2016 Matt (through 6 weeks)

3-3 (0.500), 630.39 points (105.06 average)

7th place

3.12 expected wins (0.521)

42-36 all-play record (0.538)

+0.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.63 119.84 Pulley -43.21
2 W 139.75 75.70 Richie 64.05 Team Blangums
3 L 69.92 135.90 Dave -65.98
4 W 142.08 109.53 Schertz 32.55 Team Blangums
5 W 109.18 71.45 Pat 37.73
6 L 92.83 94.89 Ed -2.06
7 Babel
8 Rabbit
9 Allen
10 Kevin
11 Rob
12 Derrek
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.2307692307692310.0%194.3736263736264141.23076923076923244.7%268.072.030.0%341.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692360.1%47.120879120879124141.120836580773202.2%120.74725274725276137.75414946640814120.5%194.3736263736264109.4133635344019520.0%268.02.7692307692307736327.4%341.626373626373698.8473828683434444.8%415.2527472527472133.7527720397836550.2%488.8791208791208140.88315258738386Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th129.2076923076923163.24260355029585211th246.66923076923075230.69822485207139th364.1307692307692185.727810650887647th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041557th599.053846153846140.75739644970415613th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th129.2076923076923140.75739644970415210th246.66923076923075208.213017751479338th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958547th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041557th599.053846153846140.75739644970415613th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th129.2076923076923140.75739644970415211th246.66923076923075230.69822485207136th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124147th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041557th599.053846153846140.757396449704156Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Julio Jones K WR
2.05 19 Mark Ingram II RB
3.10 38 Greg Olsen TE
4.05 47 Cam Newton K QB
5.10 66 Giovani Bernard RB
6.05 75 Torrey Smith WR
7.10 94 Tavon Austin WR
8.05 103 Michael Thomas WR
9.10 122 Derrick Henry RB
10.05 131 C.J. Prosise RB
11.10 150 Robert Woods WR
12.05 159 Marcus Mariota QB
13.10 178 Will Tye TE
14.05 187 Will Fuller V WR
15.10 206 Pittsburgh DEF
16.05 215 Chris Boswell K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.00043.55897435897436141.2307692307692310.932113.815384615384676.7322717036755420.000184.07179487179485141.2307692307692330.938254.3282051282051376.2703420853738340.658324.5846153846153595.6425465299754250.000394.8410256410256141.2307692307692360.15143.55897435897436130.778037044976410.000113.815384615384612.23377417658184620.069184.07179487179485136.4808043133320430.000254.3282051282051311.30991493997842740.000324.5846153846153550.0543238291816150.376394.8410256410256115.167401558881246Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456045.347435897435886141.23076923076923113118.4884615384615272.020191.62948717948714141.23076923076923313264.770512820512872.048337.911538461538498.6272189349112450411.05256410256413141.230769230769236145.347435897435886135.9053254437869810118.488461538461522.769230769230773621191.62948717948714135.9053254437869830264.77051282051282.769230769230773640337.911538461538456.0236686390532456411.05256410256413109.278106508875746All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Matt 3-3 7th 105.07 0.521 28.24 5-8 10th
1 992 2009 Pat 3-3 5th 104.20 0.519 27.81 6-7 8th
2 989 2012 Allen 3-3 6th 104.50 0.522 25.53 6-7 8th
3 963 2010 Matt 2-4 8th 101.71 0.510 29.78 5-8 9th
4 953 2024 Babel 4-2 6th 101.52 0.509 22.92 9-5 4th 4th place
5 952 2011 Dave 2-4 10th 105.33 0.508 17.53 3-10 12th
6 952 2011 Babel 4-2 2nd 105.10 0.530 12.97 7-6 7th
7 951 2024 Ed 4-2 5th 102.37 0.529 17.37 6-8 9th
8 950 2015 Matt 4-2 2nd 103.26 0.540 30.39 8-5 3rd 5th place
9 949 2020 Scott 3-3 7th 104.72 0.531 13.79 7-6 8th
10 947 2019 Scott 2-4 12th 101.33 0.510 20.31 4-9 14th