2026 Matt (through 2 weeks)

2-0 (1.000), 225.53 points (112.76 average)

3rd place

1.35 expected wins (0.676)

17-9 all-play record (0.654)

-68.8% strength of schedule

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0120.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692300.0%368.0141.23076923076923144.9%603.897435897435872.7150884465532729.7%132.1025641025641126.37401249506976045.4%368.071.9999999999999910.0%603.89743589743584.1994076623373082Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th599.05384615384673.3017751479289925th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728427th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th599.05384615384695.78698224852072Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
2.11 25 DeVonta Smith WR
3.04 32 Zay Flowers WR
4.11 53 Rhamondre Stevenson RB
5.04 60 Harold Fannin, Jr. TE
6.11 81 Bo Nix QB
7.04 88 Bucky Irving K×2 RB
8.11 109 Chris Rodriguez, Jr. RB
9.04 116 Javonte Williams K RB
10.11 137 Khalil Shakir WR
11.04 144 Kyler Murray QB
12.11 165 Keenan Allen WR
13.04 172 Cyrus Allen WR
14.11 193 Green Bay DEF
15.04 200 Wil Lutz K
16.11 221 Kaytron Allen RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000120.588165.73846153846154100.535486722806310.764472.6615384615384488.3520942678668520.000165.7384615384615459.8402042148433710.000472.6615384615384435.473419304964452Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313127170.41153846153844103.95266272189349110485.988461538461587.9763313609467420170.4115384615384466.6745562130177510485.988461538461534.721893491124252All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Matt 2-0 3rd 112.77 0.676 5.87
1 989 2018 Kevin 2-0 4th 115.05 0.676 6.47 7-6 6th 3rd place
2 977 2012 Mike R. 2-0 1st 110.41 0.679 9.39 11-2 3rd 6th place
3 972 2012 Rabbit 2-0 2nd 109.92 0.683 6.41 12-1 1st 3rd place
4 967 2022 Matt 1-1 5th 112.14 0.675 20.66 6-8 11th
5 966 2016 Rob 2-0 3rd 112.76 0.687 0.04 8-5 4th 5th place
6 962 2023 Pulley 1-1 6th 107.18 0.672 2.29 8-6 4th 6th place
7 957 2011 Allen 2-0 2nd 117.60 0.685 2.73 7-6 5th 5th place
8 955 2018 Rob 2-0 3rd 118.05 0.679 14.35 8-5 5th 5th place
9 953 2026 Derrek 1-1 6th 114.13 0.663 13.61
10 951 2026 Pat 2-0 1st 116.84 0.682 16.37