2025 Matt

4-10 (0.286), 1,273.81 points (90.99 average)

11th place

5.64 expected wins (0.403)

70-112 all-play record (0.385)

+12.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 96.51 93.14 Richie 3.37
2 W 112.82 88.30 Derrek 24.52
3 L 89.30 91.75 Babel -2.45
4 L 72.48 112.26 Rob -39.78
5 L 116.91 118.77 Pulley -1.86
6 L 67.25 129.12 Scott -61.87
7 L 69.40 108.99 Dave -39.59
8 L 71.92 92.65 Kevin -20.73 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 87.07 91.30 Ed -4.23
10 L 92.04 99.76 Richie -7.72
11 L 63.32 126.80 Schertz -63.48
12 L 118.02 137.09 Rabbit -19.07
13 W 122.40 71.62 Pat 50.78
14 W 94.37 90.40 Mike R. 3.97

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910111213140.0%37.74358974358974141.2307692307692300.0%84.92307692307692141.2307692307692310.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692320.0%179.28205128205127141.23076923076923315.0%226.4615384615384599.9699816922391740.0%273.64102564102564141.2307692307692350.0%320.8205128205128141.2307692307692360.0%368.0141.2307692307692370.0%415.1794871794872141.2307692307692380.0%462.35897435897436141.2307692307692390.0%509.5384615384615141.23076923076923100.0%556.7179487179486141.23076923076923110.0%603.8974358974359141.23076923076923120.0%651.076923076923141.23076923076923130.0%698.2564102564102141.23076923076923140.0%37.74358974358974141.2064648822013700.2%84.92307692307692140.7631102958760611.4%132.1025641025641137.5058139040125725.9%179.28205128205127125.1806704971795330.0%226.4615384615384558.70919415370912424.2%273.6410256410256474.77169460663913525.2%320.820512820512872.00000000000001617.3%368.093.7123453555026977.9%415.1794871794872119.5988194143493282.4%462.35897435897436134.7273656922129790.5%509.5384615384615139.9575299999978100.1%556.7179487179486141.0724590470375110.0%603.8974358974359141.21885793300953120.0%651.076923076923141.23028002240272130.0%698.2564102564102141.2307609069274614Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd56.9236686390532528.33136094674557628th102.10118343195265163.24260355029585312th147.27869822485206253.1834319526627249th192.45621301775148185.7278106508876511th237.6337278106509230.698224852071613th282.8112426035503275.6686390532544713th327.98875739644967275.6686390532544812th373.16627218934906253.18343195266272913th418.3437869822485275.66863905325441013th463.5213017751479275.66863905325441112th508.6988165680473253.183431952662721212th553.8763313609467253.183431952662721311th599.053846153846230.698224852071146th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd56.9236686390532528.33136094674557627th102.10118343195265140.75739644970415310th147.27869822485206208.2130177514793410th192.45621301775148208.2130177514793512th237.6337278106509253.18343195266272614th282.8112426035503298.15384615384613714th327.98875739644967298.15384615384613814th373.16627218934906298.15384615384613914th418.3437869822485298.153846153846131014th463.5213017751479298.153846153846131114th508.6988165680473298.153846153846131212th553.8763313609467253.183431952662721311th599.053846153846230.698224852071146th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd56.9236686390532550.81656804733728429th102.10118343195265185.7278106508876312th147.27869822485206253.18343195266272410th192.45621301775148208.2130177514793512th237.6337278106509253.18343195266272613th282.8112426035503275.6686390532544713th327.98875739644967275.6686390532544813th373.16627218934906275.6686390532544912th418.3437869822485253.183431952662721012th463.5213017751479253.183431952662721111th508.6988165680473230.6982248520711210th553.8763313609467208.21301775147931310th599.053846153846208.213017751479314Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
1
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Lamar Jackson QB
2.06 20 Davante Adams WR
3.09 37 George Kittle K TE
4.06 48 Calvin Ridley WR
5.09 65 Matthew Golden WR
6.06 76 Jaylen Warren RB
7.09 93 Zach Charbonnet RB
8.06 104 Christian Kirk WR
9.09 121 Bucky Irving K RB
10.06 132 J.J. McCarthy QB
11.09 149 Wan'Dale Robinson WR
12.06 160 Najee Harris RB
13.09 177 Kyle Williams WR
14.06 188 Green Bay DEF
15.09 205 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB
16.03 213 Jake Elliott T K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.48934.2107.384952570767510.73078.0461538461538490.6999405914059520.000121.8923076923077141.2307692307692330.000165.73846153846154141.2307692307692340.000209.5846153846154141.2307692307692350.000253.43076923076924141.2307692307692360.000297.276923076923141.2307692307692370.000341.1230769230769141.2307692307692380.000384.9692307692307141.2307692307692390.000428.8153846153846141.23076923076923100.000472.66153846153844141.23076923076923110.000516.5076923076922141.23076923076923120.836560.353846153846183.38060032258971130.453604.1999999999999109.88689072156322140.00034.273.5391359107657810.00078.0461538461538440.16911195204268420.343121.8923076923077117.5061645788510130.142165.73846153846154131.4052765907716240.781209.584615384615487.1589324704180250.082253.43076923076924135.5591270120396860.106297.276923076923133.920134496455570.132341.1230769230769132.1205383674261280.300384.9692307692307120.4872221231869190.399428.8153846153846113.57943688533008100.055472.66153846153844137.45466315847474110.796516.507692307692286.10152203914751120.000560.353846153846125.530431414410188130.000604.199999999999978.5430122123572314Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121314835.1642857142857198.6272189349112411180.246703296703382.650887573964520125.32912087912086141.2307692307692330170.41153846153844141.2307692307692340215.49395604395602141.2307692307692350260.57637362637365141.2307692307692360305.6587912087911141.2307692307692370350.74120879120875141.2307692307692380395.8236263736263141.2307692307692390440.9060439560439141.23076923076923100485.98846153846154141.23076923076923110531.0708791208791141.230769230769231210576.153296703296687.97633136094674136621.2357142857143109.2781065088757414035.1642857142857156.023668639053241080.246703296703324.07100591715975223125.32912087912086125.2544378698224832170.41153846153844130.5798816568047347215.49395604395602103.9526627218934953260.57637362637365125.2544378698224864305.6587912087911119.9289940828402370350.74120879120875141.2307692307692382395.8236263736263130.5798816568047393440.9060439560439125.25443786982248101485.98846153846154135.905325443786981110531.070879120879187.97633136094674120576.153296703296634.72189349112425130621.235714285714377.3254437869822514All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2025 Matt 4-10 11th 90.99 0.403 19.69
1 993 2014 Richie 6-7 9th 91.79 0.405 19.55
2 988 2025 Derrek 3-11 14th 90.57 0.400 17.69
3 983 2010 Kevin 5-8 10th 90.35 0.406 15.22
4 977 2023 Scott 8-6 7th 92.59 0.395 19.63
5 974 2022 Richie 6-8 13th 91.33 0.396 14.05
6 973 2025 Richie 8-6 6th 88.98 0.407 25.58
7 973 2013 Richie 6-7 10th 89.91 0.411 23.56
8 972 2014 Pat 5-8 11th 90.91 0.416 19.26
9 965 2024 Scott 5-9 12th 92.91 0.413 23.25
10 963 2009 Pat 6-7 8th 94.89 0.396 23.39