2016 Derrek (through 12 weeks)

2-10 (0.167), 1,065.23 points (88.77 average)

14th place

4.14 expected wins (0.345)

52-104 all-play record (0.333)

+19.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 123.45 112.14 Dave 11.31
2 L 70.45 91.15 Schertz -20.70 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 67.22 84.08 Richie -16.86 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 89.35 68.08 Ed 21.27
5 L 103.42 109.35 Rob -5.93
6 L 93.53 128.65 Kevin -35.12
7 L 81.78 83.86 Mike R. -2.08
8 L 90.63 134.91 Pulley -44.28
9 L 72.25 133.99 Rabbit -61.74
10 L 104.88 104.96 Pat -0.08
11 L 88.93 121.38 Babel -32.45
12 L 79.34 111.80 Matt -32.46
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%41.37278106508876141.2307692307692300.0%95.81065088757397141.2307692307692319.9%150.24852071005915115.8724595387349220.0%204.68639053254438141.2307692307692330.0%259.1242603550296141.2307692307692340.0%313.56213017751486141.2307692307692350.0%368.0141.2307692307692360.0%422.4378698224852141.2307692307692370.0%476.87573964497045141.2307692307692380.0%531.3136094674556141.2307692307692390.0%585.7514792899409141.23076923076923100.0%640.189349112426141.23076923076923110.0%694.6272189349113141.23076923076923120.2%41.37278106508876140.6757797938824402.4%95.81065088757397135.0442915010082710.0%150.2485207100591590.51414984670062221.2%204.6863905325443887.02333198954841327.0%259.124260355029672.0422.0%313.5621301775148684.77489506452498511.8%368.0110.8753702199377964.2%422.4378698224852130.3632806250501571.0%476.87573964497045138.6626882259410580.2%531.3136094674556140.8414453024954690.0%585.7514792899409141.1949859746668100.0%640.189349112426141.22898562783354110.0%694.6272189349113141.2307329092295212Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th65.13776223776223230.698224852071213th118.52937062937062275.6686390532544314th171.92097902097902298.15384615384613411th225.3125874125874230.698224852071511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613912th492.27062937062936253.183431952662721013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441113th599.053846153846275.6686390532544122nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557618th65.13776223776223163.24260355029585212th118.52937062937062253.18343195266272311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071410th225.3125874125874208.2130177514793511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071613th332.09580419580413275.6686390532544713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131114th599.053846153846298.15384615384613122nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th65.13776223776223230.698224852071213th118.52937062937062275.6686390532544314th171.92097902097902298.15384615384613411th225.3125874125874230.698224852071511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441113th599.053846153846275.668639053254412Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Le'Veon Bell RB
2.11 25 Brandin Cooks WR
3.04 32 Andrew Luck QB
4.11 53 Allen Robinson II K WR
5.04 60 T.J. Yeldon RB
6.11 81 Zach Ertz TE
7.04 88 Chris Ivory RB
8.11 109 Devin Funchess WR
9.04 116 James Starks RB
10.11 137 Denver DEF
11.04 144 Josh Gordon K WR
12.11 165 Josh Doctson WR
13.04 172 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE
14.11 193 Teddy Bridgewater QB
15.04 200 Blair Walsh K
16.11 221 Kenny Britt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.84037.85384615384615683.097922120773810.00089.00769230769231141.2307692307692320.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.340191.3153846153846117.7167857941620540.000242.46923076923073141.2307692307692350.000293.62307692307695141.2307692307692360.000344.7769230769231141.2307692307692370.000395.9307692307692141.2307692307692380.000447.0846153846154141.2307692307692390.000498.23846153846154141.23076923076923100.000549.3923076923077141.23076923076923110.000600.5461538461539141.23076923076923120.00037.85384615384615624.96507501077837810.09689.00769230769231134.588229078613720.059140.16153846153844137.1421061574198730.000191.315384615384694.2028023575548740.571242.46923076923073101.6758433560050650.404293.62307692307695113.2792473105343260.228344.7769230769231125.4658904889575470.358395.9307692307692116.462833887997280.117447.0846153846154133.1131084850753490.597498.2384615384615499.90972441087754100.333549.3923076923077118.14470992860831110.200600.5461538461539127.3838454655291212Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121238.9211538461538477.325443786982251091.5173076923077141.2307692307692320144.1134615384615141.2307692307692335196.7096153846154114.6035502958579940249.30576923076924141.2307692307692350301.901923076923141.2307692307692360354.4980769230769141.2307692307692370407.09423076923076141.2307692307692380459.6903846153845141.2307692307692390512.2865384615385141.23076923076923100564.8826923076923141.23076923076923110617.4788461538461141.2307692307692312038.9211538461538413.420118343195271091.5173076923077141.2307692307692320144.1134615384615141.2307692307692330196.709615384615487.9763313609467446249.30576923076924109.2781065088757457301.901923076923103.9526627218934963354.4980769230769125.2544378698224876407.09423076923076109.2781065088757481459.6903846153845135.9053254437869897512.2865384615385103.95266272189349104564.8826923076923119.92899408284023111617.4788461538461135.9053254437869812All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Derrek 2-10 14th 88.77 0.345 15.58 3-10 14th
1 982 2019 Rob 4-8 14th 89.44 0.338 15.94 5-8 13th
2 981 2023 Richie 3-9 13th 89.84 0.350 12.62 4-10 13th
3 975 2022 Babel 3-9 14th 86.80 0.337 16.02 3-11 14th
4 971 2022 Pat 6-6 10th 88.96 0.359 15.85 8-6 6th 6th place
5 968 2008 Katie 4-8 11th 81.86 0.345 17.51 5-8 10th
6 968 2024 Pulley 4-8 13th 88.19 0.330 15.61 4-10 13th
7 967 2014 Allen 5-7 13th 86.15 0.334 15.77 6-7 10th
8 963 2017 Matt 4-8 13th 84.82 0.356 15.52 5-8 11th
9 961 2020 Pat 4-8 13th 88.35 0.328 17.02 5-8 12th
10 958 2015 Derrek 6-6 7th 83.34 0.338 18.13 7-6 7th