2011 Dave (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 800.59 points (100.07 average)

10th place

4.08 expected wins (0.511)

40-48 all-play record (0.455)

-1.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.82 71.61 Pulley 24.21
2 L 113.62 145.29 Mike R. -31.67
3 L 81.20 113.31 Kevin -32.11
4 L 114.74 119.40 Rabbit -4.66
5 L 92.26 108.41 Derrek -16.15
6 W 134.36 70.39 Pat 63.97 Team Blangums
7 W 122.26 70.65 Rob 51.61
8 L 46.33 108.65 Babel -62.32 Slapped Heartbeat
9 Allen
10 Ed
11 Matt
12 Rob
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692310.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923221.1%289.3675213675213699.8921139677379430.0%368.0141.2307692307692340.0%446.6324786324787141.2307692307692350.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692380.0%53.470085470085465141.159076898161300.8%132.1025641025641139.690589447115616.0%210.73504273504273129.4211734916139620.0%289.3675213675213658.55345870470667335.4%368.072.0426.9%446.632478632478788.6427164378554458.8%525.2649572649573124.0390489351821261.0%603.897435897436139.3641679579278670.0%682.5299145299145141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th95.64725274725272191.8601398601399212th179.54835164835166298.1538461538461339th263.44945054945055218.43356643356645410th347.3505494505494245.00699300699356th431.2516483516483138.7132867132867563rd515.152747252747258.99300699300701576th599.053846153846138.7132867132867586th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th95.64725274725272165.2867132867133210th179.54835164835166245.006993006993311th263.44945054945055271.5804195804196411th347.3505494505494271.5804195804196510th431.2516483516483245.00699300699369th515.1527472527472218.43356643356645710th599.053846153846245.00699300699388th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th95.64725274725272191.8601398601399210th179.54835164835166245.00699300699339th263.44945054945055218.43356643356645410th347.3505494505494245.00699300699356th431.2516483516483138.7132867132867564th515.152747252747285.5664335664335778th599.053846153846191.86013986013998Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Turner RB
2.07 19 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
3.06 30 Antonio Gates TE
4.07 43 Tim Hightower RB
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin K WR
6.07 67 Josh Freeman QB
7.06 78 Plaxico Burress WR
8.07 91 Brandon Jacobs RB
9.06 102 Green Bay DEF
10.07 115 Mike Williams K WR
11.06 126 Devin Hester WR
12.07 139 Brent Celek TE
13.06 150 Ryan Torain RB
14.07 163 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.06 174 Darren Sproles RB
16.07 187 Cam Newton QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.40350.642307692307696110.025734695380910.000127.37307692307691137.055027526188720.000204.10384615384615137.055027526188730.000280.8346153846154137.055027526188740.000357.56538461538463137.055027526188750.904434.2961538461538676.3271314924083460.838511.026923076923180.781805637456170.000587.7576923076922137.055027526188780.00050.64230769230769682.9964418645731110.722127.3730769230769188.5664674782950420.176204.10384615384615125.2369233066598630.741280.834615384615487.3267266399226440.332357.56538461538463114.7560401892224750.000434.2961538461538615.59923545862798760.000511.026923076923124.5085837487234957-0.031587.7576923076922139.142898378478958Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678452.07019230769231116.0559440559440510130.96442307692305141.2307692307692320209.85865384615386141.2307692307692330288.75288461538463141.2307692307692340367.6471153846154141.23076923076923511446.541346153846272.0610525.43557692307778.293706293706370604.3298076923076141.230769230769238052.0701923076923190.881118881118915130.96442307692305109.7622377622377621209.85865384615386134.9370629370629336288.75288461538463103.4685314685314743367.6471153846154122.3496503496503550446.54134615384622.769230769230773660525.43557692307715.3566433566433670604.3298076923076141.230769230769238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Dave 3-5 10th 100.07 0.511 25.96 3-10 12th
1 995 2022 Rabbit 5-3 3rd 99.83 0.511 28.07 8-6 5th 5th place
2 978 2016 Matt 3-5 11th 100.75 0.508 33.10 5-8 10th
3 978 2023 Pat 3-5 10th 99.89 0.505 20.45 5-9 11th
4 977 2013 Mike R. 5-3 4th 98.02 0.516 24.10 7-6 6th 5th place
5 971 2012 Allen 3-5 7th 101.75 0.519 23.52 6-7 8th
6 969 2023 Dave 4-4 7th 102.73 0.504 22.91 6-8 10th
7 966 2022 Kevin 4-4 8th 99.30 0.501 20.03 6-8 12th
8 965 2020 Rabbit 4-4 6th 103.79 0.503 23.84 6-7 10th
9 964 2011 Kevin 4-4 6th 104.56 0.505 29.13 6-7 8th
10 963 2009 Allen 3-5 9th 96.99 0.512 14.79 6-7 7th