2022 Derrek (through 10 weeks)

6-4 (0.600), 1,069.19 points (106.92 average)

3rd place

6.04 expected wins (0.604)

78-52 all-play record (0.600)

+5.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 137.10 91.48 Matt 45.62 Team Blangums
2 L 84.98 93.01 Ed -8.03
3 W 79.38 74.12 Mike R. 5.26
4 L 94.52 127.48 Dave -32.96
5 W 121.68 98.61 Pat 23.07
6 L 81.37 113.64 Rob -32.27
7 L 121.18 139.37 Kevin -18.19
8 W 100.47 97.78 Babel 2.69
9 W 109.53 72.02 Matt 37.51
10 W 138.98 103.22 Richie 35.76 Team Blangums
11 Schertz
12 Scott
13 Pulley
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.23076923076923531.7%314.853146853146872.0000000000000160.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2306127815298300.0%80.5874125874126141.2183752223925210.2%127.44055944055944140.900741774555421.6%174.29370629370626137.6370029867321438.6%221.14685314685315122.52339772110975422.6%268.091.738846803233450.0%314.85314685314682.769230769230802623.8%361.706293706293789.1222994833553279.5%408.5594405594406120.475982007669781.9%455.41258741258747137.1447227801873590.1%502.2657342657343140.9190029539249510Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th77.0025641025641118.2721893491124129th142.2589743589743185.727810650887638th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958547th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041558th338.0282051282051163.2426035502958567th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041577th468.5410256410256140.7573964497041586th533.7974358974359118.2721893491124194th599.05384615384673.30177514792899101st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th77.0025641025641118.2721893491124127th142.2589743589743140.7573964497041537th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041546th272.77179487179484118.2721893491124157th338.0282051282051140.75739644970415610th403.28461538461534208.213017751479377th468.5410256410256140.7573964497041584th533.797435897435973.3017751479289993rd599.05384615384650.816568047337284101st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381115th77.002564102564195.786982248520728th142.2589743589743163.2426035502958537th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041547th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041557th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041567th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041577th468.5410256410256140.7573964497041586th533.7974358974359118.2721893491124194th599.05384615384673.3017751479289910Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Jonathan Taylor K RB
2.03 17 D.J. Moore WR
3.12 40 Antonio Gibson RB
4.03 45 Patrick Mahomes II QB
5.12 68 DeAndre Hopkins WR
6.03 73 Hunter Renfrow WR
7.12 96 Justin Jefferson K WR
8.03 101 Dawson Knox TE
9.12 124 Alexander Mattison RB
10.03 129 Michael Carter RB
11.12 152 Raheem Mostert RB
12.03 157 Tampa Bay DEF
13.12 180 Matt Ryan QB
14.03 185 Daniel Carlson K
15.12 208 Tyrion Davis-Price RB
16.03 213 Sony Michel RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.96429.50769230769230674.5232249018154810.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.193113.8153846153846127.9025227128042830.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.857198.1230769230769281.9089334840522750.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.544324.58461538461535103.5396149935320380.692366.7384615384615493.3241375732030590.973408.8923076923076773.88173914295096100.00029.5076923076923067.81568057286173710.28271.66153846153847121.7028784768587120.000113.8153846153846114.5742761948393330.457155.96923076923073109.6024056510593740.000198.1230769230769222.58709773733531350.223240.27692307692305125.8144670671177960.853282.430769230769282.1733153114405270.000324.5846153846153565.8484607562948380.000366.7384615384615445.4175059156368890.000408.892307692307676.53270905513269910Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101330.71923076923076272.01074.60384615384615141.2307692307692322118.48846153846154130.5798816568047330162.3730769230769141.23076923076923411206.257692307692382.650887573964550250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.2307692307692373337.9115384615384125.25443786982248811381.7961538461538682.6508875739645913425.680769230769272.010030.7192307692307622.76923076923077361574.60384615384615114.6035502958579920118.48846153846154119.9289940828402335162.3730769230769114.6035502958579940206.257692307692324.07100591715975253250.14230769230767125.25443786982248612294.02692307692377.3254437869822570337.9115384615384109.2781065088757480381.7961538461538624.07100591715975290425.68076923076922.769230769230773610All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2022 Derrek 6-4 3rd 106.92 0.604 21.11 8-6 4th 4th place
1 987 2023 Rabbit 6-4 6th 107.10 0.606 24.80 8-6 6th 4th place
2 982 2013 Pulley 6-4 3rd 105.81 0.610 20.91 8-5 3rd 3rd place
3 979 2020 Schertz 5-5 7th 107.56 0.608 15.77 6-7 9th
4 978 2019 Derrek 6-4 4th 108.94 0.605 15.97 7-6 6th 3rd place
5 978 2016 Rabbit 6-4 3rd 108.02 0.607 16.10 9-4 2nd 2nd place
6 978 2016 Rob 6-4 4th 106.53 0.594 20.41 8-5 4th 5th place
7 977 2016 Schertz 5-5 6th 107.36 0.593 20.99 7-6 5th 4th place
8 975 2010 Ed 8-2 2nd 103.63 0.601 23.74 9-4 2nd 2nd place
9 971 2023 Mike R. 5-5 7th 107.48 0.595 16.67 7-7 8th
10 969 2020 Ed 3-7 13th 106.59 0.592 18.04 4-9 13th