2019 Dave (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 765.20 points (95.65 average)

11th place

3.22 expected wins (0.402)

36-68 all-play record (0.346)

+0.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 89.82 100.20 Rabbit -10.38
2 L 72.44 102.52 Rob -30.08
3 L 79.62 102.86 Ed -23.24 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 96.01 99.26 Richie -3.25
5 L 86.16 126.31 Mike R. -40.15
6 W 106.81 103.85 Scott 2.96
7 W 123.86 100.12 Pulley 23.74
8 W 110.48 85.34 Babel 25.14
9 Pat
10 Matt
11 Derrek
12 Schertz
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923232.3%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.7%38.940170940170944139.777146516009806.3%96.20512820512818127.6722820444783120.8%153.4700854700854896.662052711088820.0%210.735042735042732.7692307692307736326.0%268.085.45181861623959411.2%325.2649572649573117.194769960138852.5%382.52991452991455135.8141930925411360.3%439.79487179487177140.6537710004498670.0%497.05982905982904141.209051396624558Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th95.64725274725272275.6686390532544213th179.54835164835166275.6686390532544313th263.44945054945055275.6686390532544414th347.3505494505494298.15384615384613514th431.2516483516483298.15384615384613612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272711th599.053846153846230.698224852071811th11.746153846153845230.698224852071114th95.64725274725272298.15384615384613214th179.54835164835166298.15384615384613314th263.44945054945055298.15384615384613414th347.3505494505494298.15384615384613514th431.2516483516483298.15384615384613614th515.1527472527472298.15384615384613711th599.053846153846230.698224852071811th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th95.64725274725272275.6686390532544213th179.54835164835166275.6686390532544313th263.44945054945055275.6686390532544414th347.3505494505494298.15384615384613514th431.2516483516483298.15384615384613612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272712th599.053846153846253.183431952662728Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
  • Pick 12.05 - from Rob
  • Pick 2.05 - from Rob
  • Pick 3.10 - from Rob
  • Pick 11.04 - to Rob
  • Pick 2.11 - to Rob
  • Pick 3.04 - to Rob

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Tyreek Hill WR
2.05 19 Zach Ertz TE
3.10 38 Aaron Rodgers QB
4.11 53 Alshon Jeffery WR
5.04 60 Latavius Murray RB
6.11 81 Curtis Samuel WR
7.04 88 Anthony Miller WR
8.11 109 James Washington WR
9.04 116 James White K RB
10.11 137 Mohamed Sanu WR
12.05 159 Damien Harris RB
12.11 165 Greg Zuerlein K
13.04 172 Derrius Guice K RB
14.11 193 Minnesota DEF
15.04 200 Malcolm Brown RB
16.11 221 Ryquell Armstead RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.00087.46923076923076141.2307692307692320.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.590298.2384615384615100.4089677243228560.816350.9307692307691684.7277310707682170.639403.623076923076996.9968679733786380.30334.776923076923076120.224465529383210.07487.46923076923076136.113500616258620.150140.16153846153844130.859787250009230.399192.85384615384618113.5801724687239240.245245.54615384615386124.2536524135638850.000298.238461538461559.5871662178764960.000350.9307692307691628.2246929107671970.000403.623076923076952.762966715988038Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231091.06057692307692141.2307692307692320145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.77211538461538141.2307692307692340255.6278846153846141.2307692307692356310.48365384615386109.27810650887574610365.339423076923187.9763313609467477420.1951923076923103.952662721893498336.20480769230769125.254437869822481191.06057692307692135.9053254437869820145.91634615384615141.2307692307692337200.77211538461538103.9526627218934942255.6278846153846130.5798816568047350310.4836538461538677.3254437869822560365.339423076923134.7218934911242570420.195192307692366.674556213017758All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Dave 3-5 11th 95.65 0.402 16.05 6-7 10th
1 989 2016 Richie 4-4 8th 93.52 0.402 17.12 5-8 12th
2 985 2014 Pat 3-5 10th 92.14 0.402 16.06 5-8 11th
3 982 2019 Richie 3-5 12th 95.57 0.397 19.51 5-8 12th
4 977 2021 Pat 1-7 13th 95.04 0.392 16.18 3-11 12th
5 976 2014 Ed 3-5 11th 92.02 0.406 17.09 6-7 8th
6 976 2009 Ed 4-4 7th 91.00 0.401 14.25 7-6 4th 6th place
7 974 2016 Babel 3-5 12th 93.59 0.407 19.36 7-6 6th 6th place
8 970 2019 Babel 4-4 9th 96.45 0.392 19.78 8-5 5th 5th place
9 967 2021 Pulley 2-6 10th 94.91 0.388 14.90 5-9 10th
10 965 2016 Allen 4-4 9th 93.52 0.409 22.10 4-9 13th