2008 Matt

3-10 (0.231), 1,086.33 points (83.56 average)

12th place

4.77 expected wins (0.367)

53-90 all-play record (0.371)

+23.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 84.10 106.97 Ed -22.87
2 L 80.30 107.26 Derrek -26.96
3 L 82.07 91.49 Dave -9.42
4 W 125.27 69.67 Katie 55.60 Team Blangums
5 L 87.28 110.69 Pulley -23.41
6 L 91.73 114.39 Rob -22.66
7 L 69.03 92.40 Mike R. -23.37
8 L 66.02 113.14 Rabbit -47.12 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 72.43 108.37 Kevin -35.94
10 L 79.36 118.90 Babel -39.54
11 L 45.28 86.30 Allen -41.02
12 W 113.66 109.43 Ed 4.23
13 W 89.80 60.14 Derrek 29.66

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%39.42857142857143141.2307692307692300.0%89.97802197802199141.2307692307692310.0%140.5274725274725141.23076923076923214.4%191.07692307692307103.1458968259111430.0%241.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%292.1758241758242141.2307692307692350.0%342.7252747252747141.2307692307692360.0%393.27472527472526141.2307692307692370.0%443.8241758241758141.2307692307692380.0%494.3736263736264141.2307692307692390.0%544.9230769230769141.23076923076923100.0%595.4725274725274141.23076923076923110.0%646.0219780219779141.23076923076923120.0%696.5714285714286141.23076923076923130.0%39.42857142857143141.201698576453800.5%89.97802197802199139.912256207987314.4%140.5274725274725129.560394844831620.0%191.0769230769230765.06102442105303324.8%241.626373626373675.54171285608712426.1%292.175824175824271.99999999999999518.0%342.725274725274793.4443604762465268.4%393.27472527472526118.8981148783986472.7%443.8241758241758134.0879856650847780.6%494.3736263736264139.6793796623265490.1%544.9230769230769141.00832092064724100.0%595.4725274725274141.21091746094677110.0%646.0219780219779141.22979194414822120.0%696.5714285714286141.2307496803085213Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.71328671328675111th60.68846153846153271.5804195804196212th109.6307692307692298.1538461538461337th158.5730769230769165.286713286713349th207.5153846153846218.4335664335664558th256.4576923076923191.860139860139969th305.4218.43356643356645710th354.3423076923077245.006993006993810th403.28461538461534245.006993006993911th452.226923076923271.58041958041961011th501.16923076923075271.58041958041961110th550.1115384615384245.0069930069931211th599.053846153846271.5804195804196139th11.746153846153845218.43356643356645111th60.68846153846153271.5804195804196212th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613311th158.5730769230769271.5804195804196411th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131012th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131112th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131212th599.053846153846298.15384615384613136th11.746153846153845138.71328671328675110th60.68846153846153245.006993006993211th109.6307692307692271.580419580419636th158.5730769230769138.7132867132867547th207.5153846153846165.286713286713358th256.4576923076923191.860139860139968th305.4191.8601398601399710th354.3423076923077245.006993006993810th403.28461538461534245.006993006993911th452.226923076923271.58041958041961011th501.16923076923075271.58041958041961110th550.1115384615384245.0069930069931211th599.053846153846271.580419580419613Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1
1.02 2
1.03 3
1.04 4
1.05 5
1.06 6 Tom Brady QB
1.07 7
1.08 8
1.09 9
1.10 10
1.11 11
1.12 12
2.01 13
2.02 14
2.03 15
2.04 16
2.05 17
2.06 18
2.07 19 Larry Johnson RB
2.08 20
2.09 21
2.10 22
2.11 23
2.12 24
3.01 25
3.02 26
3.03 27
3.04 28
3.05 29
3.06 30 Chad Ochocinco WR
3.07 31
3.08 32
3.09 33
3.10 34
3.11 35
3.12 36
4.01 37
4.02 38
4.03 39
4.04 40
4.05 41
4.06 42
4.07 43 Reggie Bush RB
4.08 44
4.09 45
4.10 46
4.11 47
4.12 48
5.01 49
5.02 50
5.03 51
5.04 52
5.05 53
5.06 54 Roy Williams WR
5.07 55
5.08 56
5.09 57
5.10 58
5.11 59
5.12 60
6.01 61
6.02 62
6.03 63
6.04 64
6.05 65
6.06 66
6.07 67 Jerricho Cotchery WR
6.08 68
6.09 69
6.10 70
6.11 71
6.12 72
7.01 73
7.02 74
7.03 75
7.04 76
7.05 77
7.06 78 Kevin Smith RB
7.07 79
7.08 80
7.09 81
7.10 82
7.11 83
7.12 84
8.01 85
8.02 86
8.03 87
8.04 88
8.05 89
8.06 90
8.07 91 Nate Burleson WR
8.08 92
8.09 93
8.10 94
8.11 95
8.12 96
9.01 97
9.02 98
9.03 99
9.04 100
9.05 101
9.06 102 Owen Daniels TE
9.07 103
9.08 104
9.09 105
9.10 106
9.11 107
9.12 108
10.01 109
10.02 110
10.03 111
10.04 112
10.05 113
10.06 114
10.07 115 Ricky Williams RB
10.08 116
10.09 117
10.10 118
10.11 119
10.12 120
11.01 121
11.02 122
11.03 123
11.04 124
11.05 125
11.06 126 Nick Folk K
11.07 127
11.08 128
11.09 129
11.10 130
11.11 131
11.12 132
12.01 133
12.02 134
12.03 135
12.04 136
12.05 137
12.06 138
12.07 139 Aaron Rodgers QB
12.08 140
12.09 141
12.10 142
12.11 143
12.12 144
13.01 145
13.02 146
13.03 147
13.04 148
13.05 149
13.06 150 Dallas DEF
13.07 151
13.08 152
13.09 153
13.10 154
13.11 155
13.12 156
14.01 157
14.02 158
14.03 159
14.04 160
14.05 161
14.06 162
14.07 163 Kevin Walter WR
14.08 164
14.09 165
14.10 166
14.11 167
14.12 168
15.01 169
15.02 170
15.03 171
15.04 172
15.05 173
15.06 174 Buffalo DEF
15.07 175
15.08 176
15.09 177
15.10 178
15.11 179
15.12 180
16.01 181
16.02 182
16.03 183
16.04 184
16.05 185
16.06 186
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR
16.08 188
16.09 189
16.10 190
16.11 191
16.12 192
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00035.88639053254438141.2307692307692310.00083.105325443787141.2307692307692320.000130.3242603550296141.2307692307692330.972177.5431952662722273.9301598649289440.000224.76213017751482141.2307692307692350.000271.9810650887574141.2307692307692360.000319.2141.2307692307692370.000366.41893491124256141.2307692307692380.000413.6378698224852141.2307692307692390.000460.85680473372776141.23076923076923100.000508.07573964497044141.23076923076923110.857555.29467455621381.90236843016473120.433602.5136094674556111.2589777362473130.33035.88639053254438118.4135281376013610.26683.105325443787122.8120938778868720.296130.3242603550296120.711339199332230.000177.543195266272226.62955049908865140.396224.76213017751482113.8263184488832350.469271.9810650887574108.7355003061419660.154319.2130.602856228141270.123366.41893491124256132.6968404130096280.172413.6378698224852129.2947268141447590.250460.85680473372776123.9540588568851100.052508.07573964497044137.62971555418954110.000555.29467455621322.57396762956023120.000602.513609467455681.2871862417253813Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213036.898224852071141.230769230769231085.44852071005917141.2307692307692320133.99881656804732141.23076923076923311182.549112426035572.040231.09940828402367141.2307692307692350279.6497041420119141.2307692307692360328.20000000000005141.2307692307692370376.75029585798814141.2307692307692380425.30059171597634141.2307692307692390473.8508875739645141.23076923076923100522.4011834319526141.230769230769231110570.951479289940878.2937062937063125619.501775147929109.7622377622377613636.898224852071103.468531468531471285.44852071005917128.6433566433566424133.99881656804732116.0559440559440530182.54911242603552.769230769230773645231.09940828402367109.7622377622377653279.6497041420119122.3496503496503561328.20000000000005134.9370629370629370376.75029585798814141.2307692307692383425.30059171597634122.3496503496503592473.8508875739645128.64335664335664101522.4011834319526134.93706293706293110570.951479289940815.35664335664336120619.50177514792978.2937062937063113All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2008 Matt 3-10 12th 83.56 0.367 19.42
1 973 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.365 16.78
2 972 2010 Allen 7-6 6th 85.16 0.375 22.29 4th place
3 967 2016 Pat 7-6 7th 88.96 0.364 16.09
4 966 2010 Pat 3-10 12th 84.05 0.352 20.89
5 964 2012 Kevin 5-8 10th 85.92 0.378 21.90
6 962 2013 Pat 5-8 12th 87.34 0.375 16.65
7 958 2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77
8 958 2017 Allen 5-8 12th 85.50 0.357 12.53
9 955 2011 Pat 5-8 11th 87.91 0.358 24.21
10 953 2017 Matt 5-8 11th 86.79 0.381 16.42