2018 Matt (through 8 weeks)

5-3 (0.625), 878.24 points (109.78 average)

6th place

4.33 expected wins (0.541)

57-47 all-play record (0.548)

-20.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 147.40 84.03 Scott 63.37
2 W 130.28 92.06 Rabbit 38.22
3 W 95.79 87.66 Derrek 8.13
4 L 106.41 114.02 Rob -7.61
5 L 103.24 136.04 Dave -32.80
6 W 113.47 96.10 Richie 17.37
7 W 115.38 82.07 Schertz 33.31
8 L 66.27 107.18 Kevin -40.91 Slapped Heartbeat
9 Ed
10 Babel
11 Pulley
12 Pat
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692310.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692320.0%289.36752136752136141.2307692307692330.0%368.0141.23076923076923429.3%446.632478632478775.3867129572605850.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692380.0%53.470085470085465141.1489687177274800.7%132.1025641025641139.582931118393615.2%210.73504273504273129.5432567907975217.4%289.36752136752136102.06830397896876330.8%368.072.040.0%446.63247863247879.542656683751943514.0%525.2649572649573109.6998991710173162.6%603.897435897436135.3440018363290870.0%682.5299145299145141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st95.647252747252725.84615384615381121st179.548351648351665.84615384615381133rd263.4494505494505550.81656804733728443rd347.350549450549450.81656804733728454th431.251648351648373.3017751479289963rd515.152747252747250.81656804733728477th599.053846153846140.7573964497041582nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st95.647252747252725.84615384615381121st179.548351648351665.84615384615381133rd263.4494505494505550.81656804733728444th347.350549450549473.3017751479289954th431.251648351648373.3017751479289963rd515.152747252747250.81656804733728476th599.053846153846118.2721893491124182nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st95.647252747252725.84615384615381121st179.548351648351665.84615384615381132nd263.4494505494505528.33136094674557643rd347.350549450549450.81656804733728453rd431.251648351648350.81656804733728463rd515.152747252747250.81656804733728477th599.053846153846140.757396449704158Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Melvin Gordon III RB
2.09 23 Rob Gronkowski TE
3.06 34 Brandin Cooks WR
4.09 51 Russell Wilson QB
5.06 62 Rashaad Penny RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas Kx2 WR
7.06 90 Kenny Golladay WR
8.09 107 Keelan Cole WR
9.06 118 Giovani Bernard RB
10.09 135 Chris Godwin WR
11.06 146 Evan Engram K TE
12.09 163 Austin Ekeler RB
13.06 174 Mitchell Trubisky QB
14.09 191 John Kelly RB
15.06 202 Pittsburgh DEF
16.09 219 Josh Lambo K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.90550.64230769230769676.9861352854743910.816127.3730769230769183.0120717849990720.347204.10384615384615114.848228090815530.000280.8346153846154138.3650178887988340.000357.56538461538463138.3650178887988350.627434.2961538461538695.8460030194851160.658511.026923076923193.7731737527183570.000587.7576923076922138.3650178887988380.00050.64230769230769615.60725268214994810.000127.3730769230769127.659125681199320.000204.1038461538461591.3314382928321730.528280.8346153846154102.5531260302964340.468357.56538461538463106.6207722591815550.000434.2961538461538653.3269881501713960.000511.026923076923149.181329616637857-0.021587.7576923076922139.797893559784038Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456781252.0701923076923177.32544378698225111130.9644230769230582.650887573964525209.85865384615386114.6035502958579930288.75288461538463141.2307692307692340367.6471153846154141.2307692307692359446.541346153846293.3017751479289968525.43557692307798.6272189349112470604.3298076923076141.230769230769238052.0701923076923113.4201183431952710130.9644230769230524.07100591715975220209.8586538461538687.9763313609467434288.75288461538463119.9289940828402348367.647115384615498.6272189349112450446.541346153846245.37278106508874560525.43557692307756.0236686390532470604.3298076923076141.230769230769238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Matt 5-3 6th 109.78 0.541 22.43 8-5 4th 2nd place
1 970 2018 Ed 3-5 9th 108.91 0.531 18.87 6-7 9th
2 966 2024 Pat 5-3 3rd 104.99 0.534 21.73 6-8 10th
3 965 2015 Babel 4-4 7th 102.44 0.542 24.26 5-8 10th
4 962 2020 Schertz 3-5 10th 104.78 0.543 15.87 6-7 9th
5 960 2011 Mike R. 5-3 3rd 105.74 0.551 19.86 6-7 9th
6 953 2022 Derrek 4-4 7th 102.59 0.534 20.22 8-6 4th 4th place
7 951 2011 Rob 3-5 9th 107.08 0.529 28.80 7-6 4th 4th place
8 951 2021 Ed 3-5 9th 105.10 0.547 13.35 6-8 8th
9 948 2024 Scott 4-4 8th 100.52 0.538 26.50 5-9 12th
10 947 2022 Matt 4-4 6th 104.32 0.556 23.83 6-8 11th