2023 Matt (through 11 weeks)

6-5 (0.545), 1,206.56 points (109.69 average)

6th place

7.17 expected wins (0.651)

92-51 all-play record (0.643)

+14.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 114.96 60.67 Kevin 54.29
2 L 110.49 112.33 Rabbit -1.84
3 L 125.95 132.84 Pat -6.89
4 L 114.19 126.51 Babel -12.32
5 W 131.31 120.55 Ed 10.76
6 W 107.46 78.28 Scott 29.18
7 W 110.92 108.07 Derrek 2.85
8 W 115.07 99.46 Richie 15.61
9 L 81.75 144.54 Rob -62.79
10 W 120.79 92.40 Schertz 28.39
11 L 73.67 85.01 Dave -11.34 Slapped Heartbeat
12 Pulley
13 Kevin
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%43.64102564102564141.2307692307692300.0%102.61538461538461141.2307692307692310.0%161.5897435897436141.2307692307692320.0%220.5641025641026141.2307692307692330.0%279.53846153846155141.2307692307692340.0%338.51282051282055141.23076923076923518.9%397.487179487179595.0012801810126360.0%456.4615384615385141.2307692307692370.0%515.4358974358973141.2307692307692380.0%574.4102564102564141.2307692307692390.0%633.3846153846154141.23076923076923100.0%692.3589743589743141.23076923076923110.0%43.64102564102564141.23056772420600.0%102.61538461538461141.2232686819465410.0%161.5897435897436141.1129438661250820.4%220.5641025641026140.1967959817504832.3%279.53846153846155135.5992554838864548.2%338.51282051282055121.3174038452281750.0%397.487179487179548.77179113125604628.4%456.461538461538571.99999999999999726.0%515.435897435897377.85744852266474812.9%574.4102564102564109.6839565677810192.7%633.3846153846154134.6043562511612100.2%692.3589743589743140.78792125366311Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728413rd70.4769230769230950.81656804733728423rd129.207692307692350.81656804733728433rd187.9384615384615250.81656804733728442nd246.6692307692307528.33136094674557651st305.45.84615384615381161st364.13076923076925.84615384615381171st422.861538461538435.84615384615381182nd481.5923076923076628.33136094674557692nd540.323076923076928.331360946745576102nd599.05384615384628.331360946745576113rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728415th70.4769230769230995.7869822485207210th129.2076923076923208.2130177514793310th187.93846153846152208.213017751479348th246.66923076923075163.2426035502958556th305.4118.2721893491124165th364.130769230769295.786982248520773rd422.8615384615384350.81656804733728485th481.5923076923076695.786982248520794th540.323076923076973.30177514792899106th599.053846153846118.27218934911241113rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728413rd70.4769230769230950.81656804733728423rd129.207692307692350.81656804733728433rd187.9384615384615250.81656804733728443rd246.6692307692307550.81656804733728453rd305.450.81656804733728462nd364.130769230769228.33136094674557672nd422.8615384615384328.33136094674557682nd481.5923076923076628.33136094674557692nd540.323076923076928.331360946745576103rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728411Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Tyreek Hill WR
2.11 25 Mark Andrews TE
3.04 32 Cam Akers RB
4.11 53 Jalen Hurts K QB
5.04 60 Tyler Lockett WR
6.11 81 Kenneth Walker III K RB
7.04 88 Brandin Cooks WR
8.11 109 Anthony Richardson, Sr. QB
9.04 116 Jaylen Warren RB
10.11 137 Zay Jones WR
11.04 144 Tyjae Spears RB
12.11 165 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR
13.04 172 Marvin Mims, Jr. WR
14.11 193 New Orleans DEF
15.04 200 Jake Elliott K
16.11 221 Zach Evans RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.74940.1790209790209989.3760783565978710.00095.98321678321679141.2307692307692320.000151.78741258741258141.2307692307692330.000207.5916083916084141.2307692307692340.913263.395804195804277.9917729438587950.630319.297.6152374215150260.689375.004195804195893.5242463093272770.754430.8083916083915689.008397580896380.000486.6125874125874141.2307692307692390.824542.416783216783384.17535158050063100.000598.2209790209789141.23076923076923110.00040.1790209790209937.5213874824265310.68195.9832167832167994.0936857108950220.868151.7874125874125881.1131683470043230.744207.591608391608489.7496815729091440.000263.395804195804214.75277665694835650.000319.253.99970561226082660.000375.004195804195845.8177233878853170.000430.8083916083915636.78602593102337480.202486.6125874125874127.2495517306046890.000542.416783216783327.11993393023205100.111598.2209790209789133.5716469534067411Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111141.3118881118881182.65088757396451098.68951048951048141.2307692307692320156.06713286713284141.2307692307692330213.44475524475524141.23076923076923412270.8223776223776477.3254437869822559328.293.30177514792899611385.5776223776223382.650887573964576442.95524475524473109.2781065088757480500.33286713286714141.23076923076923910557.710489510489487.97633136094674100615.0881118881118141.2307692307692311041.3118881118881124.07100591715975211098.6895104895104887.97633136094674210156.0671328671328487.9763313609467439213.4447552447552493.3017751479289940270.8223776223776413.4201183431952750328.245.37278106508874560385.5776223776223324.07100591715975270442.9552447552447377.3254437869822584500.33286713286714119.9289940828402390557.710489510489434.72189349112425100615.0881118881118141.2307692307692311All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Matt 6-5 6th 109.69 0.651 16.56 9-5 2nd 3rd place
1 975 2010 Dave 5-6 6th 107.95 0.654 22.81 5-8 8th
2 965 2024 Mike R. 6-5 6th 112.02 0.642 20.46 9-5 2nd 3rd place
3 957 2017 Pulley 9-2 1st 105.88 0.644 23.12 11-2 1st 3rd place
4 950 2016 Rabbit 7-4 3rd 108.97 0.629 15.64 9-4 2nd 2nd place
5 949 2023 Rabbit 7-4 5th 108.55 0.636 24.09 8-6 6th 4th place
6 949 2014 Rabbit 9-2 1st 112.43 0.667 21.57 10-3 1st 2nd place
7 948 2022 Dave 6-5 2nd 108.36 0.632 20.89 8-6 3rd 3rd place
8 947 2013 Ed 6-5 5th 106.20 0.634 14.46 7-6 4th 6th place
9 945 2022 Schertz 5-6 9th 111.92 0.638 26.60 6-8 9th
10 944 2014 Dave 6-5 4th 110.98 0.674 19.00 7-6 4th 6th place