2011 Pat (through 6 weeks)

2-4 (0.333), 540.29 points (90.05 average)

11th place

2.06 expected wins (0.344)

20-46 all-play record (0.303)

+25.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 Ed
8 Matt
9 Pulley
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%64.7032967032967141.2307692307692300.0%165.80219780219778141.23076923076923139.4%266.9010989010988672.020.0%368.0141.2307692307692330.0%469.09890109890114141.2307692307692340.0%570.1978021978022141.2307692307692350.0%671.2967032967032141.2307692307692363.8%64.7032967032967134.63758767591145022.0%165.80219780219778102.5254079911420610.0%266.901098901098862.7692307692307736227.7%368.092.5363243095404836.8%469.09890109890114129.2325587712537440.2%570.1978021978022140.8768540271484550.0%671.2967032967032141.230769230769236Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th129.207692307692385.5664335664335725th246.66923076923075112.1398601398601637th364.1307692307692165.2867132867133411th481.59230769230766271.5804195804196511th599.053846153846271.580419580419663rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th129.207692307692385.5664335664335723rd246.6692307692307558.99300699300701536th364.1307692307692138.71328671328675410th481.59230769230766245.006993006993511th599.053846153846271.580419580419663rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th129.207692307692385.5664335664335725th246.66923076923075112.1398601398601637th364.1307692307692165.2867132867133411th481.59230769230766271.5804195804196511th599.053846153846271.58041958041966Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice Kx2 RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.77063.43076923076923682.9573737989894510.000165.73846153846154133.1170808739551620.316268.04615384615386112.5460101739101530.000370.3538461538461133.1170808739551640.000472.66153846153844133.1170808739551650.000574.9692307692308133.1170808739551660.00063.43076923076923632.7976667240237410.526165.7384615384615498.8140965611387120.000268.0461538461538691.9749394738651330.480370.3538461538461101.828509844132474-0.062472.66153846153844137.173925052362250.033574.9692307692308130.976782993439976Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456965.2192307692307684.5874125874125910170.41153846153844141.2307692307692323275.6038461538461122.3496503496503530380.79615384615386141.2307692307692340485.9884615384615141.2307692307692350591.1807692307692141.230769230769236065.2192307692307627.94405594405594713170.41153846153844122.3496503496503520275.6038461538461103.4685314685314734380.79615384615386116.0559440559440540485.9884615384615141.2307692307692351591.1807692307692134.937062937062936All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 2-4 11th 90.05 0.344 23.32 5-8 11th
1 965 2019 Richie 2-4 13th 90.84 0.333 18.71 5-8 12th
2 965 2025 Babel 2-4 13th 91.07 0.331 26.30 4-10 12th
3 963 2019 Babel 3-3 11th 91.30 0.338 13.41 8-5 5th 5th place
4 958 2013 Derrek 4-2 6th 90.18 0.361 20.52 7-6 7th
5 954 2013 Rabbit 1-5 13th 87.75 0.326 22.98 5-8 11th
6 952 2023 Derrek 2-4 11th 89.64 0.359 15.27 5-9 12th
7 948 2008 Mike R. 1-5 12th 84.82 0.358 22.27 5-8 8th
8 947 2012 Dave 3-3 9th 88.67 0.366 21.91 6-7 7th
9 942 2024 Derrek 2-4 11th 88.49 0.370 23.30 4-10 14th
10 939 2017 Pat 1-5 14th 81.76 0.347 13.10 6-7 7th