2023 Pat (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 691.61 points (98.80 average)

9th place

3.57 expected wins (0.510)

46-45 all-play record (0.505)

+32.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 56.18 120.90 Rabbit -64.72 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 99.99 88.68 Derrek 11.31
3 W 132.84 125.95 Matt 6.89
4 L 93.83 103.39 Pulley -9.56
5 L 107.37 118.00 Scott -10.63
6 W 90.72 86.28 Babel 4.44
7 L 110.68 144.61 Dave -33.93
8 Rabbit
9 Kevin
10 Rob
11 Mike R.
12 Richie
13 Ed
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923230.4%235.7884615384615276.6645144759138330.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.1%42.519230769230774140.9297959452120502.8%106.9423076923077135.37008949613636113.9%171.3653846153846111.6888553306039420.0%235.7884615384615212.09825972105844332.5%300.211538461538572.0416.8%364.6346153846155105.4085591305520853.4%429.0576923076924133.9280652190768460.1%493.4807692307693141.117992774967157Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th109.6307692307692208.213017751479328th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958538th305.4163.2426035502958548th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958557th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041566th599.053846153846118.27218934911241714th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th109.6307692307692208.213017751479327th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041538th305.4163.2426035502958549th403.28461538461534185.727810650887658th501.16923076923075163.2426035502958569th599.053846153846185.7278106508876714th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th109.6307692307692253.1834319526627229th207.5153846153846185.727810650887639th305.4185.727810650887649th403.28461538461534185.727810650887658th501.16923076923075163.2426035502958567th599.053846153846140.757396449704157Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Davante Adams WR
2.06 20 Ja'Marr Chase K WR
3.09 37 Lamar Jackson QB
4.06 48 Alvin Kamara RB
5.09 65 D'Andre Swift RB
6.06 76 A.J. Dillon RB
7.09 93 Chris Olave K WR
8.06 104 Dalton Kincaid TE
9.09 121 Dalton Schultz TE
10.06 132 Kenneth Gainwell RB
11.09 149 Devin Singletary RB
12.06 160 K.J. Osborn WR
13.09 177 Matthew Stafford QB
14.06 188 New England DEF
15.09 205 Jason Myers K
16.06 216 Josh Downs WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.51198.76043956043955105.8858118796253820.929158.9802197802197676.8917439241019230.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.362339.6395604395604116.1809196559734360.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.01738.54065934065934140.0882324502485710.00098.7604395604395570.5408545284815520.000158.9802197802197612.55271861743460730.430219.19999999999996111.490838241640340.631279.419780219780297.5672891947619450.000339.639560439560491.1310700811776360.691399.859340659340693.419382420103877Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692315102.8153846153846114.60355029585799212165.5076923076922877.3254437869822530228.19999999999996141.2307692307692340290.8923076923077141.2307692307692357353.5846153846154103.9526627218934960416.2769230769231141.230769230769237040.12307692307692141.2307692307692310102.815384615384687.9763313609467420165.5076923076922813.4201183431952735228.19999999999996114.6035502958579947290.8923076923077103.9526627218934950353.584615384615466.67455621301775610416.276923076923187.976331360946747All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Pat 3-4 9th 98.80 0.510 21.65 5-9 11th
1 995 2022 Kevin 4-3 5th 98.78 0.512 21.37 6-8 12th
2 978 2014 Mike R. 3-4 8th 98.36 0.503 25.31 6-7 7th
3 973 2024 Scott 3-4 9th 96.36 0.505 25.77 5-9 12th
4 971 2009 Derrek 3-4 9th 98.31 0.518 15.72 7-6 5th 3rd place
5 968 2011 Mike R. 4-3 4th 104.65 0.513 21.01 6-7 9th
6 965 2011 Ed 4-3 6th 101.91 0.502 18.12 9-4 1st 3rd place
7 964 2010 Babel 3-4 7th 98.69 0.526 23.36 8-5 3rd 6th place
8 962 2017 Schertz 3-4 7th 93.61 0.505 17.68 5-8 10th
9 962 2021 Ed 2-5 9th 103.85 0.509 13.83 6-8 8th
10 960 2019 Pat 3-4 9th 102.21 0.502 16.50 6-7 9th