2025 Pat

3-2 (0.600), 524.80 points (104.96 average)

4th place

2.68 expected wins (0.536)

37-28 all-play record (0.569)

-43.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 91.43 84.46 Ed 6.97
2 W 98.05 33.06 Richie 64.99
3 L 128.99 130.88 Scott -1.89
4 L 72.03 86.80 Kevin -14.77
5 W 134.30 67.92 Babel 66.38
6 Rabbit
7 Pulley
8 Dave
9 Derrek
10 Mike R.
11 Rob
12 Ed
13 Matt
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692310.0%225.05128205128204141.23076923076923241.6%310.9487179487179672.030.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692350.3%53.25641025641026140.679707386474606.5%139.15384615384616130.36734931071885135.3%225.0512820512820482.5851848633106920.0%310.948717948717962.7692307692307736315.2%396.84615384615387115.9623898965492741.1%482.7435897435898139.47703521380445Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th158.5730769230769230.69822485207124th305.473.3017751479289937th452.226923076923140.7573964497041544th599.05384615384673.3017751479289957th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th158.573076923076973.3017751479289924th305.473.3017751479289937th452.226923076923140.7573964497041544th599.05384615384673.3017751479289958th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th158.5730769230769230.69822485207124th305.473.3017751479289939th452.226923076923185.727810650887645th599.05384615384695.78698224852075Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Derrick Henry K RB
2.08 22 Mike Evans WR
3.07 35 Malik Nabers K WR
4.08 50 D'Andre Swift RB
5.07 63 David Montgomery RB
6.08 78 David Njoku TE
7.07 91 Caleb Williams QB
8.08 106 Rashid Shaheed WR
9.07 119 Trevor Lawrence QB
10.08 134 Joshua Palmer WR
11.07 147 Dalton Kincaid TE
12.08 162 Nick Chubb RB
13.07 175 Justice Hill RB
14.08 190 Detroit DEF
15.07 203 Kyle Monangai RB
16.08 218 Cam Little K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.35450.58461538461538116.712162498579510.449134.8923076923077110.1674636856140820.000219.2141.2307692307692330.000303.50769230769225141.2307692307692340.918387.815384615384677.7030329605211350.00050.5846153846153892.1935557663897810.000134.892307692307779.1041581404589220.877219.280.5236387383418430.082303.50769230769225135.5214160861656340.000387.815384615384614.175296690273035Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345652.661538461538456109.2781065088757416140.43076923076922109.2781065088757420228.20000000000002141.2307692307692330315.9692307692307141.23076923076923412403.738461538461577.325443786982255052.66153846153845677.3254437869822510140.4307692307692277.32544378698225212228.2000000000000277.3254437869822531315.9692307692307135.9053254437869840403.738461538461513.420118343195275All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Pat 3-2 4th 104.96 0.536 23.47
1 975 2022 Derrek 3-2 6th 103.53 0.544 22.20 8-6 4th 4th place
2 970 2020 Scott 3-2 6th 105.87 0.532 14.84 7-6 8th
3 968 2024 Scott 2-3 8th 97.95 0.535 24.63 5-9 12th
4 964 2019 Rabbit 3-2 5th 108.81 0.542 28.21 6-7 7th
5 962 2011 Babel 3-2 6th 105.86 0.528 14.08 7-6 7th
6 961 2020 Schertz 2-3 9th 108.01 0.528 17.66 6-7 9th
7 960 2016 Matt 3-2 7th 107.51 0.528 30.34 5-8 10th
8 957 2013 Kevin 1-4 12th 104.27 0.541 39.05 6-7 8th
9 953 2014 Rabbit 4-1 2nd 102.58 0.549 18.22 10-3 1st 2nd place
10 953 2015 Matt 4-1 3rd 102.32 0.527 33.21 8-5 3rd 5th place