2026 Matt (through 5 weeks)

2-3 (0.400), 521.02 points (104.20 average)

8th place

2.68 expected wins (0.536)

31-34 all-play record (0.477)

-21.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 106.90 89.74 Babel 17.16
2 W 118.63 64.88 Richie 53.75
3 L 102.77 103.07 Scott -0.30
4 L 94.68 103.28 Pulley -8.60
5 L 98.04 108.61 Ed -10.57
6 Pat
7 Schertz
8 Kevin
9 Rob
10 Babel
11 Dave
12 Rabbit
13 Derrek
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%73.12820512820512141.2307692307692300.0%191.07692307692304141.23076923076923129.6%309.0256410256410581.3467448389364720.0%426.974358974359141.2307692307692330.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692340.0%662.8717948717949141.2307692307692351.7%73.12820512820512137.7855145356494011.9%191.07692307692304117.2516120192203510.0%309.0256410256410521.46272044710372234.3%426.97435897435971.99999999999999318.6%544.9230769230769103.5563013007460143.9%662.8717948717949133.430116555185245Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th158.573076923076973.3017751479289925th305.495.786982248520734th452.22692307692373.3017751479289947th599.053846153846140.7573964497041555th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728425th305.495.786982248520736th452.226923076923118.2721893491124148th599.053846153846163.2426035502958557th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th158.573076923076995.786982248520725th305.495.786982248520734th452.22692307692373.3017751479289947th599.053846153846140.757396449704155Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
2.11 25 DeVonta Smith WR
3.04 32 Zay Flowers WR
4.11 53 Rhamondre Stevenson RB
5.04 60 Harold Fannin, Jr. TE
6.11 81 Bo Nix QB
7.04 88 Bucky Irving K×2 RB
8.11 109 Chris Rodriguez, Jr. RB
9.04 116 Javonte Williams K RB
10.11 137 Khalil Shakir WR
11.04 144 Kyler Murray QB
12.11 165 Keenan Allen WR
13.04 172 Cyrus Allen WR
14.11 193 Green Bay DEF
15.04 200 Wil Lutz K
16.11 221 Kaytron Allen RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.58173.66153846153847101.0398097112092710.757196.4307692307692488.8564172562698220.000319.20000000000005141.2307692307692330.000441.96923076923076141.2307692307692340.000564.7384615384616141.2307692307692350.00073.6615384615384760.8488501916493310.000196.4307692307692436.4820652817704220.508319.20000000000005106.0502475292022530.391441.96923076923076114.161277937884640.443564.7384615384616110.595962066503325Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345775.73846153846152103.95266272189349110201.9692307692307687.9763313609467420328.2141.2307692307692330454.43076923076916141.2307692307692340580.6615384615385141.230769230769235075.7384615384615266.6745562130177510201.9692307692307634.7218934911242526328.2109.2781065088757434454.43076923076916119.9289940828402344580.6615384615385119.928994082840235All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Matt 2-3 8th 104.20 0.536 8.32
1 990 2026 Scott 3-2 6th 103.93 0.531 8.37
2 979 2023 Rob 3-2 6th 103.52 0.544 7.64 8-6 5th Blingabowl XVI champion
3 974 2019 Derrek 3-2 7th 104.72 0.547 9.36 7-6 6th 3rd place
4 972 2020 Scott 3-2 6th 105.87 0.532 14.84 7-6 8th
5 967 2011 Babel 3-2 6th 105.86 0.528 14.08 7-6 7th
6 966 2009 Mike R. 2-3 9th 98.53 0.534 12.11 5-8 10th
7 965 2025 Pat 3-2 4th 104.96 0.536 23.47 4-10 13th
8 965 2020 Mike R. 2-3 10th 105.60 0.523 9.72 6-7 11th
9 953 2022 Derrek 3-2 6th 103.53 0.544 22.20 8-6 4th 4th place
10 951 2020 Schertz 2-3 9th 108.01 0.528 17.66 6-7 9th