2010 Derrek (through 12 weeks)

7-5 (0.583), 1,152.13 points (96.01 average)

5th place

5.90 expected wins (0.491)

67-65 all-play record (0.508)

-0.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 88.82 82.53 Matt 6.29
2 W 101.51 85.30 Rob 16.21
3 W 85.65 84.48 Kevin 1.17
4 W 128.72 90.03 Ed 38.69
5 L 83.68 104.34 Rabbit -20.66
6 W 104.37 69.62 Mike R. 34.75
7 L 104.37 107.09 Babel -2.72
8 L 63.45 87.14 Pulley -23.69
9 W 109.77 100.78 Dave 8.99
10 L 73.18 106.97 Allen -33.79 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 122.53 119.70 Pat 2.83
12 L 86.08 118.23 Rob -32.15
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.23076923076923620.4%307.6449704142011789.0645445615485670.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2268231009093700.1%69.77514792899409141.0940094479773310.7%109.42011834319527139.5551768204363723.8%149.06508875739644131.58826078229265312.0%188.71005917159763110.6131735209433422.8%228.3550295857988382.95720677393987527.1%268.071.9999999999999960.0%307.6449704142011736.89831989232790579.7%347.28994082840245116.3443144552317182.9%386.93491124260356133.893143692033690.5%426.5798816568048139.97132177766372100.0%466.2248520710059141.12020484702632110.0%505.8698224852071141.227162102862912Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th65.13776223776223191.860139860139927th118.52937062937062165.286713286713334th171.9209790209790285.5664335664335745th225.3125874125874112.1398601398601654th278.704195804195885.5664335664335764th332.0958041958041385.5664335664335775th385.4874125874125112.1398601398601684th438.8790209790209485.5664335664335796th492.27062937062936138.71328671328675106th545.6622377622377138.71328671328675116th599.053846153846138.71328671328675126th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867514th65.1377622377622385.5664335664335722nd118.5293706293706232.4195804195804331st171.920979020979025.84615384615386843rd225.312587412587458.99300699300701552nd278.704195804195832.4195804195804363rd332.0958041958041358.99300699300701574th385.487412587412585.5664335664335784th438.8790209790209485.5664335664335795th492.27062937062936112.13986013986016104th545.662237762237785.56643356643357115th599.053846153846112.13986013986016127th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th65.13776223776223191.860139860139927th118.52937062937062165.286713286713336th171.92097902097902138.7132867132867547th225.3125874125874165.286713286713355th278.7041958041958112.1398601398601665th332.09580419580413112.1398601398601676th385.4874125874125138.7132867132867586th438.87902097902094138.7132867132867597th492.27062937062936165.2867132867133107th545.6622377622377165.2867132867133117th599.053846153846165.286713286713312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees QB
2.03 15 Ryan Grant RB
3.10 34 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.03 39 Donald Driver WR
5.10 58 Kellen Winslow II TE
6.03 63 Brandon Jacobs RB
7.10 82 Braylon Edwards WR
8.03 87 Bernard Berrian WR
9.10 106 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
10.03 111 Darren McFadden RB
11.10 130 Sidney Rice K WR
12.03 135 Willis McGahee RB
13.10 154 Chad Henne QB
14.03 159 Kevin Smith RB
15.10 178 Matt Prater K
16.03 183 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.35325.994871794871795116.7727851942688610.57861.12307692307692101.2327835703533320.31496.25128205128203119.5013934744450230.941131.3794871794871776.0953169117141940.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.635201.6358974358974597.2882653538408760.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.731307.020512820512890.6298038085811690.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.901377.276923076923178.8589337004514110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00025.99487179487179592.314801157768510.00061.1230769230769261.2347979099374420.00096.2512820512820397.7720177181208130.000131.3794871794871710.95986459265915940.273166.5076923076923122.3107067871914850.000201.6358974358974553.345761476912560.635236.7641025641025697.2882653538408770.068271.89230769230767136.5131004097837380.000307.020512820512840.02883838639307690.148342.14871794871794130.989404010946100.000377.276923076923116.487098170133578110.321412.4051282051282119.0295720840784512Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112527.062179487179485109.762237762237761763.632692307692397.1748251748251725100.20320512820511109.76223776223776310136.7737179487179478.293706293706340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692358209.9147435897435890.8811188811188860246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.23076923076923810319.6262820512820378.293706293706390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923109392.767307692307784.58741258741259110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948578.293706293706311063.632692307692353.1188811188811220100.2032051282051178.2937062937063130136.7737179487179415.3566433566433643173.3442307692307122.3496503496503550209.9147435897435840.5314685314685366246.4852564102564103.4685314685314772283.0557692307692128.6433566433566480319.6262820512820315.3566433566433690356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.767307692307727.944055944055947112429.3378205128205128.6433566433566412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Derrek 7-5 5th 96.01 0.491 18.54 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 990 2017 Ed 4-8 11th 94.99 0.494 19.33 4-9 13th
2 988 2014 Mike R. 6-6 7th 97.62 0.492 21.23 6-7 7th
3 981 2023 Ed 9-3 1st 99.91 0.490 18.41 11-3 1st 2nd place
4 978 2013 Rob 7-5 5th 97.82 0.491 25.09 8-5 2nd 2nd place
5 978 2015 Mike R. 8-4 3rd 95.00 0.498 15.89 8-5 4th 6th place
6 977 2020 Scott 7-5 7th 98.63 0.490 13.90 7-6 8th
7 976 2020 Mike R. 6-6 11th 98.60 0.493 13.85 6-7 11th
8 974 2015 Rabbit 5-7 10th 95.80 0.502 20.44 5-8 11th
9 968 2023 Pat 5-7 10th 98.40 0.480 18.41 5-9 11th
10 968 2020 Rabbit 6-6 10th 100.95 0.489 22.33 6-7 10th