544212th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272313th187.93846153846152275.6686390532544411th246.66923076923075230.69822485207158th305.4163.2426035502958566th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124177th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041586th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124195th540.323076923076995.7869822485207106th599.053846153846118.272189349112411110th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th70.47692307692309253.18343195266272211th129.2076923076923230.698224852071314th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613411th246.66923076923075230.69822485207157th305.4140.7573964497041565th364.130769230769295.786982248520774th422.8615384615384373.3017751479289983rd481.5923076923076650.81656804733728494th540.323076923076973.30177514792899104th599.05384615384673.301775147928991110th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th70.47692307692309253.18343195266272212th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272313th187.93846153846152275.6686390532544411th246.66923076923075230.69822485207157th305.4140.7573964497041566th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124177th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041585th481.5923076923076695.786982248520795th540.323076923076995.7869822485207106th599.053846153846118.2721893491124111Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
6
7
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Ashton Jeanty T RB
2.01 15 Justin Jefferson Kx2 WR
3.14 42 DeVonta Smith WR
4.01 43 Sam LaPorta TE
5.14 70 Quinshon Judkins RB
7.14 98 Tank Bigsby RB
8.01 99 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.14 112 Jayden Daniels K T QB
9.14 126 Tyler Allgeier RB
10.01 127 Luther Burden III WR
11.14 154 Cameron Dicker K
12.01 155 Buffalo DEF
13.14 182 Dylan Sampson RB
14.01 183 Isaiah Likely TE
15.14 210 Tua Tagovailoa QB
16.01 211 Tahj Brooks RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00040.17902097902099141.2307692307692310.00095.98321678321679141.2307692307692320.614151.7874125874125898.7548671729790330.000207.5916083916084141.2307692307692340.798263.395804195804286.0004573281099250.783319.287.0508076069235160.663375.004195804195895.3530796405696670.285430.80839160839156121.5096156506813180.929486.612587412587476.8905000721323190.000542.4167832167833141.23076923076923100.437598.2209790209789110.97101871910652110.27040.17902097902099122.5216671682710810.19195.98321678321679128.0255070587302620.000151.7874125874125856.2789651151888530.478207.5916083916084108.1057203959746640.000263.395804195804230.77014542545059350.000319.232.87084598307781460.000375.004195804195849.47539005037009570.000430.80839160839156101.788462070593480.000486.612587412587412.55023091349539890.567542.4167832167833101.98142301783966100.000598.220979020978980.7112682074438111Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011041.31188811188811141.230769230769231098.68951048951048141.2307692307692327156.06713286713284103.9526627218934930213.44475524475524141.2307692307692348270.8223776223776498.62721893491124510328.287.9763313609467469385.5776223776223393.3017751479289975442.95524475524473114.60355029585799813500.3328671328671472.090557.7104895104894141.23076923076923106615.0881118881118109.2781065088757411441.31188811188811119.928994082840231198.68951048951048135.9053254437869820156.0671328671328466.6745562130177534213.44475524475524119.9289940828402340270.8223776223776456.0236686390532450328.234.7218934911242560385.5776223776223345.37278106508874570442.9552447552447387.9763313609467480500.332867132867142.769230769230773697557.7104895104894103.95266272189349100615.088111888111877.3254437869822511All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Dave 7-4 4th 102.63 0.547 15.68 7-7 7th
1 990 2022 Ed 5-6 10th 102.57 0.547 20.14 7-7 7th
2 990 2009 Mike R. 5-6 6th 103.08 0.545 17.96 5-8 10th
3 980 2011 Matt 6-5 7th 104.05 0.549 20.06 7-6 6th 2nd place
4 980 2009 Allen 5-6 7th 100.88 0.541 16.46 6-7 7th
5 980 2021 Ed 4-7 9th 101.94 0.538 15.53 6-8 8th
6 978 2014 Matt 6-5 6th 102.50 0.554 19.86 7-6 6th 4th place
7 969 2014 Rob 7-4 3rd 101.93 0.560 16.30 8-5 3rd 5th place
8 968 2012 Rob 2-9 13th 98.33 0.542 13.47 3-10 13th
9 967 2013 Dave 5-6 8th 100.60 0.553 21.44 7-6 5th 4th place
10 966 2013 Mike R. 7-4 3rd 99.63 0.552 21.19 7-6 6th 5th place