2016 Matt (through 3 weeks)

1-2 (0.333), 286.30 points (95.43 average)

10th place

1.02 expected wins (0.339)

15-24 all-play record (0.385)

+13.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.63 119.84 Pulley -43.21
2 W 139.75 75.70 Richie 64.05 Team Blangums
3 L 69.92 135.90 Dave -65.98
4 Schertz
5 Pat
6 Ed
7 Babel
8 Rabbit
9 Allen
10 Kevin
11 Rob
12 Derrek
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%20.0%20.0%40.0%40.0%60.0%60.0%01230.0%102.61538461538461141.23076923076923078.8%279.5384615384615572.010.0%456.46153846153845141.2307692307692320.0%633.3846153846154141.2307692307692339.9%102.61538461538461132.563877281491600.0%279.538461538461552.7692307692307736111.1%456.46153846153845131.4535188063351820.2%633.3846153846154141.03259679440923Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th305.4163.24260355029585211th599.053846153846230.698224852071313th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th305.4140.75739644970415210th599.053846153846208.2130177514793313th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th305.4140.75739644970415211th599.053846153846230.6982248520713Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Julio Jones K WR
2.05 19 Mark Ingram II RB
3.10 38 Greg Olsen TE
4.05 47 Cam Newton K QB
5.10 66 Giovani Bernard RB
6.05 75 Torrey Smith WR
7.10 94 Tavon Austin WR
8.05 103 Michael Thomas WR
9.10 122 Derrick Henry RB
10.05 131 C.J. Prosise RB
11.10 150 Robert Woods WR
12.05 159 Marcus Mariota QB
13.10 178 Will Tye TE
14.05 187 Will Fuller V WR
15.10 206 Pittsburgh DEF
16.05 215 Chris Boswell K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001230.000114.58461538461539141.2307692307692310.887319.279.8275323859538720.000523.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.106114.58461538461539133.8723720738854310.000319.218.42429554113850520.024523.8153846153846139.574578455457193Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131230117.8153846153846141.23076923076923113328.272.020538.5846153846153141.2307692307692331117.8153846153846135.9053254437869810328.22.769230769230773621538.5846153846153135.905325443786983All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Matt 1-2 10th 95.43 0.339 31.46 5-8 10th
1 962 2026 Dave 1-2 10th 90.56 0.341 38.96
2 923 2026 Schertz 2-1 6th 89.53 0.330 14.40
3 923 2020 Rabbit 0-3 13th 96.04 0.330 3.57 6-7 10th
4 919 2024 Kevin 0-3 13th 86.88 0.343 12.29 5-9 11th
5 914 2021 Pat 1-2 10th 90.54 0.358 16.88 3-11 12th
6 913 2009 Pat 1-2 11th 88.30 0.350 13.58 6-7 8th
7 909 2011 Pulley 1-2 12th 95.58 0.370 17.75 5-8 10th
8 904 2023 Ed 2-1 8th 89.29 0.356 12.98 11-3 1st 2nd place
9 899 2011 Dave 1-2 10th 96.88 0.368 13.26 3-10 12th
10 896 2010 Kevin 0-3 11th 84.96 0.353 13.99 5-8 10th