2021 Ed (through 7 weeks)

2-5 (0.286), 726.96 points (103.85 average)

9th place

3.56 expected wins (0.509)

47-44 all-play record (0.516)

+19.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 109.60 127.82 Dave -18.22
2 W 92.03 75.92 Rob 16.11
3 L 80.16 100.35 Matt -20.19
4 L 106.49 130.98 Derrek -24.49
5 L 99.24 137.65 Kevin -38.41
6 W 125.74 91.28 Pat 34.46
7 L 113.70 123.50 Richie -9.80
8 Schertz
9 Dave
10 Rabbit
11 Mike R.
12 Pulley
13 Scott
14 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.23076923076923114.6%171.3653846153846108.4991681566451720.0%235.78846153846152141.2307692307692330.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.3%42.519230769230774140.4824907759743803.6%106.9423076923077133.1784252320652810.0%171.365384615384675.76756708252111229.2%235.7884615384615275.71677994201588330.8%300.211538461538571.99999999999999416.9%364.6346153846155103.3428557102271354.3%429.0576923076924131.632353795579160.4%493.4807692307693140.430049984460037Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th109.6307692307692140.75739644970415210th207.5153846153846208.213017751479339th305.4185.7278106508876410th403.28461538461534208.213017751479358th501.16923076923075163.2426035502958569th599.053846153846185.727810650887678th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124129th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876311th305.4230.698224852071411th403.28461538461534230.69822485207159th501.16923076923075185.727810650887669th599.053846153846185.727810650887675th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th109.6307692307692140.75739644970415210th207.5153846153846208.213017751479339th305.4185.7278106508876410th403.28461538461534208.213017751479359th501.16923076923075185.7278106508876610th599.053846153846208.21301775147937Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2
5
7
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Aaron Jones RB
2.12 26 Robert Woods WR
3.03 31 Josh Jacobs RB
4.12 54 DeVonta Smith WR
5.03 59 Brandin Cooks WR
6.12 82 Jalen Hurts QB
7.03 87 Tyler Higbee TE
8.12 110 Jamaal Williams RB
9.03 115 Mike Davis K RB
10.12 138 A.J. Brown K WR
11.03 143 Justin Tucker K
12.12 166 David Johnson RB
13.03 171 A.J. Green WR
14.12 194 Gerald Everett TE
15.03 199 Sam Darnold QB
16.12 222 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.31998.76043956043955119.1234909863517420.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.811339.639560439560485.0704668229459960.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.61938.5406593406593498.3749574689516810.00098.7604395604395597.0162127419342520.134158.98021978021976131.9291311036908530.560219.19999999999996102.4779538466591640.431279.4197802197802111.4006289384298950.000339.639560439560428.9101644151227560.686399.859340659340693.725505037595417Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692315102.8153846153846114.6035502958579920165.50769230769228141.2307692307692330228.19999999999996141.2307692307692340290.8923076923077141.23076923076923510353.584615384615487.9763313609467460416.2769230769231141.230769230769237940.1230769230769293.3017751479289910102.815384615384687.9763313609467423165.50769230769228125.2544378698224837228.19999999999996103.9526627218934942290.8923076923077130.5798816568047350353.584615384615434.72189349112425611416.276923076923182.65088757396457All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Ed 2-5 9th 103.85 0.509 13.83 6-8 8th
1 974 2019 Pat 3-4 9th 102.21 0.502 16.50 6-7 9th
2 973 2011 Mike R. 4-3 4th 104.65 0.513 21.01 6-7 9th
3 970 2011 Ed 4-3 6th 101.91 0.502 18.12 9-4 1st 3rd place
4 962 2023 Pat 3-4 9th 98.80 0.510 21.65 5-9 11th
5 958 2022 Kevin 4-3 5th 98.78 0.512 21.37 6-8 12th
6 956 2020 Mike R. 3-4 10th 103.88 0.525 8.75 6-7 11th
7 956 2009 Derrek 3-4 9th 98.31 0.518 15.72 7-6 5th 3rd place
8 949 2013 Rob 4-3 4th 102.43 0.502 29.91 8-5 2nd 2nd place
9 947 2010 Mike R. 4-3 6th 94.70 0.502 14.75 4-9 11th
10 944 2017 Schertz 3-4 7th 93.61 0.505 17.68 5-8 10th