2009 Kevin

6-7 (0.462), 1,339.89 points (103.07 average)

6th place (regular season)

5th place (playoffs)

7.38 expected wins (0.568)

81-62 all-play record (0.566)

+13.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 115.11 98.73 Pulley 16.38
2 L 84.13 91.68 Dave -7.55
3 L 102.29 107.48 Pat -5.19
4 W 105.70 89.47 Mike R. 16.23
5 L 96.73 108.29 Derrek -11.56
6 W 122.41 106.98 Babel 15.43
7 L 118.61 119.43 Rob -0.82
8 L 81.28 108.22 Ed -26.94
9 W 94.23 89.74 Allen 4.49
10 W 110.15 75.09 Matt 35.06
11 L 113.03 119.40 Rabbit -6.37
12 L 91.55 123.89 Pulley -32.34
13 W 104.67 103.46 Dave 1.21
14 L 97.69 166.83 Rob -69.14 Quarterfinals
15 W 99.36 89.32 Ed 10.04 Fifth-Place Game

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%4.0%4.0%8.0%8.0%12.0%12.0%16.0%16.0%20.0%20.0%0123456789101112130.0%39.42857142857143141.2307692307692300.0%89.97802197802199141.2307692307692310.0%140.5274725274725141.2307692307692320.0%191.07692307692307141.2307692307692330.0%241.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%292.1758241758242141.23076923076923516.9%342.725274725274791.8815541570594760.0%393.27472527472526141.2307692307692370.0%443.8241758241758141.2307692307692380.0%494.3736263736264141.2307692307692390.0%544.9230769230769141.23076923076923100.0%595.4725274725274141.23076923076923110.0%646.0219780219779141.23076923076923120.0%696.5714285714286141.23076923076923130.0%39.42857142857143141.2299584938350600.0%89.97802197802199141.2079244659436810.1%140.5274725274725140.954008507836820.7%191.07692307692307139.3225145266262432.9%241.6263736263736132.8801744213146248.4%292.1758241758242116.759469761549450.0%342.725274725274742.5323390833497623.7%393.2747252747252672.0723.1%443.824175824175873.80507504516505815.4%494.373626373626496.3202791956097196.8%544.9230769230769121.40746420261141101.9%595.4725274725274135.76003667068528110.3%646.0219780219779140.38803422327322120.0%696.5714285714286141.1761806315794313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804316th60.68846153846153138.7132867132867524th109.630769230769285.5664335664335735th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601643rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701552nd256.457692307692332.4195804195804361st305.45.84615384615386873rd354.342307692307758.99300699300701584th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335791st452.2269230769235.846153846153868101st501.169230769230755.846153846153868112nd550.111538461538432.41958041958043123rd599.05384615384658.993006993007015132nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804316th60.68846153846153138.7132867132867527th109.6307692307692165.286713286713337th158.5730769230769165.286713286713347th207.5153846153846165.286713286713354th256.457692307692385.5664335664335766th305.4138.7132867132867578th354.3423076923077191.860139860139988th403.28461538461534191.860139860139995th452.226923076923112.13986013986016105th501.16923076923075112.13986013986016118th550.1115384615384191.8601398601399126th599.053846153846138.71328671328675132nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804316th60.68846153846153138.7132867132867524th109.630769230769285.5664335664335735th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601643rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701552nd256.457692307692332.4195804195804361st305.45.84615384615386873rd354.342307692307758.99300699300701584th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335791st452.2269230769235.846153846153868102nd501.1692307692307532.41958041958043114th550.111538461538485.56643356643357123rd599.05384615384658.99300699300701513Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Reggie Wayne WR
2.06 18 Marshawn Lynch RB
3.07 31 Brandon Jacobs K RB
4.06 42 Dallas Clark TE
5.07 55 Santonio Holmes WR
6.06 66 Derrick Mason WR
7.07 79 Beanie Wells RB
8.06 90 Minnesota DEF
9.07 103 Tom Brady K QB
10.06 114 Patrick Crayton WR
11.07 127 Jeremy Maclin WR
12.06 138 Trent Edwards QB
13.07 151 Mason Crosby K
14.06 162 Shonn Greene RB
15.07 175 Visanthe Shiancoe TE
16.06 186 Davone Bess WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.78635.8863905325443886.8262427491019410.00083.105325443787141.2307692307692320.000130.3242603550296141.2307692307692330.625177.5431952662722297.9518175798788840.000224.76213017751482141.2307692307692350.875271.981065088757480.623984966198660.000319.2141.2307692307692370.000366.41893491124256141.2307692307692380.407413.6378698224852113.064610842085390.707460.8568047337277692.27372195056638100.000508.07573964497044141.23076923076923110.000555.294674556213141.23076923076923120.602602.513609467455699.5848301960101130.00035.8863905325443832.4217162674346310.23883.105325443787124.7421811192179620.556130.3242603550296102.745724602915830.000177.5431952662722254.67286592898851440.461224.76213017751482109.3072841658100550.000271.981065088757420.01720070162798560.835319.283.4251673004852770.187366.41893491124256128.3010140833402280.000413.637869822485284.8984524534013890.000460.8568047337277643.31667467036354100.747508.0757396449704489.53876191215068110.353555.294674556213116.78042869273818120.000602.513609467455657.9388911612509913Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112131036.89822485207178.29370629370631085.44852071005917141.2307692307692320133.99881656804732141.2307692307692338182.549112426035590.8811188811188840231.09940828402367141.23076923076923510279.649704142011978.293706293706360328.20000000000005141.2307692307692370376.75029585798814141.2307692307692386425.30059171597634103.4685314685314796473.8508875739645103.46853146853147100522.4011834319526141.23076923076923110570.9514792899408141.23076923076923127619.50177514792997.1748251748251713036.89822485207115.356643356643361185.44852071005917134.9370629370629327133.9988165680473297.1748251748251730182.549112426035540.5314685314685348231.0994082840236790.8811188811188850279.649704142011915.3566433566433669328.2000000000000584.5874125874125972376.75029585798814128.6433566433566480425.3005917159763465.7062937062937290473.850887573964565.70629370629372105522.4011834319526109.76223776223776112570.9514792899408128.64335664335664120619.50177514792953.1188811188811213All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2009 Kevin 6-7 6th 103.07 0.568 12.42 5th place
1 983 2022 Ed 7-7 7th 103.26 0.566 18.34
2 978 2011 Allen 7-6 5th 105.44 0.571 15.17 5th place
3 977 2010 Babel 8-5 3rd 102.19 0.566 20.22 6th place
4 975 2014 Rob 8-5 3rd 102.85 0.561 17.29 5th place
5 968 2011 Matt 7-6 6th 105.29 0.562 18.74 2nd place
6 967 2016 Dave 6-7 8th 104.86 0.574 18.85
7 962 2021 Ed 6-8 8th 102.71 0.551 13.85
8 961 2009 Rabbit 10-3 1st 103.60 0.584 14.39 2nd place
9 960 2020 Ed 4-9 13th 103.98 0.554 16.72
10 958 2019 Derrek 7-6 6th 106.34 0.578 16.08 3rd place