2026 Matt

2-6 (0.250), 832.65 points (104.08 average)

10th place

4.37 expected wins (0.546)

52-52 all-play record (0.500)

+5.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 106.90 89.74 Babel 17.16
2 W 118.63 64.88 Richie 53.75
3 L 102.77 103.07 Scott -0.30
4 L 94.68 103.28 Pulley -8.60
5 L 98.04 108.61 Ed -10.57
6 L 85.65 102.84 Pat -17.19
7 L 123.00 139.59 Schertz -16.59
8 L 102.98 113.21 Kevin -10.23
9 Rob
10 Babel
11 Dave
12 Rabbit
13 Derrek
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692316.3%210.73504273504273125.8652257797830320.0%289.36752136752136141.2307692307692330.0%368.0141.2307692307692340.0%446.6324786324787141.2307692307692350.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692380.1%53.470085470085465141.0233695553651501.2%132.1025641025641138.3948454483649510.0%210.73504273504273110.49968232879682217.7%289.3675213675213698.1139208418433328.4%368.072.0426.9%446.632478632478775.62897220386608514.7%525.2649572649573105.3370328871496964.2%603.897435897436130.9128017868408470.5%682.5299145299145140.05630239863618Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th95.6472527472527273.3017751479289924th179.5483516483516673.3017751479289934th263.4494505494505573.3017751479289947th347.3505494505494140.7573964497041558th431.2516483516483163.2426035502958565th515.152747252747295.786982248520775th599.05384615384695.786982248520785th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd95.6472527472527250.81656804733728425th179.5483516483516695.786982248520736th263.44945054945055118.2721893491124148th347.3505494505494163.24260355029585510th431.2516483516483208.213017751479369th515.1527472527472185.7278106508876710th599.053846153846208.213017751479387th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th95.6472527472527295.786982248520725th179.5483516483516695.786982248520734th263.4494505494505573.3017751479289947th347.3505494505494140.7573964497041558th431.2516483516483163.2426035502958565th515.152747252747295.786982248520775th599.05384615384695.78698224852078Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
2.11 25 DeVonta Smith WR
3.04 32 Zay Flowers WR
4.11 53 Rhamondre Stevenson RB
5.04 60 Harold Fannin, Jr. TE
6.11 81 Bo Nix QB
7.04 88 Bucky Irving K×2 RB
8.11 109 Chris Rodriguez, Jr. RB
9.04 116 Javonte Williams K RB
10.11 137 Khalil Shakir WR
11.04 144 Kyler Murray QB
12.11 165 Keenan Allen WR
13.04 172 Cyrus Allen WR
14.11 193 Green Bay DEF
15.04 200 Wil Lutz K
16.11 221 Kaytron Allen RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.60250.64230769230769699.554594451034710.783127.3730769230769187.0253980144636320.000204.10384615384615141.2307692307692330.000280.8346153846154141.2307692307692340.000357.56538461538463141.2307692307692350.000434.29615384615386141.2307692307692360.000511.0269230769231141.2307692307692370.000587.7576923076922141.2307692307692380.00050.64230769230769657.8784196713001810.000127.3730769230769132.8200267981580420.526204.10384615384615104.7871526305079830.408280.8346153846154112.9791658945290940.457357.56538461538463109.5761415129115950.236434.29615384615386124.8703288552151860.816511.026923076923184.7558395308781270.540587.7576923076922103.852719922177878Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678752.07019230769231103.95266272189349110130.9644230769230587.9763313609467420209.85865384615386141.2307692307692330288.75288461538463141.2307692307692340367.6471153846154141.2307692307692350446.5413461538462141.2307692307692360525.435576923077141.2307692307692370604.3298076923076141.230769230769238052.0701923076923166.6745562130177510130.9644230769230534.7218934911242526209.85865384615386109.2781065088757434288.75288461538463119.9289940828402344367.6471153846154119.9289940828402354446.5413461538462119.92899408284023611525.43557692307782.650887573964576604.3298076923076109.278106508875748All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Matt 2-6 10th 104.08 0.546 11.43
1 990 2021 Ed 3-5 9th 105.10 0.547 13.35 6-8 8th
2 983 2020 Schertz 3-5 10th 104.78 0.543 15.87 6-7 9th
3 980 2026 Ed 2-6 11th 103.05 0.543 16.81
4 972 2009 Mike R. 4-4 5th 100.41 0.553 11.68 5-8 10th
5 970 2015 Mike R. 6-2 2nd 99.67 0.542 13.36 8-5 4th 6th place
6 968 2011 Mike R. 5-3 3rd 105.74 0.551 19.86 6-7 9th
7 960 2020 Mike R. 3-5 11th 102.92 0.531 8.57 6-7 11th
8 959 2015 Babel 4-4 7th 102.44 0.542 24.26 5-8 10th
9 955 2022 Matt 4-4 6th 104.32 0.556 23.83 6-8 11th
10 954 2024 Ed 4-4 7th 103.03 0.530 16.33 6-8 9th