2025 Dave

7-7 (0.500), 1,393.52 points (99.54 average)

7th place

7.17 expected wins (0.512)

90-92 all-play record (0.495)

+21.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.32 118.21 Rob -32.89
2 L 78.93 112.40 Schertz -33.47
3 W 106.31 87.69 Ed 18.62
4 L 96.29 121.85 Pulley -25.56
5 W 118.22 102.91 Scott 15.31
6 W 117.55 114.40 Derrek 3.15
7 W 108.99 69.40 Matt 39.59
8 W 86.67 84.15 Pat 2.52
9 W 133.48 133.47 Mike R. 0.01 Team Blangums
10 L 103.30 106.55 Rob -3.25
11 W 93.91 77.15 Babel 16.76
12 L 87.31 113.74 Richie -26.43
13 L 67.32 132.46 Rabbit -65.14
14 L 109.92 113.45 Kevin -3.53

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910111213140.0%37.74358974358974141.2307692307692300.0%84.92307692307692141.2307692307692310.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692320.0%179.28205128205127141.2307692307692330.0%226.46153846153845141.2307692307692340.0%273.64102564102564141.2307692307692350.0%320.8205128205128141.23076923076923624.1%368.072.070.0%415.1794871794872141.2307692307692380.0%462.35897435897436141.2307692307692390.0%509.5384615384615141.23076923076923100.0%556.7179487179486141.23076923076923110.0%603.8974358974359141.23076923076923120.0%651.076923076923141.23076923076923130.0%698.2564102564102141.23076923076923140.0%37.74358974358974141.229840514900100.0%84.92307692307692141.199923048998210.1%132.1025641025641140.8419268560613220.9%179.28205128205127138.6081701504717533.8%226.46153846153845130.3922350138426410.2%273.64102564102564111.84990081032394518.9%320.820512820512887.0453413727504460.0%368.02.7692307692307736721.4%415.179487179487279.63103932548135813.2%462.35897435897436103.2839306384468695.5%509.5384615384615125.33338710289712101.5%556.7179487179486136.85536698478558110.3%603.8974358974359140.48839079064265120.0%651.076923076923141.1623235437841130.0%698.2564102564102141.2282697284608414Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793113th56.92366863905325275.6686390532544212th102.10118343195265253.18343195266272313th147.27869822485206275.6686390532544411th192.45621301775148230.69822485207158th237.6337278106509163.2426035502958566th282.8112426035503118.2721893491124177th327.98875739644967140.7573964497041586th373.16627218934906118.2721893491124195th418.343786982248595.7869822485207106th463.5213017751479118.27218934911241116th508.6988165680473118.27218934911241127th553.8763313609467140.75739644970415137th599.053846153846140.757396449704151410th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th56.92366863905325253.18343195266272211th102.10118343195265230.698224852071314th147.27869822485206298.15384615384613411th192.45621301775148230.69822485207157th237.6337278106509140.7573964497041565th282.811242603550395.786982248520774th327.9887573964496773.3017751479289983rd373.1662721893490650.81656804733728494th418.343786982248573.30177514792899104th463.521301775147973.30177514792899115th508.698816568047395.7869822485207126th553.8763313609467118.27218934911241137th599.053846153846140.757396449704151410th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th56.92366863905325253.18343195266272212th102.10118343195265253.18343195266272313th147.27869822485206275.6686390532544411th192.45621301775148230.69822485207157th237.6337278106509140.7573964497041566th282.8112426035503118.2721893491124177th327.98875739644967140.7573964497041585th373.1662721893490695.786982248520795th418.343786982248595.7869822485207106th463.5213017751479118.27218934911241116th508.6988165680473118.27218934911241127th553.8763313609467140.75739644970415137th599.053846153846140.7573964497041514Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
6
7
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Ashton Jeanty T RB
2.01 15 Justin Jefferson K WR
3.14 42 DeVonta Smith WR
4.01 43 Sam LaPorta TE
5.14 70 Quinshon Judkins RB
7.14 98 Tank Bigsby RB
8.01 99 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.14 112 Jayden Daniels K T QB
9.14 126 Tyler Allgeier RB
10.01 127 Luther Burden III WR
11.14 154 Cameron Dicker K
12.01 155 Buffalo DEF
13.14 182 Dylan Sampson RB
14.01 183 Isaiah Likely TE
15.14 210 Tua Tagovailoa QB
16.01 211 Tahj Brooks RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.00034.2141.2307692307692310.00078.04615384615384141.2307692307692320.621121.892307692307798.245941734078730.000165.73846153846154141.2307692307692340.805209.584615384615485.4915318892095750.790253.4307692307692486.5418821680231660.670297.27692307692394.8441542016693170.292341.1230769230769121.0006902117809680.937384.969230769230776.3815746332319690.000428.8153846153846141.23076923076923100.444472.66153846153844110.46209328020618110.000516.5076923076922141.23076923076923120.000560.3538461538461141.23076923076923130.000604.1999999999999141.23076923076923140.27834.2122.0127417293707310.19878.04615384615384127.516581619829920.000121.892307692307755.2611142373881730.486165.73846153846154107.5967949570743140.000209.584615384615429.7522945476499150.000253.4307692307692431.85299510527710360.000297.27692307692348.4575391725694170.000341.1230769230769100.770611192792780.000384.969230769230711.532380035694790.574428.8153846153846101.47249757893931100.000472.6615384615384479.69341732964311110.304516.5076923076922120.19497664640956120.085560.3538461538461135.3807379724549130.686604.199999999999993.729179489865414Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121314035.16428571428571141.230769230769231080.2467032967033141.2307692307692327125.32912087912086103.9526627218934930170.41153846153844141.2307692307692348215.4939560439560298.62721893491124510260.5763736263736587.9763313609467469305.658791208791193.3017751479289975350.74120879120875114.60355029585799813395.823626373626372.090440.9060439560439141.23076923076923106485.98846153846154109.27810650887574110531.0708791208791141.23076923076923120576.1532967032966141.23076923076923130621.2357142857143141.2307692307692314435.16428571428571119.928994082840231180.2467032967033135.9053254437869820125.3291208791208666.6745562130177534170.41153846153844119.9289940828402340215.4939560439560256.0236686390532450260.5763736263736534.7218934911242560305.658791208791145.37278106508874570350.7412087912087587.9763313609467480395.82362637362632.769230769230773697440.9060439560439103.95266272189349100485.9884615384615477.32544378698225115531.0708791208791114.60355029585799121576.1532967032966135.905325443786981310621.235714285714387.9763313609467414All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2025 Dave 7-7 7th 99.54 0.512 17.12
1 987 2009 Mike R. 5-8 10th 100.81 0.514 19.33
2 983 2010 Derrek 7-6 5th 97.31 0.515 18.37 3rd place
3 983 2009 Rob 8-5 3rd 99.30 0.506 14.74 4th place
4 981 2020 Mike R. 6-7 11th 99.43 0.506 13.61
5 979 2010 Pulley 8-5 4th 96.94 0.511 21.32 5th place
6 975 2011 Ed 9-4 1st 102.13 0.506 17.79 3rd place
7 972 2011 Mike R. 6-7 9th 102.67 0.505 17.48
8 971 2015 Schertz 9-4 2nd 101.30 0.513 27.25 2nd place
9 971 2013 Rob 8-5 2nd 99.12 0.506 24.52 2nd place
10 970 2015 Babel 5-8 10th 98.55 0.508 26.13