2023 Schertz (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 974.51 points (97.45 average)

11th place

4.47 expected wins (0.447)

60-70 all-play record (0.462)

+8.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 76.13 63.28 Scott 12.85
2 W 94.72 80.58 Kevin 14.14
3 L 74.79 129.29 Pulley -54.50
4 W 139.82 85.70 Richie 54.12 Team Blangums
5 W 131.30 100.59 Rob 30.71
6 L 66.01 92.96 Derrek -26.95 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 94.26 123.75 Rabbit -29.49
8 L 107.86 117.33 Ed -9.47
9 L 97.22 112.56 Scott -15.34
10 L 92.40 120.79 Matt -28.39
11 Babel
12 Dave
13 Mike R.
14 Pat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923329.4%221.1468531468531571.9999999999999940.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.1972097037438800.5%80.5874125874126140.0996579379901214.7%127.44055944055944130.05659410068375216.9%174.29370629370626101.3443324624463530.0%221.146853146853152.769230769230745428.0%268.075.33378691671678515.1%314.8531468531468105.6384342701800664.5%361.7062937062937130.5913648845972870.7%408.5594405594406139.6053218694399380.0%455.41258741258747141.1167296613100790.0%502.2657342657343141.228067515156310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887619th77.0025641025641185.7278106508876212th142.2589743589743253.1834319526627239th207.5153846153846185.727810650887647th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041558th338.0282051282051163.2426035502958569th403.28461538461534185.727810650887679th468.5410256410256185.727810650887689th533.7974358974359185.7278106508876910th599.053846153846208.2130177514793107th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th77.002564102564173.3017751479289929th142.2589743589743185.727810650887636th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124145th272.7717948717948495.786982248520755th338.028205128205195.786982248520767th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041579th468.5410256410256185.7278106508876810th533.7974358974359208.2130177514793911th599.053846153846230.698224852071109th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th77.0025641025641163.24260355029585212th142.2589743589743253.1834319526627238th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958547th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041557th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041568th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958579th468.5410256410256185.727810650887689th533.7974358974359185.727810650887699th599.053846153846185.727810650887610Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Saquon Barkley RB
2.07 21 Najee Harris RB
3.08 36 D.J. Moore WR
4.07 49 T.J. Hockenson TE
5.08 64 Khalil Herbert RB
6.07 77 Jahan Dotson WR
7.08 92 Quentin Johnston WR
8.07 105 Treylon Burks K WR
9.08 120 Justin Fields K QB
10.07 133 Jameson Williams WR
11.08 148 San Francisco DEF
12.07 161 Tyler Bass K
13.08 176 Joshua Kelley RB
14.07 189 Matt Breida RB
15.08 204 Kareem Hunt RB
16.07 217 Chase Claypool WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.13029.507692307692306132.242866825848310.43571.66153846153847111.1034020146577620.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.951155.9692307692307375.3811500729135140.903198.1230769230769278.749615387786450.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.00029.507692307692306123.2549644209273510.00071.6615384615384780.976034798546320.115113.8153846153846133.2854762884561530.000155.969230769230739.531530915057840.000198.1230769230769216.268461544803650.044240.27692307692305138.1660686320403260.423282.4307692307692111.9648682292874570.626324.5846153846153597.8592422063485180.456366.73846153846154109.6298488130513590.385408.89230769230767114.5453908159043610Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910530.719230769230762114.603550295857991474.60384615384615119.9289940828402320118.48846153846154141.23076923076923313162.373076923076972.0411206.257692307692382.650887573964550250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.71923076923076287.976331360946741074.6038461538461598.6272189349112421118.48846153846154135.9053254437869830162.37307692307692.769230769230773640206.257692307692324.07100591715975250250.14230769230767141.2307692307692367294.026923076923103.9526627218934975337.9115384615384114.60355029585799810381.7961538461538687.9763313609467494425.6807692307692119.9289940828402310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Schertz 4-6 11th 97.45 0.447 22.47 6-8 9th
1 984 2019 Mike R. 6-4 5th 99.07 0.450 24.26 8-5 4th 4th place
2 983 2014 Kevin 3-7 13th 95.58 0.450 20.75 4-9 14th
3 982 2019 Dave 4-6 11th 98.17 0.446 15.89 6-7 10th
4 981 2023 Dave 5-5 8th 98.41 0.454 22.79 6-8 10th
5 975 2024 Matt 6-4 5th 96.20 0.455 21.15 8-6 6th 6th place
6 975 2019 Scott 3-7 13th 95.18 0.439 22.46 4-9 14th
7 974 2013 Schertz 5-5 7th 91.68 0.447 21.52 6-7 9th
8 972 2023 Ed 7-3 3rd 97.12 0.454 16.73 11-3 1st 2nd place
9 971 2016 Allen 4-6 11th 97.36 0.461 22.08 4-9 13th
10 971 2010 Matt 3-7 10th 97.49 0.460 23.79 5-8 9th