2011 Pat (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 679.91 points (84.99 average)

12th place

2.58 expected wins (0.322)

24-64 all-play record (0.273)

+11.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 Pulley
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692310.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923233.8%289.3675213675213672.030.0%368.0141.2307692307692340.0%446.6324786324787141.2307692307692350.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692381.7%53.470085470085465137.83475245541382012.7%132.1025641025641115.19678281903322131.2%210.7350427350427377.2352130074159420.0%289.367521367521362.7692307692307736316.9%368.0106.5078280038316343.6%446.6324786324787133.9405178537983850.2%525.2649572649573140.846704216974960.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th95.6472527472527285.5664335664335725th179.54835164835166112.1398601398601637th263.44945054945055165.2867132867133411th347.3505494505494271.5804195804196511th431.2516483516483271.5804195804196611th515.1527472527472271.5804195804196711th599.053846153846271.580419580419683rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th95.6472527472527285.5664335664335723rd179.5483516483516658.99300699300701536th263.44945054945055138.71328671328675410th347.3505494505494245.006993006993511th431.2516483516483271.5804195804196612th515.1527472527472298.15384615384613712th599.053846153846298.1538461538461383rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th95.6472527472527285.5664335664335725th179.54835164835166112.1398601398601637th263.44945054945055165.2867132867133411th347.3505494505494271.5804195804196511th431.2516483516483271.5804195804196612th515.1527472527472298.15384615384613712th599.053846153846298.153846153846138Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice Kx2 RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.80850.64230769230769683.1198203053837410.000127.37307692307691137.5910756111708220.354204.10384615384615113.7240423099594330.000280.8346153846154137.5910756111708240.000357.56538461538463137.5910756111708250.000434.29615384615386137.5910756111708260.000511.0269230769231137.5910756111708270.314587.7576923076922116.4406700720093780.00050.64230769230769628.64856499959664410.565127.3730769230769199.5208013282587820.000204.1038461538461589.8570090087480230.518280.8346153846154102.638679832605024-0.024357.56538461538463139.1972734822073850.071434.29615384615386132.78742380336576-0.027511.0269230769231139.4109224209700270.000587.757692307692295.290264532847918Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678952.0701923076923184.5874125874125910130.96442307692305141.2307692307692323209.85865384615386122.3496503496503530288.75288461538463141.2307692307692340367.6471153846154141.2307692307692350446.5413461538462141.2307692307692360525.435576923077141.2307692307692374604.3298076923076116.055944055944058052.0701923076923127.94405594405594713130.96442307692305122.3496503496503520209.85865384615386103.4685314685314734288.75288461538463116.0559440559440540367.6471153846154141.2307692307692351446.5413461538462134.9370629370629360525.435576923077141.2307692307692370604.329807692307690.88111888111898All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 3-5 12th 84.99 0.322 24.41 5-8 11th
1 976 2016 Pat 4-4 10th 86.41 0.326 19.13 7-6 7th
2 976 2013 Richie 4-4 10th 85.06 0.333 23.03 6-7 10th
3 970 2012 Schertz 2-6 13th 81.33 0.315 24.10 5-8 9th
4 964 2022 Pulley 3-5 13th 87.26 0.325 13.88 7-7 8th
5 963 2011 Pulley 3-5 11th 88.16 0.318 16.61 5-8 10th
6 960 2015 Kevin 2-6 12th 83.45 0.332 17.22 3-10 14th
7 959 2017 Allen 3-5 13th 81.35 0.322 11.78 5-8 12th
8 957 2022 Richie 4-4 9th 86.71 0.316 13.29 6-8 13th
9 953 2024 Pulley 2-6 14th 87.11 0.312 15.62 4-10 13th
10 952 2015 Pat 2-6 13th 81.95 0.336 20.57 6-7 9th