2018 Matt (through 8 weeks)

5-3 (0.625), 878.24 points (109.78 average)

6th place

4.33 expected wins (0.541)

57-47 all-play record (0.548)

-20.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 147.40 84.03 Scott 63.37
2 W 130.28 92.06 Rabbit 38.22
3 W 95.79 87.66 Derrek 8.13
4 L 106.41 114.02 Rob -7.61
5 L 103.24 136.04 Dave -32.80
6 W 113.47 96.10 Richie 17.37
7 W 115.38 82.07 Schertz 33.31
8 L 66.27 107.18 Kevin -40.91 Slapped Heartbeat
9 Ed
10 Babel
11 Pulley
12 Pat
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692310.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692320.0%289.36752136752136141.2307692307692330.0%368.0141.23076923076923429.3%446.632478632478775.3867129572605850.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692380.0%53.470085470085465141.1489687177274800.7%132.1025641025641139.582931118393615.2%210.73504273504273129.5432567907975217.4%289.36752136752136102.06830397896876330.8%368.072.040.0%446.63247863247879.542656683751943514.0%525.2649572649573109.6998991710173162.6%603.897435897436135.3440018363290870.0%682.5299145299145141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st95.647252747252725.84615384615381121st179.548351648351665.84615384615381133rd263.4494505494505550.81656804733728443rd347.350549450549450.81656804733728454th431.251648351648373.3017751479289963rd515.152747252747250.81656804733728477th599.053846153846140.7573964497041582nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st95.647252747252725.84615384615381121st179.548351648351665.84615384615381133rd263.4494505494505550.81656804733728444th347.350549450549473.3017751479289954th431.251648351648373.3017751479289963rd515.152747252747250.81656804733728476th599.053846153846118.2721893491124182nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st95.647252747252725.84615384615381121st179.548351648351665.84615384615381132nd263.4494505494505528.33136094674557643rd347.350549450549450.81656804733728453rd431.251648351648350.81656804733728463rd515.152747252747250.81656804733728477th599.053846153846140.757396449704158Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Melvin Gordon III RB
2.09 23 Rob Gronkowski TE
3.06 34 Brandin Cooks WR
4.09 51 Russell Wilson QB
5.06 62 Rashaad Penny RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas K WR
7.06 90 Kenny Golladay WR
8.09 107 Keelan Cole WR
9.06 118 Giovani Bernard RB
10.09 135 Chris Godwin WR
11.06 146 Evan Engram K TE
12.09 163 Austin Ekeler RB
13.06 174 Mitchell Trubisky QB
14.09 191 John Kelly RB
15.06 202 Pittsburgh DEF
16.09 219 Josh Lambo K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.90550.64230769230769676.9861352854743910.816127.3730769230769183.0120717849990720.347204.10384615384615114.848228090815530.000280.8346153846154138.3650178887988340.000357.56538461538463138.3650178887988350.627434.2961538461538695.8460030194851160.658511.026923076923193.7731737527183570.000587.7576923076922138.3650178887988380.00050.64230769230769615.60725268214994810.000127.3730769230769127.659125681199320.000204.1038461538461591.3314382928321730.528280.8346153846154102.5531260302964340.468357.56538461538463106.6207722591815550.000434.2961538461538653.3269881501713960.000511.026923076923149.181329616637857-0.021587.7576923076922139.797893559784038Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456781252.0701923076923177.32544378698225111130.9644230769230582.650887573964525209.85865384615386114.6035502958579930288.75288461538463141.2307692307692340367.6471153846154141.2307692307692359446.541346153846293.3017751479289968525.43557692307798.6272189349112470604.3298076923076141.230769230769238052.0701923076923113.4201183431952710130.9644230769230524.07100591715975220209.8586538461538687.9763313609467434288.75288461538463119.9289940828402348367.647115384615498.6272189349112450446.541346153846245.37278106508874560525.43557692307756.0236686390532470604.3298076923076141.230769230769238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Matt 5-3 6th 109.78 0.541 22.43 8-5 4th 2nd place
1 970 2018 Ed 3-5 9th 108.91 0.531 18.87 6-7 9th
2 966 2024 Pat 5-3 3rd 104.99 0.534 21.73 6-8 10th
3 965 2015 Babel 4-4 7th 102.44 0.542 24.26 5-8 10th
4 962 2020 Schertz 3-5 10th 104.78 0.543 15.87 6-7 9th
5 960 2011 Mike R. 5-3 3rd 105.74 0.551 19.86 6-7 9th
6 953 2022 Derrek 4-4 7th 102.59 0.534 20.22 8-6 4th 4th place
7 951 2011 Rob 3-5 9th 107.08 0.529 28.80 7-6 4th 4th place
8 951 2021 Ed 3-5 9th 105.10 0.547 13.35 6-8 8th
9 948 2024 Scott 4-4 8th 100.52 0.538 26.50 5-9 12th
10 947 2022 Matt 4-4 6th 104.32 0.556 23.83 6-8 11th