2025 Pat

4-10 (0.286), 1,129.47 points (80.68 average)

13th place

4.11 expected wins (0.294)

55-127 all-play record (0.302)

-8.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 91.43 84.46 Ed 6.97
2 W 98.05 33.06 Richie 64.99
3 L 128.99 130.88 Scott -1.89
4 L 72.03 86.80 Kevin -14.77
5 W 134.30 67.92 Babel 66.38
6 L 59.19 141.42 Rabbit -82.23 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 55.01 88.58 Pulley -33.57 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 84.15 86.67 Dave -2.52
9 W 93.89 93.37 Derrek 0.52
10 L 73.89 93.48 Mike R. -19.59
11 L 46.75 97.82 Rob -51.07 Slapped Heartbeat
12 L 76.00 79.16 Ed -3.16
13 L 71.62 122.40 Matt -50.78
14 L 44.17 125.16 Schertz -80.99 Slapped Heartbeat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910111213140.0%37.74358974358974141.2307692307692300.0%84.92307692307692141.2307692307692310.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692320.0%179.28205128205127141.23076923076923330.5%226.4615384615384572.040.0%273.64102564102564141.2307692307692350.0%320.8205128205128141.2307692307692360.0%368.0141.2307692307692370.0%415.1794871794872141.2307692307692380.0%462.35897435897436141.2307692307692390.0%509.5384615384615141.23076923076923100.0%556.7179487179486141.23076923076923110.0%603.8974358974359141.23076923076923120.0%651.076923076923141.23076923076923130.0%698.2564102564102141.23076923076923140.0%37.74358974358974141.1475615517104201.1%84.92307692307692138.8463708292205218.6%132.1025641025641121.82986087958723223.1%179.2820512820512788.7693656725308230.0%226.461538461538452.7692307692307736422.8%273.6410256410256489.51310579407385510.3%320.8205128205128117.7975713265882362.9%368.0134.568815573826470.5%415.1794871794872140.0291362581531380.1%462.35897435897436141.0945594389433590.0%509.5384615384615141.2213577077169100.0%556.7179487179486141.23039129435176110.0%603.8974358974359141.23076079619432120.0%651.076923076923141.23076913475130.0%698.2564102564102141.2307692303370714Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th56.92366863905325230.69822485207124th102.1011834319526573.3017751479289937th147.27869822485206140.7573964497041544th192.4562130177514873.3017751479289959th237.6337278106509185.7278106508876610th282.8112426035503208.2130177514793711th327.98875739644967230.698224852071811th373.16627218934906230.698224852071911th418.3437869822485230.6982248520711011th463.5213017751479230.6982248520711113th508.6988165680473275.66863905325441213th553.8763313609467275.66863905325441313th599.053846153846275.6686390532544147th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th56.9236686390532573.3017751479289924th102.1011834319526573.3017751479289937th147.27869822485206140.7573964497041544th192.4562130177514873.3017751479289958th237.6337278106509163.24260355029585610th282.8112426035503208.2130177514793712th327.98875739644967253.18343195266272810th373.16627218934906208.2130177514793911th418.3437869822485230.6982248520711011th463.5213017751479230.6982248520711111th508.6988165680473230.6982248520711211th553.8763313609467230.6982248520711313th599.053846153846275.6686390532544148th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th56.92366863905325230.69822485207124th102.1011834319526573.3017751479289939th147.27869822485206185.727810650887645th192.4562130177514895.786982248520759th237.6337278106509185.7278106508876612th282.8112426035503253.18343195266272712th327.98875739644967253.18343195266272811th373.16627218934906230.698224852071911th418.3437869822485230.6982248520711013th463.5213017751479275.66863905325441114th508.6988165680473298.153846153846131214th553.8763313609467298.153846153846131314th599.053846153846298.1538461538461314Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Derrick Henry K RB
2.08 22 Mike Evans WR
3.07 35 Malik Nabers K WR
4.08 50 D'Andre Swift RB
5.07 63 David Montgomery RB
6.08 78 David Njoku TE
7.07 91 Caleb Williams QB
8.08 106 Rashid Shaheed WR
9.07 119 Trevor Lawrence QB
10.08 134 Joshua Palmer WR
11.07 147 Dalton Kincaid TE
12.08 162 Nick Chubb RB
13.07 175 Justice Hill RB
14.08 190 Detroit DEF
15.07 203 Kyle Monangai RB
16.08 218 Cam Little K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.38634.2114.522345364321110.50478.04615384615384106.3688996699088420.000121.8923076923077141.2307692307692330.000165.73846153846154141.2307692307692340.944209.584615384615475.8666291523678550.000253.43076923076924141.2307692307692360.000297.276923076923141.2307692307692370.000341.1230769230769141.2307692307692380.442384.9692307692307110.6391008094689490.000428.8153846153846141.23076923076923100.000472.66153846153844141.23076923076923110.000516.5076923076922141.23076923076923120.000560.3538461538461141.23076923076923130.000604.1999999999999141.23076923076923140.00034.287.8139214978729710.00078.0461538461538471.5070301090484420.891121.892307692307779.5486350540983330.135165.73846153846154131.874335132015740.000209.584615384615410.50248907396647350.035253.43076923076924138.8267743486675360.025297.276923076923139.5114605874916870.261341.1230769230769123.1731010134048980.000384.969230769230780.0474323881686490.156428.8153846153846130.43684595774783100.017472.66153846153844140.02448977984466110.177516.5076923076922129.00949326097458120.126560.3538461538461132.5255882808674130.014604.1999999999999140.233882449901114Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121314635.16428571428571109.278106508875741680.2467032967033109.2781065088757420125.32912087912086141.2307692307692330170.41153846153844141.23076923076923412215.4939560439560277.3254437869822550260.57637362637365141.2307692307692360305.6587912087911141.2307692307692370350.74120879120875141.2307692307692387395.8236263736263103.9526627218934990440.9060439560439141.23076923076923100485.98846153846154141.23076923076923110531.0708791208791141.23076923076923120576.1532967032966141.23076923076923130621.2357142857143141.2307692307692314035.1642857142857177.325443786982251080.246703296703377.32544378698225212125.3291208791208677.3254437869822531170.41153846153844135.9053254437869840215.4939560439560213.4201183431952750260.57637362637365141.2307692307692360305.6587912087911141.2307692307692374350.74120879120875119.9289940828402380395.823626373626366.6745562130177591440.9060439560439135.90532544378698100485.98846153846154141.23076923076923112531.0708791208791130.57988165680473124576.1532967032966119.92899408284023130621.2357142857143141.2307692307692314All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2025 Pat 4-10 13th 80.68 0.294 26.24
1 975 2013 Allen 4-9 14th 80.89 0.292 15.65
2 967 2024 Derrek 4-10 14th 84.99 0.294 18.66
3 965 2015 Kevin 3-10 14th 81.06 0.299 14.59
4 961 2012 Pat 5-8 11th 76.74 0.304 25.34
5 961 2025 Babel 4-10 12th 84.01 0.287 20.61
6 958 2012 Richie 1-12 14th 81.09 0.306 18.28
7 950 2015 Allen 4-9 13th 78.11 0.280 20.25
8 944 2021 Rob 2-12 14th 85.06 0.303 16.62
9 931 2018 Dave 4-9 13th 91.02 0.287 18.92
10 930 2024 Pulley 4-10 13th 86.93 0.305 14.80