2011 Pat (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 420.23 points (105.06 average)

6th place

1.95 expected wins (0.488)

19-25 all-play record (0.432)

+10.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 Babel
6 Dave
7 Ed
8 Matt
9 Pulley
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%84.9230769230769141.2307692307692300.0%226.46153846153845141.23076923076923140.1%368.072.020.0%509.53846153846155141.2307692307692330.0%651.0769230769231141.2307692307692345.4%84.9230769230769131.91225488182556026.6%226.4615384615384595.353657223017910.0%368.02.7692307692307736223.5%509.53846153846155100.7124850545808734.5%651.0769230769231133.45362248987054Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th207.515384615384685.5664335664335725th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601637th599.053846153846165.286713286713343rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th207.515384615384685.5664335664335723rd403.2846153846153458.99300699300701536th599.053846153846138.7132867132867543rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th207.515384615384685.5664335664335725th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601637th599.053846153846165.28671328671334Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice Kx2 RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.73489.0076923076923190.3812845571861610.000242.46923076923076141.2307692307692320.280395.9307692307692121.8117079217374230.000549.3923076923077141.2307692307692340.00089.0076923076923139.531799883603110.491242.46923076923076107.2250317063821720.000395.9307692307692102.3926466127056230.445549.3923076923077110.427081455471854Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234991.517307692307784.5874125874125910249.30576923076922141.2307692307692323407.09423076923076122.3496503496503530564.8826923076923141.230769230769234091.517307692307727.94405594405594713249.30576923076922122.3496503496503520407.09423076923076103.4685314685314734564.8826923076923116.055944055944054All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 2-2 6th 105.06 0.488 9.29 5-8 11th
1 992 2020 Mike R. 1-3 11th 104.48 0.486 10.57 6-7 11th
2 989 2020 Richie 4-0 2nd 104.38 0.489 5.90 7-6 7th
3 966 2018 Richie 1-3 12th 105.95 0.487 23.59 5-8 11th
4 965 2018 Rabbit 2-2 8th 107.29 0.488 22.02 7-6 7th
5 958 2014 Pat 2-2 8th 98.01 0.481 8.65 5-8 11th
6 952 2011 Babel 2-2 5th 105.64 0.504 15.73 7-6 7th
7 951 2020 Scott 2-2 7th 105.30 0.505 16.54 7-6 8th
8 948 2020 Rabbit 1-3 10th 109.26 0.484 23.11 6-7 10th
9 944 2008 Dave 2-2 7th 91.96 0.488 7.39 5-8 11th
10 943 2014 Matt 1-3 11th 98.67 0.491 21.07 7-6 6th 4th place