2013 Dave (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 1,001.79 points (100.18 average)

11th place

5.41 expected wins (0.541)

72-58 all-play record (0.554)

+28.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 97.74 135.65 Rabbit -37.91
2 L 70.28 91.19 Pat -20.91
3 W 141.62 105.11 Ed 36.51
4 W 118.62 112.11 Babel 6.51
5 L 108.89 167.43 Rob -58.54
6 W 111.53 67.52 Schertz 44.01
7 L 81.10 86.96 Allen -5.86
8 L 73.59 109.47 Derrek -35.88
9 W 119.25 104.45 Pulley 14.80
10 L 79.17 126.46 Matt -47.29
11 Richie
12 Mike R.
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%46.32167832167832141.2307692307692300.0%110.65734265734265141.2307692307692310.0%174.993006993007141.2307692307692320.0%239.3286713286713141.23076923076923316.8%303.6643356643357102.3770426218270940.0%367.99999999999994141.2307692307692350.0%432.33566433566426141.2307692307692360.0%496.67132867132864141.2307692307692370.0%561.006993006993141.2307692307692380.0%625.3426573426574141.2307692307692390.0%689.6783216783215141.23076923076923100.0%46.32167832167832141.2283230490761500.1%110.65734265734265141.1033291593218510.8%174.993006993007139.408455943398425.1%239.3286713286713129.5195998227104630.0%303.664335664335763.52331601288493430.0%367.9999999999999472.0528.5%432.3356643356642675.36951064405326614.4%496.67132867132864108.021597711327973.8%561.006993006993132.3798931007393780.5%625.3426573426574140.061407805853990.0%689.6783216783215141.170895459706310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793114th77.0025641025641298.1538461538461328th142.2589743589743163.2426035502958535th207.515384615384695.786982248520744th272.7717948717948473.3017751479289954th338.028205128205173.3017751479289964th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289974th468.541025641025673.3017751479289984th533.797435897435973.3017751479289997th599.053846153846140.757396449704151010th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793114th77.0025641025641298.1538461538461329th142.2589743589743185.727810650887635th207.515384615384695.7869822485207410th272.77179487179484208.213017751479357th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041569th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876711th468.5410256410256230.69822485207188th533.7974358974359163.24260355029585911th599.053846153846230.6982248520711010th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793114th77.0025641025641298.1538461538461326th142.2589743589743118.2721893491124135th207.515384615384695.786982248520744th272.7717948717948473.3017751479289954th338.028205128205173.3017751479289964th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289975th468.541025641025695.786982248520785th533.797435897435995.786982248520795th599.05384615384695.786982248520710Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1
1.02 2
1.03 3
1.04 4
1.05 5
1.06 6
1.07 7
1.08 8 Steven Jackson RB
1.09 9
1.10 10
1.11 11
1.12 12
1.13 13
1.14 14
2.01 15
2.02 16
2.03 17
2.04 18
2.05 19
2.06 20
2.07 21 Roddy White WR
2.08 22
2.09 23
2.10 24
2.11 25
2.12 26
2.13 27
2.14 28
3.01 29
3.02 30
3.03 31
3.04 32
3.05 33
3.06 34
3.07 35
3.08 36 Torrey Smith WR
3.09 37
3.10 38
3.11 39
3.12 40
3.13 41
3.14 42
4.01 43
4.02 44
4.03 45
4.04 46
4.05 47
4.06 48
4.07 49 Jason Witten TE
4.08 50
4.09 51
4.10 52
4.11 53
4.12 54
4.13 55
4.14 56
5.01 57
5.02 58
5.03 59
5.04 60
5.05 61
5.06 62
5.07 63
5.08 64 Mike A. Williams WR
5.09 65
5.10 66
5.11 67
5.12 68
5.13 69
5.14 70
6.01 71
6.02 72
6.03 73
6.04 74
6.05 75
6.06 76
6.07 77 Fred Jackson RB
6.08 78
6.09 79
6.10 80
6.11 81
6.12 82
6.13 83
6.14 84
7.01 85
7.02 86
7.03 87
7.04 88
7.05 89
7.06 90
7.07 91
7.08 92 Josh Gordon WR
7.09 93
7.10 94
7.11 95
7.12 96
7.13 97
7.14 98
8.01 99
8.02 100
8.03 101
8.04 102
8.05 103
8.06 104
8.07 105 Jacquizz Rodgers RB
8.08 106
8.09 107
8.10 108
8.11 109
8.12 110
8.13 111
8.14 112
9.01 113
9.02 114
9.03 115
9.04 116
9.05 117
9.06 118
9.07 119
9.08 120 Cincinnati DEF
9.09 121
9.10 122
9.11 123
9.12 124
9.13 125
9.14 126
10.01 127
10.02 128
10.03 129
10.04 130
10.05 131
10.06 132
10.07 133 Cordarrelle Patterson WR
10.08 134
10.09 135
10.10 136
10.11 137
10.12 138
10.13 139
10.14 140
11.01 141
11.02 142
11.03 143
11.04 144
11.05 145
11.06 146
11.07 147
11.08 148 Darren Sproles Kx2 RB
11.09 149
11.10 150
11.11 151
11.12 152
11.13 153
11.14 154
12.01 155
12.02 156
12.03 157
12.04 158
12.05 159
12.06 160
12.07 161 Cam Newton Kx2 QB
12.08 162
12.09 163
12.10 164
12.11 165
12.12 166
12.13 167
12.14 168
13.01 169
13.02 170
13.03 171
13.04 172
13.05 173
13.06 174
13.07 175
13.08 176 Matt Prater K
13.09 177
13.10 178
13.11 179
13.12 180
13.13 181
13.14 182
14.01 183
14.02 184
14.03 185
14.04 186
14.05 187
14.06 188
14.07 189 Knowshon Moreno RB
14.08 190
14.09 191
14.10 192
14.11 193
14.12 194
14.13 195
14.14 196
15.01 197
15.02 198
15.03 199
15.04 200
15.05 201
15.06 202
15.07 203
15.08 204 Brandon LaFell WR
15.09 205
15.10 206
15.11 207
15.12 208
15.13 209
15.14 210
16.01 211
16.02 212
16.03 213
16.04 214
16.05 215
16.06 216
16.07 217 E.J. Manuel QB
16.08 218
16.09 219
16.10 220
16.11 221
16.12 222
16.13 223
16.14 224

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00042.969230769230776141.2307692307692310.000104.35384615384616141.2307692307692320.971165.7384615384615673.9835562881364130.840227.1230769230769583.0434362321404440.000288.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.741349.8923076923076789.937034625249860.000411.276923076923141.2307692307692370.000472.6615384615384141.2307692307692380.850534.046153846153982.4046174156592690.000595.4307692307691141.23076923076923100.50142.969230769230776106.5785799959742810.132104.35384615384616132.1096685597069620.000165.738461538461566.73634334550359930.000227.1230769230769524.8561032335116640.704288.507692307692392.49022988200450.000349.8923076923076738.64330001973037660.260411.276923076923123.2350694325854870.172472.6615384615384129.3289522998379780.000534.046153846153923.57846560054929390.243595.4307692307691124.3955225488943310Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910044.18076923076923141.2307692307692310107.29615384615383141.23076923076923212170.4115384615384477.32544378698225310233.5269230769230587.9763313609467440296.6423076923077141.23076923076923511359.757692307692382.650887573964560422.8730769230769141.2307692307692370485.9884615384615141.23076923076923812549.103846153846277.3254437869822590612.2192307692309141.2307692307692310444.18076923076923119.9289940828402311107.29615384615383135.9053254437869820170.4115384615384413.4201183431952730233.5269230769230534.7218934911242549296.642307692307793.3017751479289950359.757692307692324.07100591715975264422.8730769230769119.9289940828402374485.9884615384615119.9289940828402380549.103846153846213.4201183431952795612.2192307692309114.6035502958579910All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Dave 4-6 11th 100.18 0.541 22.45 7-6 5th 4th place
1 980 2010 Babel 6-4 4th 99.19 0.535 20.64 8-5 3rd 6th place
2 974 2015 Rabbit 5-5 8th 100.63 0.549 18.06 5-8 11th
3 974 2017 Ed 4-6 8th 97.82 0.546 18.88 4-9 13th
4 972 2016 Ed 5-5 8th 102.34 0.545 15.98 6-7 9th
5 971 2009 Mike R. 5-5 6th 102.70 0.547 18.80 5-8 10th
6 969 2020 Scott 6-4 5th 101.51 0.538 13.48 7-6 8th
7 969 2025 Pulley 5-5 7th 102.52 0.543 13.20 6-8 8th
8 967 2012 Derrek 7-3 5th 98.92 0.550 16.82 8-5 5th 5th place
9 967 2025 Schertz 5-5 8th 102.30 0.530 20.98 8-6 5th 2nd place
10 966 2013 Mike R. 6-4 4th 100.16 0.558 22.15 7-6 6th 5th place