2026 Derrek (through 4 weeks)

1-3 (0.250), 415.76 points (103.94 average)

10th place

2.09 expected wins (0.524)

29-23 all-play record (0.558)

+55.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 100.52 133.20 Pat -32.68
2 W 127.74 107.69 Ed 20.05 Team Blangums
3 L 103.48 111.71 Kevin -8.23
4 L 84.02 143.23 Babel -59.21
5 Mike R.
6 Richie
7 Rob
8 Dave
9 Pat
10 Schertz
11 Pulley
12 Scott
13 Matt
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%84.9230769230769141.23076923076923022.3%226.46153846153845105.1200712873614410.0%368.0141.2307692307692320.0%509.53846153846155141.2307692307692330.0%651.0769230769231141.2307692307692342.7%84.9230769230769136.8371631860650800.0%226.4615384615384569.00937334395364142.7%368.072.0227.7%509.5384615384615596.2797674790471734.7%651.0769230769231133.628693589962674Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958515th207.515384615384695.786982248520724th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289938th599.053846153846163.24260355029585410th11.746153846153845208.213017751479316th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124127th403.28461538461534140.75739644970415310th599.053846153846208.213017751479348th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958514th207.515384615384673.3017751479289924th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289939th599.053846153846185.72781065088764Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Bijan Robinson RB
2.13 27 Davante Adams WR
3.02 30 Terry McLaurin WR
4.13 55 Jalen Hurts QB
5.02 58 Ladd McConkey K×2 WR
6.13 83 Zach Charbonnet RB
7.02 86 Jordan Mason RB
8.13 111 Colston Loveland K TE
9.02 114 Romeo Doubs WR
10.13 139 Rashid Shaheed WR
11.02 142 Brian Robinson, Jr. RB
12.13 167 Dontayvion Wicks WR
13.02 170 Sam Darnold QB
14.13 195 New England DEF
15.02 198 Alvin Kamara RB
16.13 223 Harrison Butker K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00089.00769230769231141.2307692307692310.853242.4692307692307682.1870859061152320.000395.9307692307692141.2307692307692330.000549.3923076923077141.2307692307692340.48789.00769230769231107.4917135846564810.000242.4692307692307623.1434025814612320.548395.9307692307692103.2751473756006530.206549.3923076923077126.998979196249254Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234091.5173076923077141.23076923076923113249.3057692307692272.020407.09423076923076141.2307692307692330564.8826923076923141.230769230769234691.5173076923077109.2781065088757410249.305769230769222.769230769230773628407.0942307692307698.6272189349112432564.8826923076923130.579881656804734All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Derrek 1-3 10th 103.94 0.524 15.61
1 974 2019 Pat 2-2 6th 104.26 0.535 16.70 6-7 9th
2 968 2019 Rob 3-1 3rd 101.41 0.516 12.28 5-8 13th
3 968 2025 Schertz 2-2 4th 102.43 0.533 12.02 8-6 5th 2nd place
4 960 2018 Babel 1-3 11th 107.99 0.533 13.11 4-9 12th
5 959 2013 Schertz 2-2 6th 103.83 0.544 15.44 6-7 9th
6 959 2026 Babel 2-2 7th 105.70 0.513 21.79
7 956 2016 Allen 3-1 2nd 105.28 0.536 22.91 4-9 13th
8 955 2020 Scott 2-2 7th 105.30 0.505 16.54 7-6 8th
9 954 2011 Babel 2-2 5th 105.64 0.504 15.73 7-6 7th
10 953 2021 Kevin 3-1 6th 104.06 0.507 22.23 5-9 9th