2011 Pat (through 6 weeks)

2-4 (0.333), 540.29 points (90.05 average)

11th place

2.06 expected wins (0.344)

20-46 all-play record (0.303)

+25.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 Ed
8 Matt
9 Pulley
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%64.7032967032967141.2307692307692300.0%165.80219780219778141.23076923076923139.4%266.9010989010988672.020.0%368.0141.2307692307692330.0%469.09890109890114141.2307692307692340.0%570.1978021978022141.2307692307692350.0%671.2967032967032141.2307692307692363.8%64.7032967032967134.63759702406313022.0%165.80219780219778102.5254160841566310.0%266.901098901098862.7692307692307736227.7%368.092.5363356075603736.8%469.09890109890114129.232571570180740.2%570.1978021978022140.876857107546250.0%671.2967032967032141.230769230769236Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th129.207692307692385.5664335664335725th246.66923076923075112.1398601398601637th364.1307692307692165.2867132867133411th481.59230769230766271.5804195804196511th599.053846153846271.580419580419663rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th129.207692307692385.5664335664335723rd246.6692307692307558.99300699300701536th364.1307692307692138.71328671328675410th481.59230769230766245.006993006993511th599.053846153846271.580419580419663rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th129.207692307692385.5664335664335725th246.66923076923075112.1398601398601637th364.1307692307692165.2867132867133411th481.59230769230766271.5804195804196511th599.053846153846271.58041958041966Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.77063.43076923076923682.9573469464596710.000165.73846153846154133.1170836751439620.316268.04615384615386112.5460156426423330.000370.3538461538461133.1170836751439640.000472.66153846153844133.1170836751439650.000574.9692307692308133.1170836751439660.00063.43076923076923632.7976102177753610.526165.7384615384615498.8141038410353520.000268.0461538461538691.974947610140730.480370.3538461538461101.82851918088254-0.062472.66153846153844137.173926452956650.033574.9692307692308130.97680391067986Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456965.2192307692307684.5874125874125910170.41153846153844141.2307692307692323275.6038461538461122.3496503496503530380.79615384615386141.2307692307692340485.9884615384615141.2307692307692350591.1807692307692141.230769230769236065.2192307692307627.94405594405594713170.41153846153844122.3496503496503520275.6038461538461103.4685314685314734380.79615384615386116.0559440559440540485.9884615384615141.2307692307692351591.1807692307692134.937062937062936All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 2-4 11th 90.05 0.344 23.32 5-8 11th
1 965 2019 Richie 2-4 13th 90.84 0.332 18.71 5-8 12th
2 964 2025 Babel 2-4 13th 91.07 0.331 26.30
3 963 2019 Babel 3-3 11th 91.30 0.338 13.41 8-5 5th 5th place
4 958 2013 Derrek 4-2 6th 90.18 0.361 20.52 7-6 7th
5 954 2013 Rabbit 1-5 13th 87.75 0.326 22.98 5-8 11th
6 951 2023 Derrek 2-4 11th 89.64 0.359 15.27 5-9 12th
7 948 2008 Mike R. 1-5 12th 84.82 0.358 22.27 5-8 8th
8 947 2012 Dave 3-3 9th 88.67 0.366 21.91 6-7 7th
9 942 2024 Derrek 2-4 11th 88.49 0.370 23.30 4-10 14th
10 939 2017 Pat 1-5 14th 81.76 0.347 13.10 6-7 7th