2016 Derrek (through 10 weeks)

2-8 (0.200), 896.96 points (89.70 average)

13th place

3.55 expected wins (0.355)

47-83 all-play record (0.362)

+11.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 123.45 112.14 Dave 11.31
2 L 70.45 91.15 Schertz -20.70 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 67.22 84.08 Richie -16.86 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 89.35 68.08 Ed 21.27
5 L 103.42 109.35 Rob -5.93
6 L 93.53 128.65 Kevin -35.12
7 L 81.78 83.86 Mike R. -2.08
8 L 90.63 134.91 Pulley -44.28
9 L 72.25 133.99 Rabbit -61.74
10 L 104.88 104.96 Pat -0.08
11 Babel
12 Matt
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%46.32167832167832141.2307692307692300.0%110.65734265734265141.23076923076923116.2%174.993006993007101.4980965318607120.0%239.3286713286713141.2307692307692330.0%303.6643356643357141.2307692307692340.0%367.99999999999994141.2307692307692350.0%432.33566433566426141.2307692307692360.0%496.67132867132864141.2307692307692370.0%561.006993006993141.2307692307692380.0%625.3426573426574141.2307692307692390.0%689.6783216783215141.23076923076923100.5%46.32167832167832140.10073875482604.6%110.65734265734265129.9183780213219310.0%174.99300699300761.76542383295221228.2%239.328671328671372.0327.7%303.664335664335773.44676923648541416.0%367.99999999999994101.9758846275230655.5%432.33566433566426127.649423337567261.1%496.67132867132864138.4854810804778870.1%561.006993006993140.9235089215032480.0%625.3426573426574141.2135354536218390.0%689.6783216783215141.2303997351559710Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th77.0025641025641230.698224852071213th142.2589743589743275.6686390532544314th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613411th272.77179487179484230.698224852071511th338.0282051282051230.698224852071612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544814th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613912th599.053846153846253.18343195266272102nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557618th77.0025641025641163.24260355029585212th142.2589743589743253.18343195266272311th207.5153846153846230.698224852071410th272.77179487179484208.2130177514793511th338.0282051282051230.698224852071613th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544814th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613913th599.053846153846275.6686390532544102nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th77.0025641025641230.698224852071213th142.2589743589743275.6686390532544314th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613411th272.77179487179484230.698224852071511th338.0282051282051230.698224852071612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272813th533.7974358974359275.6686390532544911th599.053846153846230.69822485207110Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Le'Veon Bell RB
2.11 25 Brandin Cooks WR
3.04 32 Andrew Luck QB
4.11 53 Allen Robinson II K WR
5.04 60 T.J. Yeldon RB
6.11 81 Zach Ertz TE
7.04 88 Chris Ivory RB
8.11 109 Devin Funchess WR
9.04 116 James Starks RB
10.11 137 Denver DEF
11.04 144 Josh Gordon K WR
12.11 165 Josh Doctson WR
13.04 172 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE
14.11 193 Teddy Bridgewater QB
15.04 200 Blair Walsh K
16.11 221 Kenny Britt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.83342.96923076923077683.531716721843810.000104.35384615384616141.2307692307692320.000165.73846153846156141.2307692307692330.333227.12307692307695118.1505803952320340.000288.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000349.89230769230767141.2307692307692360.000411.276923076923141.2307692307692370.000472.6615384615384141.2307692307692380.000534.0461538461539141.2307692307692390.000595.4307692307691141.23076923076923100.00042.96923076923077625.8326642129183610.090104.35384615384616135.0220236796836820.053165.73846153846156137.5759007584898730.000227.1230769230769595.0703915596948440.565288.5076923076923102.1096379570750550.397349.89230769230767113.7130419116043160.221411.276923076923125.8996850900275370.351472.6615384615384116.896628489067280.111534.0461538461539133.5469030861453390.591595.4307692307691100.3435190119475410Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101244.1807692307692377.3254437869822510107.29615384615383141.2307692307692320170.41153846153844141.2307692307692335233.52692307692305114.6035502958579940296.6423076923077141.2307692307692350359.7576923076923141.2307692307692360422.8730769230769141.2307692307692370485.9884615384615141.2307692307692380549.1038461538462141.2307692307692390612.2192307692309141.2307692307692310044.1807692307692313.4201183431952710107.29615384615383141.2307692307692320170.41153846153844141.2307692307692330233.5269230769230587.9763313609467446296.6423076923077109.2781065088757457359.7576923076923103.9526627218934963422.8730769230769125.2544378698224876485.9884615384615109.2781065088757481549.1038461538462135.9053254437869897612.2192307692309103.9526627218934910All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Derrek 2-8 13th 89.70 0.355 16.78 3-10 14th
1 990 2020 Pat 4-6 12th 90.14 0.358 18.12 5-8 12th
2 986 2023 Derrek 3-7 12th 88.96 0.350 15.99 5-9 12th
3 986 2021 Pulley 2-8 11th 90.11 0.361 16.69 5-9 10th
4 985 2014 Richie 3-7 14th 88.77 0.356 20.68 6-7 9th
5 985 2016 Pat 6-4 5th 89.05 0.360 18.07 7-6 7th
6 984 2011 Pulley 4-6 10th 90.97 0.359 16.04 5-8 10th
7 979 2022 Richie 4-6 12th 88.83 0.360 12.89 6-8 13th
8 979 2015 Derrek 5-5 9th 85.59 0.354 18.60 7-6 7th
9 978 2016 Mike R. 2-8 14th 88.92 0.345 16.47 5-8 11th
10 976 2023 Richie 2-8 14th 89.46 0.346 13.79 4-10 13th