2016 Matt (through 9 weeks)

4-5 (0.444), 916.71 points (101.86 average)

9th place

4.79 expected wins (0.532)

64-53 all-play record (0.547)

+6.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.63 119.84 Pulley -43.21
2 W 139.75 75.70 Richie 64.05 Team Blangums
3 L 69.92 135.90 Dave -65.98
4 W 142.08 109.53 Schertz 32.55 Team Blangums
5 W 109.18 71.45 Pat 37.73
6 L 92.83 94.89 Ed -2.06
7 L 129.83 133.02 Babel -3.19
8 L 45.78 86.58 Rabbit -40.80 Slapped Heartbeat
9 W 110.71 99.08 Allen 11.63
10 Kevin
11 Rob
12 Derrek
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.23076923076923327.6%242.2307692307692590.7564390980290940.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.0%36.07692307692308141.2284110575655800.1%87.61538461538464141.109452714782611.2%139.15384615384616139.0629268866033828.8%190.6923076923077125.1571184255230730.0%242.2307692307692540.282108965288955437.8%293.769230769230872.0520.5%345.3076923076923103.7204909644729463.8%396.8461538461538134.256763375087870.2%448.3846153846154140.857301843312480.0%499.9230769230769141.230769230769239Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th85.15961538461536163.24260355029585211th158.5730769230769230.69822485207139th231.98653846153846185.727810650887647th305.4140.7573964497041557th378.8134615384615140.7573964497041566th452.226923076923118.2721893491124178th525.6403846153845163.2426035502958588th599.053846153846163.24260355029585913th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th85.15961538461536140.75739644970415210th158.5730769230769208.213017751479338th231.98653846153846163.2426035502958547th305.4140.7573964497041557th378.8134615384615140.7573964497041568th452.226923076923163.24260355029585711th525.6403846153845230.69822485207189th599.053846153846185.7278106508876913th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th85.15961538461536140.75739644970415211th158.5730769230769230.69822485207136th231.98653846153846118.2721893491124147th305.4140.7573964497041557th378.8134615384615140.7573964497041565th452.22692307692395.786982248520777th525.6403846153845140.7573964497041588th599.053846153846163.242603550295859Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Julio Jones K WR
2.05 19 Mark Ingram II RB
3.10 38 Greg Olsen TE
4.05 47 Cam Newton K QB
5.10 66 Giovani Bernard RB
6.05 75 Torrey Smith WR
7.10 94 Tavon Austin WR
8.05 103 Michael Thomas WR
9.10 122 Derrick Henry RB
10.05 131 C.J. Prosise RB
11.10 150 Robert Woods WR
12.05 159 Marcus Mariota QB
13.10 178 Will Tye TE
14.05 187 Will Fuller V WR
15.10 206 Pittsburgh DEF
16.05 215 Chris Boswell K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265139.6455589850786510.94778.6871794871794874.8509347838568720.000125.5247863247863139.6455589850786530.953172.3623931623931874.394293677959840.674219.293.5447107777983150.000266.03760683760686139.6455589850786560.000312.8752136752136139.6455589850786570.000359.7128205128205139.6455589850786580.694406.550427350427392.1202264668298390.16631.84957264957265128.2779441738144610.00078.6871794871794810.05631058263509220.084125.5247863247863133.9154219386514330.000172.362393162393189.14302837084093840.000219.247.44386257051796550.392266.03760683760686112.8460308049892560.888312.875213675213678.883041341094437-0.012359.7128205128205140.4381641079239480.000406.550427350427344.594893948581029Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789033.15726495726496141.2307692307692311381.917948717948772.020130.67863247863247141.23076923076923313179.439316239316272.048228.298.6272189349112450276.96068376068376141.2307692307692360325.7213675213675141.2307692307692370374.4820512820512141.23076923076923810423.24273504273587.976331360946749133.15726495726496135.905325443786981081.91794871794872.769230769230773621130.67863247863247135.9053254437869830179.43931623931622.769230769230773640228.256.0236686390532456276.96068376068376109.27810650887574612325.721367521367577.3254437869822570374.4820512820512141.2307692307692380423.24273504273534.721893491124259All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Matt 4-5 9th 101.86 0.532 31.36 5-8 10th
1 983 2013 Rabbit 3-6 13th 104.62 0.530 32.12 5-8 11th
2 971 2020 Matt 5-4 6th 104.40 0.531 22.40 8-5 2nd 2nd place
3 963 2013 Kevin 4-5 9th 97.78 0.526 35.53 6-7 8th
4 958 2013 Mike R. 5-4 4th 99.89 0.541 23.33 7-6 6th 5th place
5 956 2011 Mike R. 5-4 4th 104.45 0.527 19.07 6-7 9th
6 953 2024 Scott 4-5 10th 99.49 0.519 25.16 5-9 12th
7 951 2011 Babel 5-4 5th 101.47 0.523 16.90 7-6 7th
8 951 2010 Babel 5-4 5th 97.33 0.527 20.95 8-5 3rd 6th place
9 951 2021 Ed 3-6 9th 103.10 0.536 13.80 6-8 8th
10 950 2012 Derrek 6-3 5th 97.89 0.529 17.43 8-5 5th 5th place