2025 Matt (through 11 weeks)

2-9 (0.182), 939.02 points (85.37 average)

14th place

3.48 expected wins (0.316)

44-99 all-play record (0.308)

+15.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 96.51 93.14 Richie 3.37
2 W 112.82 88.30 Derrek 24.52
3 L 89.30 91.75 Babel -2.45
4 L 72.48 112.26 Rob -39.78
5 L 116.91 118.77 Pulley -1.86
6 L 67.25 129.12 Scott -61.87
7 L 69.40 108.99 Dave -39.59
8 L 71.92 92.65 Kevin -20.73 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 87.07 91.30 Ed -4.23
10 L 92.04 99.76 Richie -7.72
11 L 63.32 126.80 Schertz -63.48
12 Rabbit
13 Pat
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%43.64102564102564141.2307692307692300.0%102.61538461538461141.23076923076923117.3%161.589743589743699.9099460592547920.0%220.5641025641026141.2307692307692330.0%279.53846153846155141.2307692307692340.0%338.51282051282055141.2307692307692350.0%397.4871794871795141.2307692307692360.0%456.4615384615385141.2307692307692370.0%515.4358974358973141.2307692307692380.0%574.4102564102564141.2307692307692390.0%633.3846153846154141.23076923076923100.0%692.3589743589743141.23076923076923110.6%43.64102564102564139.8986248139988205.1%102.61538461538461129.1316630412215110.0%161.589743589743658.58912288774037229.0%220.564102564102672.0327.0%279.5384615384615576.66296947731949414.9%338.51282051282055105.5250007565865955.0%397.4871794871795129.1944558127262361.0%456.4615384615385138.741620449476170.1%515.4358974358973140.917796354624480.0%574.4102564102564141.2077106629881290.0%633.3846153846154141.22986490786974100.0%692.3589743589743141.2307548500447211Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd70.4769230769230928.33136094674557628th129.2076923076923163.24260355029585312th187.93846153846152253.1834319526627249th246.66923076923075185.7278106508876511th305.4230.698224852071613th364.1307692307692275.6686390532544713th422.86153846153843275.6686390532544812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441013th599.053846153846275.6686390532544116th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd70.4769230769230928.33136094674557627th129.2076923076923140.75739644970415310th187.93846153846152208.2130177514793410th246.66923076923075208.2130177514793512th305.4253.18343195266272614th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613714th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613814th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613914th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131014th599.053846153846298.15384615384613116th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd70.4769230769230950.81656804733728429th129.2076923076923185.7278106508876312th187.93846153846152253.18343195266272410th246.66923076923075208.2130177514793512th305.4253.18343195266272613th364.1307692307692275.6686390532544713th422.86153846153843275.6686390532544813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721012th599.053846153846253.1834319526627211Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
1
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Lamar Jackson QB
2.06 20 Davante Adams WR
3.09 37 George Kittle K TE
4.06 48 Calvin Ridley WR
5.09 65 Matthew Golden WR
6.06 76 Jaylen Warren RB
7.09 93 Zach Charbonnet RB
8.06 104 Christian Kirk WR
9.09 121 Bucky Irving K RB
10.06 132 J.J. McCarthy QB
11.09 149 Wan'Dale Robinson WR
12.06 160 Najee Harris RB
13.09 177 Kyle Williams WR
14.06 188 Green Bay DEF
15.09 205 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB
16.03 213 Jake Elliott K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.48040.17902097902099107.9752834548248810.72395.9832167832167991.1489026687900320.000151.78741258741258141.2307692307692330.000207.5916083916084141.2307692307692340.000263.3958041958042141.2307692307692350.000319.2141.2307692307692360.000375.0041958041958141.2307692307692370.000430.80839160839156141.2307692307692380.000486.6125874125874141.2307692307692390.000542.4167832167833141.23076923076923100.000598.2209790209789141.23076923076923110.00040.1790209790209974.7197976788805110.00095.9832167832167941.0670361068108320.335151.78741258741258118.0054851103517130.134207.5916083916084131.9210553742955240.775263.395804195804287.5832077396337250.074319.2136.0888172363830260.099375.0041958041958134.391695513431970.124430.80839160839156132.6237409818595380.292486.6125874125874121.0210748556396490.392542.4167832167833114.06085256559622100.047598.2209790209789137.9510249094216211Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011841.3118881118881198.6272189349112411198.6895104895104882.650887573964520156.06713286713284141.2307692307692330213.44475524475524141.2307692307692340270.82237762237764141.2307692307692350328.2141.2307692307692360385.57762237762233141.2307692307692370442.95524475524473141.2307692307692380500.33286713286714141.2307692307692390557.7104895104894141.23076923076923100615.0881118881118141.2307692307692311041.3118881118881156.023668639053241098.6895104895104824.07100591715975223156.06713286713284125.2544378698224832213.44475524475524130.5798816568047347270.82237762237764103.9526627218934953328.2125.2544378698224864385.57762237762233119.9289940828402370442.95524475524473141.2307692307692382500.33286713286714130.5798816568047393557.7104895104894125.25443786982248101615.0881118881118135.9053254437869811All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Matt 2-9 14th 85.37 0.316 17.46 4-10 11th
1 997 2009 Pulley 3-8 12th 85.57 0.317 17.51 4-9 12th
2 992 2024 Derrek 3-8 14th 86.47 0.316 18.94 4-10 14th
3 982 2024 Pulley 4-7 12th 86.73 0.312 15.49 4-10 13th
4 979 2013 Derrek 5-6 10th 83.31 0.319 20.70 7-6 7th
5 973 2017 Mike R. 3-8 14th 80.87 0.315 13.57 3-10 14th
6 972 2012 Richie 1-10 14th 80.71 0.313 18.86 1-12 14th
7 969 2022 Pat 5-6 13th 86.46 0.326 14.11 8-6 6th 6th place
8 968 2012 Kevin 3-8 12th 81.20 0.321 20.07 5-8 10th
9 966 2013 Allen 4-7 13th 83.71 0.328 15.19 4-9 14th
10 957 2010 Allen 5-6 7th 80.19 0.308 20.54 7-6 6th 4th place