2013 Pat (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 884.83 points (88.48 average)

12th place

3.87 expected wins (0.387)

50-80 all-play record (0.385)

-9.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 91.71 131.44 Derrek -39.73
2 W 91.19 70.28 Dave 20.91
3 W 77.19 76.61 Babel 0.58
4 L 99.01 107.96 Matt -8.95
5 W 118.50 81.37 Allen 37.13
6 L 95.53 109.89 Pulley -14.36
7 L 55.91 85.61 Schertz -29.70 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 100.14 77.64 Rob 22.50
9 L 85.94 96.21 Ed -10.27
10 L 69.71 102.64 Mike R. -32.93
11 Kevin
12 Richie
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%46.32167832167832141.2307692307692300.0%110.65734265734265141.2307692307692310.0%174.993006993007141.2307692307692320.0%239.3286713286713141.23076923076923328.1%303.664335664335772.040.0%367.99999999999994141.2307692307692350.0%432.33566433566426141.2307692307692360.0%496.67132867132864141.2307692307692370.0%561.006993006993141.2307692307692380.0%625.3426573426574141.2307692307692390.0%689.6783216783215141.23076923076923100.3%46.32167832167832140.4748849811636803.2%110.65734265734265133.25314254293556112.3%174.993006993007110.86306644595354224.2%239.328671328671381.4472091975287830.0%303.66433566433572.7692307692307736420.1%367.9999999999999491.6705747106033558.9%432.33566433566426119.1691632112246462.4%496.67132867132864135.3144149759995770.4%561.006993006993140.3489550216259880.0%625.3426573426574141.1693065090171390.0%689.6783216783215141.2294938547961510Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272111th77.0025641025641230.698224852071212th142.2589743589743253.18343195266272314th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613410th272.77179487179484208.213017751479359th338.0282051282051185.7278106508876611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071711th468.5410256410256230.698224852071811th533.7974358974359230.698224852071911th599.053846153846230.6982248520711012th11.746153846153845253.1834319526627219th77.0025641025641185.727810650887627th142.2589743589743140.75739644970415311th207.5153846153846230.69822485207148th272.77179487179484163.24260355029585510th338.0282051282051208.2130177514793611th403.28461538461534230.69822485207178th468.5410256410256163.24260355029585810th533.7974358974359208.2130177514793912th599.053846153846253.183431952662721012th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272110th77.0025641025641208.2130177514793212th142.2589743589743253.18343195266272314th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613410th272.77179487179484208.213017751479359th338.0282051282051185.7278106508876611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071711th468.5410256410256230.698224852071811th533.7974358974359230.698224852071911th599.053846153846230.69822485207110Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1
1.02 2
1.03 3 Arian Foster RB
1.04 4
1.05 5
1.06 6
1.07 7
1.08 8
1.09 9
1.10 10
1.11 11
1.12 12
1.13 13
1.14 14
2.01 15
2.02 16
2.03 17
2.04 18
2.05 19
2.06 20
2.07 21
2.08 22
2.09 23
2.10 24
2.11 25
2.12 26 Drew Brees QB
2.13 27
2.14 28
3.01 29
3.02 30
3.03 31 Eddie Lacy RB
3.04 32
3.05 33
3.06 34
3.07 35
3.08 36
3.09 37
3.10 38
3.11 39
3.12 40
3.13 41
3.14 42
4.01 43
4.02 44
4.03 45
4.04 46
4.05 47
4.06 48
4.07 49
4.08 50
4.09 51
4.10 52
4.11 53
4.12 54 James Jones WR
4.13 55
4.14 56
5.01 57
5.02 58
5.03 59 Reggie Wayne K WR
5.04 60
5.05 61
5.06 62
5.07 63
5.08 64
5.09 65
5.10 66
5.11 67
5.12 68
5.13 69
5.14 70
6.01 71
6.02 72
6.03 73
6.04 74
6.05 75
6.06 76
6.07 77
6.08 78
6.09 79
6.10 80
6.11 81
6.12 82 Kyle Rudolph TE
6.13 83
6.14 84
7.01 85
7.02 86
7.03 87 Jay Cutler Kx2 QB
7.04 88
7.05 89
7.06 90
7.07 91
7.08 92
7.09 93
7.10 94
7.11 95
7.12 96
7.13 97
7.14 98
8.01 99
8.02 100
8.03 101
8.04 102
8.05 103
8.06 104
8.07 105
8.08 106
8.09 107
8.10 108
8.11 109
8.12 110 Michael Floyd WR
8.13 111
8.14 112
9.01 113
9.02 114
9.03 115 Isaac Redman RB
9.04 116
9.05 117
9.06 118
9.07 119
9.08 120
9.09 121
9.10 122
9.11 123
9.12 124
9.13 125
9.14 126
10.01 127
10.02 128
10.03 129
10.04 130
10.05 131
10.06 132
10.07 133
10.08 134
10.09 135
10.10 136
10.11 137
10.12 138 Kendall Wright WR
10.13 139
10.14 140
11.01 141
11.02 142
11.03 143 Jonathan Stewart RB
11.04 144
11.05 145
11.06 146
11.07 147
11.08 148
11.09 149
11.10 150
11.11 151
11.12 152
11.13 153
11.14 154
12.01 155
12.02 156
12.03 157
12.04 158
12.05 159
12.06 160
12.07 161
12.08 162
12.09 163
12.10 164
12.11 165
12.12 166 New England DEF
12.13 167
12.14 168
13.01 169
13.02 170
13.03 171 Johnathan Franklin RB
13.04 172
13.05 173
13.06 174
13.07 175
13.08 176
13.09 177
13.10 178
13.11 179
13.12 180
13.13 181
13.14 182
14.01 183
14.02 184
14.03 185
14.04 186
14.05 187
14.06 188
14.07 189
14.08 190
14.09 191
14.10 192
14.11 193
14.12 194 Phil Dawson K
14.13 195
14.14 196
15.01 197
15.02 198
15.03 199 Santana Moss WR
15.04 200
15.05 201
15.06 202
15.07 203
15.08 204
15.09 205
15.10 206
15.11 207
15.12 208
15.13 209
15.14 210
16.01 211
16.02 212
16.03 213
16.04 214
16.05 215
16.06 216
16.07 217
16.08 218
16.09 219
16.10 220
16.11 221
16.12 222 Ed Dickson TE
16.13 223
16.14 224

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00042.969230769230776141.2307692307692310.397104.35384615384616113.7483396066477620.216165.73846153846156126.2668587994079430.000227.12307692307695141.2307692307692340.837288.507692307692383.2564611713437350.000349.89230769230767141.2307692307692360.000411.276923076923141.2307692307692370.537472.6615384615384104.0794009773716880.000534.0461538461539141.2307692307692390.000595.4307692307691141.23076923076923100.40742.969230769230776113.02504041770210.000104.3538461538461686.265909982526320.000165.73846153846156111.3029483680466630.518227.12307692307695105.3898067548051440.000288.507692307692325.28215311191823450.467349.89230769230767108.9314223693948860.033411.276923076923138.9549467397778870.000472.661538461538466.9280327239741180.333534.0461538461539118.1535430287001890.124595.4307692307691132.618918804934710Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910044.18076923076923141.2307692307692315107.29615384615383114.6035502958579924170.41153846153844119.9289940828402330233.52692307692305141.23076923076923412296.642307692307777.3254437869822550359.7576923076923141.2307692307692360422.8730769230769141.2307692307692377485.9884615384615103.9526627218934980549.1038461538462141.2307692307692390612.2192307692309141.2307692307692310244.18076923076923130.5798816568047310107.2961538461538387.9763313609467420170.4115384615384498.6272189349112436233.52692307692305109.2781065088757440296.642307692307713.4201183431952758359.757692307692398.6272189349112460422.8730769230769141.2307692307692370485.988461538461566.6745562130177583549.1038461538462125.2544378698224893612.2192307692309125.2544378698224810All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Pat 4-6 12th 88.48 0.387 16.62 5-8 12th
1 984 2017 Matt 4-6 11th 85.65 0.384 16.48 5-8 11th
2 978 2017 Allen 4-6 10th 85.94 0.390 14.20 5-8 12th
3 977 2010 Kevin 2-8 12th 88.70 0.397 15.78 5-8 10th
4 965 2014 Pat 4-6 10th 89.91 0.398 19.86 5-8 11th
5 965 2015 Ed 3-7 11th 89.29 0.397 22.41 4-9 12th
6 961 2014 Schertz 5-5 8th 91.76 0.398 14.69 5-8 13th
7 955 2019 Richie 4-6 12th 95.13 0.395 17.81 5-8 12th
8 954 2013 Richie 5-5 8th 87.15 0.372 21.82 6-7 10th
9 954 2008 Mike R. 3-7 11th 86.50 0.403 19.08 5-8 8th
10 953 2014 Allen 4-6 11th 88.69 0.365 16.03 6-7 10th