2018 Rob (through 7 weeks)

6-1 (0.857), 772.07 points (110.30 average)

2nd place

3.99 expected wins (0.570)

51-40 all-play record (0.560)

-29.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.70 99.69 Babel 4.01
2 W 132.39 95.28 Ed 37.11
3 W 114.48 73.75 Richie 40.73
4 W 114.02 106.41 Matt 7.61
5 W 120.49 102.15 Scott 18.34
6 W 110.61 104.47 Pat 6.14
7 L 76.38 86.22 Dave -9.84 Slapped Heartbeat
8 Mike R.
9 Schertz
10 Rabbit
11 Derrek
12 Kevin
13 Pulley

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.2307692307692330.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692358.4%429.0576923076924123.7216168586299460.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.1%42.519230769230774140.9945030932436801.6%106.9423076923077137.981891165352718.3%171.3653846153846123.81790498920701222.6%235.7884615384615293.99223622724939333.2%300.211538461538572.0425.3%364.634615384615588.3590847178927650.0%429.0576923076924106.2124644864906660.5%493.4807692307693140.164347995230347Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd109.630769230769250.81656804733728422nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557634th305.473.3017751479289942nd403.2846153846153428.33136094674557652nd501.1692307692307528.33136094674557666th599.053846153846118.2721893491124175th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd109.630769230769250.81656804733728422nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557631st305.45.84615384615381141st403.284615384615345.84615384615381151st501.169230769230755.84615384615381162nd599.05384615384628.33136094674557675th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd109.630769230769250.81656804733728423rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728435th305.495.786982248520742nd403.2846153846153428.33136094674557654th501.1692307692307573.3017751479289967th599.053846153846140.757396449704157Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 A.J. Green WR
2.05 19 Tyreek Hill WR
3.10 38 Jay Ajayi RB
4.05 47 Mark Ingram II RB
5.10 66 Kelvin Benjamin WR
6.05 75 Zach Ertz K TE
7.10 94 C.J. Anderson RB
8.05 103 Calvin Ridley WR
9.10 122 Cameron Meredith WR
10.05 131 Deshaun Watson K QB
11.10 150 Matt Breida RB
12.05 159 Nyheim Hines RB
13.10 178 Blake Bortles QB
14.05 187 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.10 206 Dede Westbrook WR
16.05 215 New Orleans DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.47838.54065934065934108.1344049064923410.83398.7604395604395583.559079519867820.649158.9802197802197696.3183085551711130.639219.1999999999999697.0165859120051340.730279.419780219780290.6907231454825850.592339.6395604395604100.254323879787160.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.00038.5406593406593475.0380405822154310.00098.7604395604395525.88738980896634720.000158.9802197802197651.4058478795729930.000219.1999999999999652.8024025932410140.000279.419780219780240.1506770601959350.000339.639560439560459.2778785288049660.072399.8593406593406136.271464991207077Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567940.1230769230769293.30177514792899112102.815384615384677.32544378698225210165.5076923076922887.9763313609467435228.19999999999996114.60355029585799410290.892307692307787.9763313609467455353.5846153846154114.6035502958579960416.2769230769231141.230769230769237040.1230769230769245.37278106508874510102.815384615384613.4201183431952720165.5076923076922834.7218934911242530228.1999999999999687.9763313609467440290.892307692307734.7218934911242550353.584615384615487.9763313609467460416.2769230769231141.230769230769237All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Rob 6-1 2nd 110.30 0.570 16.11 8-5 5th 5th place
1 980 2011 Dave 3-4 9th 107.75 0.574 17.28 3-10 12th
2 966 2011 Babel 4-3 3rd 105.72 0.566 12.10 7-6 7th
3 965 2011 Rob 3-4 8th 111.00 0.567 28.72 7-6 4th 4th place
4 964 2024 Ed 4-3 6th 104.53 0.565 16.93 6-8 9th
5 962 2021 Kevin 5-2 4th 111.59 0.582 21.04 5-9 9th
6 960 2009 Rob 4-3 3rd 101.45 0.572 16.81 8-5 3rd 4th place
7 959 2014 Matt 4-3 6th 103.69 0.572 21.87 7-6 6th 4th place
8 958 2024 Pat 5-2 2nd 107.17 0.579 22.40 6-8 10th
9 957 2012 Ed 5-2 4th 106.44 0.568 27.23 8-5 4th 4th place
10 956 2020 Schertz 3-4 9th 107.06 0.555 15.69 6-7 9th